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UMass Lowell vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-89 (OT)
32-31 44-45 18-13
Position#55
Record20-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#312
Record11-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers
28 Feb 2026
UMAS60
UMBC84
20 Feb 2025
UMAS98
UMBC79
09 Mar 2024
UMAS94
UMBC89
13 Jan 2024
UMAS86
UMBC82
18 Jan 2023
UMAS81
UMBC75
12 Feb 2022
UMAS88
UMBC71
23 Jan 2021
UMAS v UMBC
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
UMAS50
UMBC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass Lowell winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H03/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A09/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A10/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H29/02
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
43-35
39-46
34-43
41-24
52-56
28-42
36-29
39-37
47-40
38-36
49-44
45-37
59-58
41-35
48-32
18-38
44-36
33-37
32-34
156.5Avg total
79.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.370.2150.5+10.169%
Season at home (13)85.569.2154.6+16.377%
Season away (16)76.171.1147.2+5.162%
Last 10 (10)79.976.6156.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)81.477.4158.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)64.573.5138.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.971.5151.4+8.575%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#126
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A02/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
114-102
114
102
+12
A04/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H09/02
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A22/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A24/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-53
48-46
45-44
69-58
24-41
56-52
35-27
35-45
46-35
43-43
39-36
41-39
20-16
36-46
48-24
38-44
32-25
47-35
40-37
31-35
160.1Avg total
82.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.380.3158.6-2.035%
Season at home (15)76.176.6152.7-0.540%
Season away (16)80.483.8164.1-3.431%
Last 10 (10)82.078.1160.1+3.950%
Last 5 (5)74.467.4141.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.785.7160.4-11.00%
vs Similar (15)79.178.0157.1+1.153%
vs Weaker (4)79.275.8155.0+3.550%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
UMass LowellUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A09/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/02
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A02/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A05/03
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.568.6+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.431.571.9+8.877%-
Last 30 away (17)34.531.566.0+2.965%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.971.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.671.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)25.835.060.8-9.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.531.268.8+6.275%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#126
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H09/02
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A22/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A24/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/03
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.371.6-0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.334.369.7+1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)35.438.273.6-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.871.4+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.827.663.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.543.375.8-10.820%-
vs Similar (15)37.133.770.8+3.380%-
vs Weaker (4)37.031.268.2+5.850%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UMass Lowell wins
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24AMaine Black Bears65-71
02/03/24AVermont62-74
29/02/24HBryant University89-67
24/02/24HAlbany Great Danes104-95
22/02/24HBinghamton87-80
17/02/24ABryant University86-77
10/02/24ANJIT64-71
09/02/24AUMBC Retrievers93-80
03/02/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats73-89
01/02/24HMaine Black Bears76-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HBinghamton71-72
01/03/24ANJIT79-60
24/02/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats86-68
22/02/24AMaine Black Bears56-62
17/02/24HAlbany Great Danes80-75
15/02/24ABinghamton89-78
10/02/24HVermont70-72
09/02/24HUMass Lowell80-93
04/02/24AAlbany Great Danes114-102
02/02/24ABryant University95-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass Lowell
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayWLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game80.385.576.1
Allowed / game70.269.271.1
Point differential+10.1+16.3+5.1
Avg total150.5154.6147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%46%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%8%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL35%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayWWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%40%31%
Points / game78.376.180.4
Allowed / game80.376.683.8
Point differential-2.0-0.5-3.4
Avg total158.6152.7164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%13%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont3125681%72.662.9+9.8
2 UMass Lowell2920969%80.370.2+10.1
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Bryant University32201262%79.075.3+3.7
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Binghamton29151452%72.472.1+0.3
7 Maine Black Bears32141844%67.267.9-0.7
8 UMBC Retrievers31112035%78.380.3-2.0
9 NJIT2872125%67.975.0-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UMass Lowell32441894
UMBC Retrievers31451389
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