PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UMass Lowell vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-79
52-44 46-35
Position#171
Record15-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#280
Record12-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers
28 Feb 2026
UMAS60
UMBC84
20 Feb 2025
UMAS98
UMBC79
09 Mar 2024
UMAS94
UMBC89
13 Jan 2024
UMAS86
UMBC82
18 Jan 2023
UMAS81
UMBC75
12 Feb 2022
UMAS88
UMBC71
23 Jan 2021
UMAS v UMBC
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
UMAS50
UMBC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass Lowell winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A18/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
H23/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H25/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A31/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
H13/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
32-39
39-26
31-36
28-45
34-40
48-38
27-37
40-38
57-42
30-38
32-45
46-36
37-31
21-24
33-42
42-40
38-40
38-28
41-52
150.9Avg total
74.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.574.3154.8+6.258%
Season at home (14)88.170.6158.7+17.679%
Season away (12)71.678.7150.2-7.133%
Last 10 (10)74.376.6150.9-2.330%
Last 5 (5)73.277.2150.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.0113.0167.0-59.00%
vs Similar (10)75.075.5150.5-0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.472.6152.1+6.865%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
62-87
62
87
-25
H18/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H31/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-46
38-33
27-45
35-42
28-43
51-36
44-28
36-35
40-47
46-45
36-46
31-37
45-39
33-40
17-27
33-46
31-27
50-50
39-42
40-39
155.2Avg total
75.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.377.4157.7+2.944%
Season at home (14)83.574.1157.6+9.450%
Season away (13)76.881.1157.9-4.238%
Last 10 (10)75.180.1155.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)71.078.6149.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.090.6165.6-15.60%
vs Similar (17)76.678.3154.9-1.741%
vs Weaker (7)90.766.7157.4+24.071%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -1.0-1.0
UMass LowellUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H09/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A11/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H23/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H13/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A15/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
36.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.671.1+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.233.072.2+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)33.436.469.9-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.170.4+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.049.076.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (10)34.837.672.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.432.567.8+2.953%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/01
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/02
NCAA
73.5Avg total
34.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.473.7+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.675.3+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.172.1-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)34.539.073.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.269.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.842.076.8-7.20%-
vs Similar (17)34.836.871.6-1.941%-
vs Weaker (7)42.633.075.6+9.671%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UMass Lowell wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats79-80
13/02/25HAlbany Great Danes88-90 OT
06/02/25ABinghamton54-66
01/02/25AUMBC Retrievers83-67
31/01/25ANJIT62-83
25/01/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats97-80
23/01/25HMaine Black Bears85-86 OT
18/01/25ABryant University62-85
11/01/25ANJIT70-62
09/01/25HVermont63-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ABryant University79-81
13/02/25HBinghamton81-77
08/02/25AMaine Black Bears50-73
07/02/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats78-79
01/02/25HUMass Lowell67-83
31/01/25HBryant University86-92
25/01/25AVermont80-63
23/01/25AAlbany Great Danes92-87 OT
18/01/25HMaine Black Bears62-87
16/01/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass Lowell
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeWLLWL79%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%79%33%
Points / game80.588.171.6
Allowed / game74.370.678.7
Point differential+6.2+17.6-7.1
Avg total154.8158.7150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %8%14%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game80.383.576.8
Allowed / game77.474.181.1
Point differential+2.9+9.4-4.2
Avg total157.7157.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %11%0%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bryant University27171063%83.075.4+7.6
2 Maine Black Bears26161062%71.865.3+6.6
3 UMass Lowell26151158%80.574.3+6.2
4 Vermont26151158%66.264.4+1.7
5 Binghamton27131448%70.171.7-1.6
6 UMBC Retrievers27121544%80.377.4+2.9
7 NJIT2752219%64.372.0-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass Lowell524698
UMBC Retrievers443579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.