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UMBC Retrievers vs UMass Lowell Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#261
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#107
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell
23 Jan 2027
UMBC v UMAS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
UMBC91
UMAS69
24 Jan 2026
UMBC79
UMAS56
01 Feb 2025
UMBC67
UMAS83
08 Feb 2024
UMBC80
UMAS93
22 Feb 2023
UMBC70
UMAS75
06 Mar 2022
UMBC93
UMAS85
08 Jan 2022
UMBC64
UMAS66
06 Mar 2021
UMBC77
UMAS79
04 Jan 2020
UMBC73
UMAS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMass Lowell win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
91-52
91
52
+39
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A17/03
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A02/11
NCAA
Marist
#306
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A06/11
NCAA
McDaniel
#417
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H09/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H12/11
NCAA
Towson
#175
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-24
45-28
34-30
50-39
43-29
48-40
30-28
44-31
41-49
42-37
27-33
27-49
33-38
47-50
51-25
40-36
42-39
43-31
19-36
23-32
147.9Avg total
77.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.473.8144.2-3.440%
Season at home (2)88.065.5153.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)58.779.3138.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)77.570.4147.9+7.160%
Last 5 (5)70.473.8144.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.373.3133.7-13.033%
vs Similar (3)77.389.3166.7-12.00%
vs Weaker (23)77.264.5141.7+12.783%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#352
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A10/03
NCAA
Rivier
#525
W
121-57
121
57
+64
H03/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#235
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A06/11
NCAA
Marist
#306
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H08/11
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
49-44
30-34
34-32
33-37
27-47
35-26
32-30
35-42
46-34
29-43
40-48
60-29
61-28
38-26
33-35
30-29
33-32
37-31
25-41
145.3Avg total
75.0Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.262.8142.0+16.575%
Season at home (2)92.059.0151.0+33.0100%
Season away (2)66.566.5133.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)75.070.3145.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)77.268.4145.6+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.880.2144.0-16.50%
vs Similar (8)78.872.8151.5+6.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.169.1142.2+4.073%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.9+0.9
UMBC RetrieversUMass Lowell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A17/03
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/11
NCAA
Marist
#306
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A06/11
NCAA
McDaniel
#417
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Towson
#175
L
19-36
19
36
-17
A15/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
36.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.667.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.930.868.7+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.432.465.8+1.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.633.169.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.268.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.336.065.3-6.733%-
vs Similar (3)34.344.078.3-9.70%-
vs Weaker (23)36.029.765.7+6.370%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#352
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A03/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Rivier
#525
W
60-29
60
29
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#235
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A06/11
NCAA
Marist
#306
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UMass
#168
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
37.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.871.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.333.172.4+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.736.269.9-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.270.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.040.172.1-8.112%-
vs Similar (8)36.536.272.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)34.532.566.9+2.082%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UMBC Retrievers wins
7
UMass Lowell wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ATowson42-68
12/11/26HMorgan State85-70
09/11/26HMcDaniel91-61
06/11/26AMarist80-88
02/11/26AGeorge Mason54-82
17/03/26AHoward83-86
14/03/26HVermont74-59
10/03/26HUMass Lowell91-69
07/03/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats84-69
03/03/26ANJIT91-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AUMass62-72
08/11/26HMarist63-61
06/11/26AMerrimack Warriors71-61
03/11/26HRivier121-57
10/03/26AUMBC Retrievers69-91
07/03/26HAlbany Great Danes81-76
03/03/26AMaine Black Bears67-56
28/02/26HUMBC Retrievers60-84
27/02/26AVermont64-66
21/02/26HBinghamton92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game70.488.058.7
Allowed / game73.865.579.3
Point differential-3.4+22.5-20.7
Avg total144.2153.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass Lowell
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.292.066.5
Allowed / game62.859.066.5
Point differential+16.5+33.0+0.0
Avg total142.0151.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton53260%67.667.4+0.2
3 Vermont42250%78.565.2+13.2
4 UMBC Retrievers52340%70.473.8-3.4
5 Maine Black Bears51420%64.272.0-7.8
6 Bryant University51420%60.271.8-11.6
7 NJIT61517%55.777.3-21.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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