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Umea vs Norrkoping Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record7-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.1
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Umea v Norrkoping
12 Feb 2027
UMEA v NOR
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
UMEA89
NOR88
27 Sep 2025
UMEA88
NOR93
13 Jan 2025
UMEA80
NOR104
27 Dec 2024
UMEA78
NOR108
26 Mar 2024
UMEA72
NOR95
13 Oct 2023
UMEA75
NOR98
27 Dec 2022
UMEA93
NOR97
28 Oct 2022
UMEA77
NOR71
26 Mar 2022
UMEA82
NOR84
01 Feb 2022
UMEA93
NOR104
29 Oct 2021
UMEA78
NOR103
09 Feb 2021
UMEA65
NOR78
10 Nov 2020
UMEA108
NOR107
03 Jan 2020
UMEA88
NOR79
15 Nov 2019
UMEA86
NOR94
15 Feb 2019
UMEA72
NOR81
08 Jan 2019
UMEA72
NOR93
16 Feb 2018
UMEA67
NOR93
17 Nov 2017
UMEA73
NOR78
09 Feb 2017
UMEA62
NOR83
11 Nov 2016
UMEA56
NOR62
19 Jan 2016
UMEA67
NOR75
06 Mar 2015
UMEA58
NOR85
12 Dec 2014
UMEA68
NOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Norrkoping win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 68
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 68
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 68
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 68
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 68
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 68
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 68
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 68
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 84
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 84
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 84
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
103-80
103
80
+23
80avg 84
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
71avg 84
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 84
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
69avg 84
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-19
25-12
16-28
17-21
19-31
25-19
24-23
21-24
28-15
20-19
28-32
22-24
14-20
38-12
29-24
22-17
33-18
16-22
17-28
23-22
22-25
21-24
17-15
16-28
27-20
13-18
24-26
20-16
22-18
14-18
28-17
25-21
26-27
28-22
21-12
31-23
22-19
22-23
15-28
174.9Avg total
89.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.584.1175.6+7.564%
Season at home (6)93.284.8178.0+8.350%
Season away (5)89.683.2172.8+6.480%
Last 10 (10)89.985.0174.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.593.0175.5-10.50%
vs Similar (9)84.987.1172.0-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.981.9178.8+15.179%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
UmeaNorrkoping
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A13/11
Basketligan
88.6Avg total
45.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.787.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.541.787.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.541.687.1+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.842.888.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.890.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.550.089.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.840.287.1+6.679%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.0%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
74.1%16.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
Norrkoping
LWWLLWWWLW
#9
League position
#4
-10.2
Net rating
+2.8
83.0
Offensive rating
101.5
93.3
Defensive rating
98.7
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
24.1%
3-point %
37.0%
52.7%
Assist %
53.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 101.5Defence93.3 · 98.7Shooting47.4% · 53.8%3-point %24.1% · 37.0%Ball care18.1% · 13.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Umea   ■ Norrkoping
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Umea wins
9
Norrkoping wins
DateGameScore
25/09/26Norrkoping v Umea108-75
13/02/26Norrkoping v Umea103-78
30/12/25Umea v Norrkoping89-88
27/09/25Umea v Norrkoping88-93
11/02/25Norrkoping v Umea100-60
13/01/25Umea v Norrkoping80-104
27/12/24Umea v Norrkoping78-108
26/03/24Umea v Norrkoping72-95
02/02/24Norrkoping v Umea104-94
18/11/23Norrkoping v Umea91-76
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ANassjo90-93
10/11/26HUppsala100-82
06/11/26AHogsbo84-69
30/10/26HBC Lulea80-92
26/10/26HJamtland83-86
23/10/26ABoras88-85
16/10/26HKoping Stars103-80
13/10/26ASloga Uppsala97-90
09/10/26HSodertalje85-94
29/09/26ANassjo89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Norrkoping
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game91.593.289.6
Allowed / game84.184.883.2
Point differential+7.5+8.3+6.4
Avg total175.6178.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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