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Pinheiros vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 88-55
25-12 19-16 27-16 17-11
Position#2
Record29-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#17
Record7-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game80.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pinheiros v Pato
16 Apr 2026
PINH88
PATO55
12 Oct 2024
PINH68
PATO67
18 Dec 2023
PINH91
PATO77
09 Mar 2023
PINH76
PATO69
02 Apr 2022
PINH82
PATO69
07 Dec 2020
PINH85
PATO77
08 Mar 2020
PINH87
PATO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A05/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H07/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H13/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
93-62
93
62
+31
A16/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A21/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H24/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A04/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A10/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
22-20
27-11
10-17
21-20
12-28
27-11
23-18
20-15
19-27
31-23
31-14
20-25
19-17
22-8
32-12
30-20
15-21
16-17
14-22
25-17
17-11
15-15
24-20
29-22
24-26
15-14
23-23
22-21
24-18
20-23
17-19
20-16
22-21
17-21
10-16
25-22
16-20
16-8
18-26
158.1Avg total
83.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)85.274.6159.8+10.678%
Season at home (18)86.873.2160.0+13.794%
Season away (19)83.675.9159.6+7.763%
Last 10 (10)83.175.0158.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)79.875.8155.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)80.278.0158.2+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.074.0162.1+14.083%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A11/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
13-16
13-14
20-20
12-17
17-13
21-16
20-20
12-29
16-30
12-23
11-23
25-24
19-14
20-21
14-23
15-19
149.1Avg total
67.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)72.480.3152.7-7.919%
Season at home (19)73.576.6150.1-3.126%
Season away (17)71.284.4155.6-13.212%
Last 10 (10)67.981.2149.1-13.30%
Last 5 (5)66.083.2149.2-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.982.3151.2-13.410%
vs Similar (9)79.978.4158.3+1.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.3-5.3
PinheirosPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A05/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H07/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A21/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H24/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/04
NBB
83.5Avg total
42.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.784.4+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.738.984.6+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)43.940.484.2+3.544%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.283.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.541.884.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.339.184.4+6.262%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/04
NBB
72.1Avg total
34.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.475.8-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.536.674.2+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)35.042.977.9-7.931%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.872.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.037.670.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.040.674.6-6.624%-
vs Similar (9)42.136.478.6+5.789%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.8
54.1%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.0
32.3%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
72.8%13.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.1
49.8%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.59.1
26.4%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.68.4
61.8%
72.8%8.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LLWWWLWWWW
Pato
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#17
+4.4
Net rating
-14.9
91.2
Offensive rating
75.9
86.8
Defensive rating
90.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
44.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.3%
3-point %
26.4%
63.7%
Assist %
61.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 75.9Defence86.8 · 90.8Shooting51.3% · 44.5%3-point %32.3% · 26.4%Ball care15.6% · 19.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pinheiros wins
5
Pato wins
DateGameScore
29/12/25Pato v Pinheiros67-94
27/12/24Pato v Pinheiros90-86
12/10/24Pinheiros v Pato68-67
30/03/24Pato v Pinheiros83-79
18/12/23Pinheiros v Pato91-77
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
11/03/21Pato v Pinheiros89-88
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26ASao Jose75-76
04/04/26ACorinthians Paulista69-74
01/04/26HUnifacisa83-81
24/03/26HMinas91-85
21/03/26AVasco81-63
19/03/26AFlamengo75-80
16/03/26ABotafogo93-62
13/03/26HCruzeiro101-79
07/03/26HCearense83-77
05/03/26AMogi80-73
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26AOsasco68-77
09/04/26AFranca64-100
06/04/26HRio Claro70-78
02/04/26HBrasilia58-67
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %78%94%63%
Points / game85.286.883.6
Allowed / game74.673.275.9
Point differential+10.6+13.7+7.7
Avg total159.8160.0159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%72%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL26%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %19%26%12%
Points / game72.473.571.2
Allowed / game80.376.684.4
Point differential-7.9-3.1-13.2
Avg total152.7150.1155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
5 Brasilia37271073%81.372.2+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista37261170%85.079.4+5.6
7 Paulistano37231462%83.078.3+4.7
8 Sao Jose37221559%81.980.1+1.8
9 Mogi37211657%76.671.1+5.5
10 Bauru37211657%81.479.5+1.9
11 Unifacisa38201853%81.680.4+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians37181949%79.781.7-2.0
13 Caxias do Sul37172046%73.876.4-2.5
14 Cruzeiro38132534%80.285.4-5.2
15 Rio Claro38122632%78.685.3-6.7
16 Botafogo37102727%73.283.2-10.1
17 Pato3672919%72.480.3-7.9
18 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
19 Osasco3763116%76.188.2-12.2
20 Vasco3753214%70.681.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2519271788
Pato1216161155
← all games of the day
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