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Unics Kazan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-79
16-23 20-16 16-17 21-23
Position#2
Record16-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.8
Unics Kazan
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game73.7
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Semi-finals
European cup2018
Meetings · Unics Kazan v Valencia
22 Mar 2019
UKA73
VAL79
07 May 2014
UKA73
VAL85
15 Jan 2014
UKA82
VAL75
13 Mar 2013
UKA71
VAL68
02 Feb 2010
UKA68
VAL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unics Kazan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Unics KazanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKazan
Date
Competition
Minsk
#14
W
99-57
99
57
+42
no box
A02/02
VTB United League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
72-53
72
53
+19
100avg 109
H06/02
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H11/02
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#3
W
73-58
73
58
+15
no box
H15/02
VTB United League
Astana
#6
L
95-98
95
98
-3
no box
H02/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
86-66
86
66
+20
114avg 109
H05/03
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
83avg 109
A08/03
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
69-65
69
65
+4
97avg 109
H13/03
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
A16/03
VTB United League
Valencia
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
87avg 109
A19/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-3
25-14
24-12
29-28
17-21
15-9
17-13
23-10
10-18
16-12
15-18
30-20
21-9
17-15
16-21
19-13
22-21
25-25
20-26
28-26
18-14
23-24
25-12
20-16
13-13
7-15
19-11
20-29
10-16
27-13
10-17
22-19
17-19
15-23
24-11
28-24
10-11
20-17
18-16
16-25
145.1Avg total
77.2Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.072.8154.8+9.280%
Season at home (10)83.870.9154.7+12.9100%
Season away (10)80.374.7155.0+5.660%
Last 10 (10)77.267.9145.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)72.469.0141.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.068.0139.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.265.2135.4+5.060%
vs Weaker (24)85.474.8160.2+10.683%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
90avg 107
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
121avg 107
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
115avg 107
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
93avg 107
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
104avg 107
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
W
71-56
71
56
+15
98avg 107
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
89-65
89
65
+24
120avg 107
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
115avg 107
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
97avg 107
H19/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-13
21-21
16-14
20-27
22-19
27-24
21-23
21-18
21-14
25-25
22-25
19-30
21-13
18-24
19-21
21-28
14-14
19-15
15-23
19-14
12-20
14-10
22-13
27-21
20-14
13-25
24-9
14-8
18-15
20-11
25-24
26-15
27-27
25-19
16-17
21-31
11-10
17-20
16-18
25-16
153.1Avg total
78.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.273.7155.9+8.589%
Season at home (10)86.073.3159.3+12.7100%
Season away (9)78.074.2152.2+3.878%
Last 10 (10)78.374.8153.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)78.668.6147.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)75.079.8154.8-4.850%
vs Weaker (25)83.475.2158.6+8.288%
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Unics KazanValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Unics KazanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#14
W
46-17
46
17
+29
A02/02
VTB United League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H06/02
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/02
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#3
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H15/02
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H05/03
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A08/03
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/03
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/03
VTB United League
Valencia
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A19/03
Eurocup
66.1Avg total
34.9Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.434.974.3+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.335.475.7+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.534.472.9+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)34.931.266.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.065.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.030.056.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.229.462.6+3.880%-
vs Weaker (24)41.236.277.5+5.067%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/03
Eurocup
72.7Avg total
37.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.478.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.939.378.3-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.372.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.269.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.041.275.2-7.20%-
vs Weaker (25)41.338.079.3+3.464%-
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unics Kazantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unics Kazan: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.3
50.0%
51.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.2
39.8%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
74.9%12.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.2
53.6%
51.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
74.9%13.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unics Kazan
LWWLWLWWWW
Valencia
WLWWWWLLWL
#2
League position
#1
+13.0
Net rating
+6.1
106.9
Offensive rating
111.3
93.8
Defensive rating
105.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.7%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.8%
3-point %
36.0%
60.0%
Assist %
63.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 111.3Defence93.8 · 105.2Shooting53.3% · 53.7%3-point %39.8% · 36.0%Ball care17.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.4% · 28.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Unics Kazan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Unics Kazan wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
19/03/19Valencia v Unics Kazan69-64
07/05/14Unics Kazan v Valencia73-85
01/05/14Valencia v Unics Kazan80-67
18/02/14Valencia v Unics Kazan73-76
15/01/14Unics Kazan v Valencia82-75
13/03/13Unics Kazan v Valencia71-68
06/03/13Valencia v Unics Kazan80-70
09/03/10Valencia v Unics Kazan91-81
02/02/10Unics Kazan v Valencia68-72
Unics Kazanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/19AValencia64-69
16/03/19ALokomotiv Kuban84-77
13/03/19HLokomotiv Kuban69-65
08/03/19ALokomotiv Kuban59-68
05/03/19HLokomotiv Kuban86-66
02/03/19HAstana95-98
15/02/19HKhimki M.73-58
11/02/19HCSKA Moscow71-68
06/02/19HMoraBanc Andorra72-53
02/02/19AMinsk99-57
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/19HUnics Kazan69-64
16/03/19AFuenlabrada89-94
10/03/19HMurcia89-65
08/03/19ARytas71-56
05/03/19HRytas75-64
02/03/19AGipuzkoa67-66
14/02/19ABarcelona79-86
09/02/19HObradoiro CAB87-94
06/02/19HLimoges91-84
03/02/19AManresa66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unics Kazan
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game82.083.880.3
Allowed / game72.870.974.7
Point differential+9.2+12.9+5.6
Avg total154.8154.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game82.286.078.0
Allowed / game73.773.374.2
Point differential+8.5+12.7+3.8
Avg total155.9159.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1917289%82.273.7+8.5
2 Unics Kazan2016480%82.072.8+9.2
3 Alba Berlin2015575%88.582.3+6.2
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1914574%80.873.8+6.9
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1913668%77.673.9+3.6
6 MoraBanc Andorra2013765%85.082.2+2.9
7 Unicaja1912763%85.581.7+3.7
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas1881044%77.478.2-0.8
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1651131%79.282.9-3.7
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unics Kazan1620162173
Valencia2316172379
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