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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-65
18-15 20-11 25-24 26-15
Position#4
Record13-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#14
Record6-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 22
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
114avg 108
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
125avg 108
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
101avg 108
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
90avg 108
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
121avg 108
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
115avg 108
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
93avg 108
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
104avg 108
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
W
71-56
71
56
+15
98avg 108
A08/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
21-27
22-14
18-23
29-21
19-27
30-26
16-18
14-19
21-26
19-15
18-9
9-13
21-21
16-14
20-27
22-19
27-24
21-23
21-18
21-14
25-25
22-25
19-30
21-13
18-24
19-21
21-28
14-14
19-15
15-23
19-14
12-20
14-10
22-13
27-21
20-14
13-25
24-9
14-8
155.1Avg total
78.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.177.7156.9+1.462%
Season at home (10)85.177.8162.9+7.370%
Season away (11)73.777.6151.4-3.955%
Last 10 (10)78.476.7155.1+1.770%
Last 5 (5)75.873.2149.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.077.0133.0-21.00%
vs Similar (3)77.085.0162.0-8.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.674.4157.0+8.288%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Avellino
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
no box
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
91avg 101
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
67-77
67
77
-10
81avg 101
H26/01
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
73-47
73
47
+26
no box
H29/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
101avg 101
A03/02
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H05/02
Champions League
Breogan
#18
L
73-77
73
77
-4
95avg 101
A10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
H03/03
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A06/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
11-16
18-8
13-17
18-14
25-11
19-37
20-28
23-21
27-9
13-22
15-18
17-20
12-12
18-27
20-18
11-11
22-5
20-21
20-10
20-23
21-25
20-17
18-26
29-13
23-18
16-20
18-20
21-16
13-20
21-18
18-23
13-18
21-15
16-16
21-21
12-23
19-22
20-14
16-16
146.4Avg total
73.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.480.0154.4-5.729%
Season at home (11)75.074.8149.8+0.245%
Season away (10)73.785.8159.5-12.110%
Last 10 (10)73.972.5146.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.276.8152.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.985.0160.9-9.114%
vs Similar (15)76.574.7151.3+1.853%
vs Weaker (8)75.065.5140.5+9.588%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/03
Eurocup
76.9Avg total
38.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.979.1+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.781.8+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.176.7-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.876.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.870.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.045.077.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#25
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H26/01
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H29/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/02
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/02
Champions League
Breogan
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H03/03
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/03
Champions League
70.7Avg total
37.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.171.2+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.433.170.6+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)35.136.871.8-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.870.7+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.936.469.3-3.629%-
vs Similar (15)36.936.673.5+0.333%-
vs Weaker (8)37.831.068.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
52.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.3
37.2%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws13.810.7
77.5%
74.6%10.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.2
47.6%
52.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.0
66.7%
74.6%11.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLLWLWWW
Murcia
LWLWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#14
+4.2
Net rating
-9.5
112.3
Offensive rating
100.0
108.1
Defensive rating
109.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
37.0%
65.1%
Assist %
49.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 100.0Defence108.1 · 109.5Shooting54.0% · 50.8%3-point %37.2% · 37.0%Ball care16.5% · 19.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 27.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
14/05/17Valencia v Murcia67-70
08/01/17Murcia v Valencia75-78
01/05/16Murcia v Valencia80-62
22/12/15Valencia v Murcia65-54
24/01/15Valencia v Murcia81-63
05/10/14Murcia v Valencia85-76
08/03/14Murcia v Valencia76-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/19ARytas71-56
05/03/19HRytas75-64
02/03/19AGipuzkoa67-66
14/02/19ABarcelona79-86
09/02/19HObradoiro CAB87-94
06/02/19HLimoges91-84
03/02/19AManresa66-75
30/01/19AUnicaja72-69
26/01/19HSan Pablo Burgos94-92
23/01/19ACrvena zvezda82-81
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/19AAntwerp Giants67-75
03/03/19HBarcelona71-70
10/02/19ABreogan73-77
05/02/19HBanvit86-71
03/02/19AObradoiro CAB79-91
29/01/19HLudwigsburg73-47
26/01/19HMoraBanc Andorra67-77
22/01/19HAnwil Wloclawek78-70
20/01/19AGran Canaria82-90
16/01/19AAvellino63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game79.185.173.7
Allowed / game77.777.877.6
Point differential+1.4+7.3-3.9
Avg total156.9162.9151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game74.475.073.7
Allowed / game80.074.885.8
Point differential-5.7+0.2-12.1
Avg total154.4149.8159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2218482%87.075.7+11.4
2 Real Madrid2217577%88.579.5+9.0
3 Baskonia2216673%85.573.3+12.2
4 Unicaja2214864%86.584.4+2.1
5 Valencia2113862%79.177.7+1.4
6 Joventut Badalona2213959%80.578.5+2.0
7 Manresa2213959%82.380.5+1.7
8 Tenerife2112957%82.077.3+4.7
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza21111052%82.384.3-2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra22111150%83.383.9-0.6
11 Obradoiro CAB22101245%78.180.5-2.5
12 San Pablo Burgos2291341%82.283.9-1.7
13 Estudiantes2181338%82.686.0-3.4
14 Breogan2271532%75.781.3-5.6
15 Fuenlabrada2271532%78.788.0-9.4
16 Gran Canaria2161529%80.784.2-3.5
17 Murcia2161529%74.480.0-5.7
18 Gipuzkoa2241818%73.284.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1820252689
Murcia1511241565
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