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Urania Milano vs Mestre Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#19
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
ItalySerie A2Round 25· Allianz Cloud
Other2026-27
Meetings · Urania Milano v Mestre
03 Feb 2027
URAN v MEST
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
URAN86
MEST85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
84-102
84
102
-18
77avg 73
A29/04
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
28avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
88-96
88
96
-8
82avg 73
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
44avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
96avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 73
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
13-25
19-20
23-24
19-18
12-20
15-19
22-13
21-29
18-19
21-21
21-15
24-21
21-20
21-36
22-19
19-23
16-13
19-28
18-23
26-19
19-13
24-18
21-22
17-15
12-23
15-17
16-23
16-24
12-25
22-17
21-19
20-25
21-21
14-25
11-12
23-34
26-17
14-16
19-15
161.5Avg total
76.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.783.1158.8-7.411%
Season at home (4)79.280.8160.0-1.525%
Season away (5)72.885.0157.8-12.20%
Last 10 (10)76.585.0161.5-8.510%
Last 5 (5)74.482.2156.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.683.6160.3-7.021%
vs Similar (10)81.778.9160.6+2.860%
vs Weaker (1)110.086.0196.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 66
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 66
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 66
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 66
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 66
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 66
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 66
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
22-22
30-18
12-19
21-14
26-15
18-23
22-23
13-20
152.8Avg total
75.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.076.4151.4-1.444%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Season away (4)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.777.1152.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.473.0152.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.683.3157.9-8.629%
vs Similar (14)78.477.9156.3+0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Urania MilanoMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A29/04
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/11
Serie A2
82.1Avg total
38.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.881.4+1.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.782.1-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.782.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.141.580.6-2.432%-
vs Similar (10)41.840.382.1+1.570%-
vs Weaker (1)52.049.0101.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/11
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.982.1+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.181.0-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.442.880.2-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.482.1+1.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.7
50.8%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.7
32.6%
34.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.315.7
67.4%
70.8%15.7
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
70.8%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urania Milano
LLLLWLLLLL
Mestre
LWWLWLLLWL
#19
League position
#13
-4.7
Net rating
-7.9
93.4
Offensive rating
90.1
98.1
Defensive rating
98.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
45.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
9.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
31.1%
49.2%
Assist %
43.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 90.1Defence98.1 · 98.0Shooting50.2% · 45.6%3-point %32.6% · 31.1%Ball care14.6% · 9.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Urania Milano   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Urania Milano wins
0
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Mestre v Urania Milano84-93
06/12/25Urania Milano v Mestre86-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AAvellino Basket85-93 OT
07/11/26AFortitudo Bologna66-83
30/10/26HRimini71-85
24/10/26ACividale60-78
21/10/26HJuVi Cremona90-72
17/10/26ALibertas Livorno72-87
10/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-96
04/10/26ABrindisi81-84
27/09/26HSassari68-70
29/04/26ALibertas Livorno84-102
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCividale79-81
07/11/26APesaro85-73
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game75.779.272.8
Allowed / game83.180.885.0
Point differential-7.4-1.5-12.2
Avg total158.8160.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game75.073.077.5
Allowed / game76.478.074.5
Point differential-1.4-5.0+3.0
Avg total151.4151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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