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Urania Milano vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-85
22-23 22-14 18-24 24-24
Position#14
Record4-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#15
Record6-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.4
ItalySerie A2Round 16· Allianz Cloud
Other2025-26
Meetings · Urania Milano v Mestre
03 Feb 2027
URAN v MEST
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
URAN86
MEST85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 68
A12/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
70avg 68
H18/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
67-70
67
70
-3
56avg 68
A24/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 68
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 68
H01/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 68
H12/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 68
H15/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 68
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 68
H29/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
15-14
17-22
15-22
14-19
23-22
15-10
18-19
23-10
21-19
16-21
7-20
24-22
11-21
13-28
12-27
14-9
23-22
23-16
19-26
20-26
8-11
23-21
19-22
21-19
22-21
27-19
22-18
13-19
16-24
20-25
23-25
16-27
21-18
24-26
15-23
14-20
21-26
32-15
17-17
156.8Avg total
74.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.684.6162.1-7.029%
Season at home (7)83.184.4167.6-1.343%
Season away (7)72.084.7156.7-12.714%
Last 10 (10)74.882.0156.8-7.230%
Last 5 (5)78.884.4163.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.689.1166.7-11.520%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.776.9150.6-3.337%
vs Weaker (1)81.079.0160.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 66
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 66
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 66
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 66
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 66
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 66
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 66
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 66
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 66
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
161.3Avg total
78.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.681.4160.0-2.743%
Season at home (7)79.683.6163.1-4.043%
Season away (7)77.779.1156.9-1.443%
Last 10 (10)78.283.1161.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)74.676.6151.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.984.8159.6-9.912%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.678.0162.6+6.680%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
Urania MilanoMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A24/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/11
Serie A2
75.0Avg total
36.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.375.9-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.641.877.4-6.221%-
Last 30 away (16)37.637.174.6+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.875.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.276.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.243.479.6-7.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.636.873.4-0.358%-
vs Weaker (1)42.044.086.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
83.8Avg total
40.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)40.142.682.7-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.143.983.0-4.743%-
Last 30 away (7)41.041.482.4-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.883.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.643.181.8-4.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.644.688.2-1.040%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.9
52.0%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.2
30.8%
34.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
74.4%17.0
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.0
48.5%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.2
38.3%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
74.4%12.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urania Milano
WLLWLWLLLL
Mestre
LWWLWLLLLL
#14
League position
#15
-7.9
Net rating
-3.5
105.8
Offensive rating
106.9
113.6
Defensive rating
110.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
38.3%
57.1%
Assist %
45.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 106.9Defence113.6 · 110.4Shooting50.0% · 51.9%3-point %30.8% · 38.3%Ball care19.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.0% · 23.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Urania Milano   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Urania Milano wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HJuVi Cremona84-78
22/11/25ASebastiani Rieti76-94
15/11/25HPesaro72-93
12/11/25HPistoia92-77
09/11/25AForli70-80
01/11/25HVerona79-73
29/10/25ALibertas Livorno60-98
24/10/25ABasket Torino67-70
18/10/25HBrindisi79-80 OT
12/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo69-77
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102
29/10/25AForli80-85
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game77.683.172.0
Allowed / game84.684.484.7
Point differential-7.0-1.3-12.7
Avg total162.1167.6156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%29%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game78.679.677.7
Allowed / game81.483.679.1
Point differential-2.7-4.0-1.4
Avg total160.0163.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1511473%83.278.3+4.9
2 Brindisi1410471%78.971.2+7.7
3 Libertas Livorno1510567%78.972.9+6.0
4 Verona1510567%77.673.1+4.5
5 Fortitudo Bologna149564%77.673.1+4.4
6 Sebastiani Rieti149564%81.677.6+4.0
7 Cividale149564%78.275.8+2.4
8 Avellino Basket159660%79.775.4+4.3
9 Rimini148657%81.677.5+4.1
10 Scafati158753%82.379.3+3.0
11 Cento157847%78.078.6-0.6
12 Basket Torino157847%73.074.3-1.3
13 Blu Basket Bergamo146843%82.782.9-0.2
14 Mestre146843%78.681.4-2.7
15 Pistoia156940%79.381.7-2.5
16 Forli1551033%75.380.8-5.5
17 JuVi Cremona1551033%73.080.6-7.6
18 Urania Milano1441029%77.684.6-7.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1541127%74.985.6-10.7
20 Roseto1531220%80.186.6-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urania Milano2222182486
Mestre2314242485
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