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Urania Milano vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-62
27-21 18-20 23-5 17-16
Position#12
Record10-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#19
Record5-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game81.0
ItalySerie A2Round 17· Allianz Cloud
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urania Milano v Nardo
21 Dec 2024
URAN85
NARD62
15 Feb 2024
URAN71
NARD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
77-60
77
60
+17
76avg 73
H26/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
78avg 73
A03/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 73
A06/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-79
83
79
+4
83avg 73
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
73avg 73
H14/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 73
A17/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 73
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
74avg 73
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
51-81
51
81
-30
34avg 73
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
73avg 73
H14/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-13
20-11
21-16
20-26
21-21
26-13
13-6
18-27
25-17
21-13
22-22
22-19
24-22
17-23
20-15
11-16
19-10
30-21
14-16
19-17
21-23
24-20
17-11
17-32
20-21
28-17
15-12
17-17
20-24
18-13
16-17
16-28
11-25
14-20
10-8
19-20
15-18
17-14
19-18
151.7Avg total
77.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.974.7152.6+3.262%
Season at home (8)80.173.1153.2+7.075%
Season away (8)75.876.2152.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.474.3151.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)74.879.2154.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.884.2160.9-7.425%
vs Similar (17)80.177.4157.5+2.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 63
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 63
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 63
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 63
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 63
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 63
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 63
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 63
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 63
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 63
A15/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
152.1Avg total
73.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.081.0155.0-7.031%
Season at home (8)76.879.4156.1-2.650%
Season away (8)71.282.6153.9-11.412%
Last 10 (10)73.578.6152.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)71.879.8151.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.680.6156.2-5.038%
vs Similar (17)76.079.0155.0-3.041%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Urania MilanoNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A06/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H14/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/12
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
37.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.080.6-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.979.7-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.181.5-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.678.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.043.878.8-8.88%-
vs Similar (17)40.640.681.2-0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)48.044.092.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
73.2Avg total
34.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.077.4-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.377.2+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)34.842.877.6-8.027%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.473.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.675.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.239.976.1-3.838%-
vs Similar (17)38.340.178.4-1.853%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.5
49.1%
50.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.6
32.0%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.912.0
67.0%
74.4%12.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.7
51.2%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.110.3
68.2%
74.4%10.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urania Milano
WLLLWWWWWW
Nardo
LWLLLLLLWW
#12
League position
#19
+4.6
Net rating
-7.7
101.7
Offensive rating
99.7
97.0
Defensive rating
107.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.1%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.0%
3-point %
35.6%
70.1%
Assist %
45.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 99.7Defence97.0 · 107.5Shooting48.6% · 52.1%3-point %32.0% · 35.6%Ball care15.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 23.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Urania Milano   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Urania Milano wins
1
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24Urania Milano v Nardo71-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HCividale81-79 OT
08/12/24ACantu51-81
01/12/24AAvellino Basket81-83 OT
23/11/24HForli80-82
17/11/24ABasket Torino81-71
14/11/24HBrindisi74-63
09/11/24HJuVi Cremona83-79
06/11/24AOrzinuovi86-79
03/11/24AVigevano80-66
26/10/24HPesaro77-60
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
11/12/24HCividale84-77
08/12/24HRimini67-82
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game77.980.175.8
Allowed / game74.773.176.2
Point differential+3.2+7.0-0.5
Avg total152.6153.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game74.076.871.2
Allowed / game81.079.482.6
Point differential-7.0-2.6-11.4
Avg total155.0156.1153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1614288%83.575.9+7.6
2 Udine1612475%83.374.1+9.2
3 Cantu1612475%79.172.4+6.7
4 Cividale1711665%79.576.6+2.9
5 Urania Milano1610662%77.974.7+3.2
6 Verona169756%77.574.2+3.2
7 Forli169756%76.874.3+2.4
8 Sebastiani Rieti169756%74.173.2+0.9
9 Avellino Basket169756%76.977.1-0.2
10 Orzinuovi179853%79.679.6+0.0
11 Fortitudo Bologna168850%75.674.6+0.9
12 Brindisi167944%77.177.5-0.4
13 Basket Torino167944%75.577.8-2.2
14 Pesaro167944%75.879.6-3.8
15 JuVi Cremona1661038%79.982.3-2.4
16 Libertas Livorno1651131%73.477.0-3.6
17 Nardo1651131%74.081.0-7.0
18 Cento1651131%70.477.6-7.2
19 Vigevano1641225%76.682.0-5.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza1631319%75.480.6-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urania Milano2718231785
Nardo212051662
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