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USC Upstate vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-83
30-36 39-47
Position#274
Record9-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game73.0
USC Upstate
USA
vs
UNC Asheville 🏆
USA
Position#237
Record8-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · USC Upstate v UNC Asheville
01 Jan 2027
USC v UNC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
USC 69
UNC 83
12 Feb 2025
USC 85
UNC 92
10 Feb 2024
USC 64
UNC 77
04 Feb 2023
USC 76
UNC 70
12 Feb 2022
USC 56
UNC 83
04 Feb 2021
USC v UNC
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
USC 80
UNC 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC Upstate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H06/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A13/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A16/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H10/01
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A15/01
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-38
38-29
28-37
34-43
40-37
38-35
49-18
49-45
28-40
37-34
30-37
39-39
30-31
47-55
19-38
31-33
35-41
37-31
31-35
38-54
149.1Avg total
73.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.573.0149.6+3.545%
Season at home (9)85.067.7152.7+17.367%
Season away (11)69.677.5147.1-7.827%
Last 10 (10)73.275.9149.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)70.280.6150.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.383.1152.4-13.90%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.476.5152.9-0.150%
vs Weaker (5)95.460.2155.6+35.2100%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H13/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H16/12
NCAA
Morris College
#490
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H18/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A21/12
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
91-72
91
72
+19
A10/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-46
34-34
46-35
37-38
41-23
48-33
26-42
21-30
34-49
35-38
29-38
54-48
37-32
35-29
45-36
46-36
34-40
36-31
25-33
42-36
145.7Avg total
73.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.273.2147.4+1.040%
Season at home (12)75.870.1145.8+5.758%
Season away (8)71.978.0149.9-6.112%
Last 10 (10)73.072.7145.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)76.671.8148.4+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.077.6148.6-6.618%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.678.7153.2-4.133%
vs Weaker (6)83.369.0152.3+14.3100%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
USC UpstateUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A13/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A16/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H10/01
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/01
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A18/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
33.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.370.9-1.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.136.075.1+3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)30.736.667.2-5.912%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.268.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.036.465.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.840.372.1-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.035.368.3-2.320%-
vs Weaker (5)46.426.472.8+20.0100%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H13/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Morris College
#490
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H18/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/12
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/01
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A10/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H17/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
34.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.371.7-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.733.969.6+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)35.139.874.9-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.471.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.869.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.538.271.7-4.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.438.071.4-4.625%-
vs Weaker (6)42.031.773.7+10.367%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
USC Upstate wins
8
UNC Asheville wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25USC Upstate v UNC Asheville85-92
15/01/25UNC Asheville v USC Upstate93-92
10/02/24USC Upstate v UNC Asheville64-77
03/01/24UNC Asheville v USC Upstate95-67
04/03/23UNC Asheville v USC Upstate66-62
04/02/23USC Upstate v UNC Asheville76-70
21/01/23UNC Asheville v USC Upstate64-58
12/02/22USC Upstate v UNC Asheville56-83
15/01/22UNC Asheville v USC Upstate73-76
06/02/20UNC Asheville v USC Upstate84-71
USC Upstatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AHigh Point69-89
15/01/26ACharleston Southern86-81 OT
10/01/26HWinthrop50-71
03/01/26APresbyterian77-86
31/12/25HRadford69-76
20/12/25AYoungstown State65-74
18/12/25HSouthern W.98-63
16/12/25ASouth Carolina St78-72
13/12/25ANorth Carolina62-80
06/12/25HWestern Carolina78-67
UNC Ashevillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HWinthrop67-69
15/01/26APresbyterian70-71
10/01/26ARadford91-72
07/01/26HLongwood72-61
03/01/26ACharleston Southern83-86
31/12/25HHigh Point69-87
21/12/25AUAB47-72
18/12/25HMorris College89-56
16/12/25HKentucky Christian83-73
13/12/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)59-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC Upstate
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%67%27%
Points / game76.585.069.6
Allowed / game73.067.777.5
Point differential+3.5+17.3-7.8
Avg total149.6152.7147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%11%9%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWWLWL58%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %40%58%12%
Points / game74.275.871.9
Allowed / game73.270.178.0
Point differential+0.9+5.7-6.1
Avg total147.4145.8149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point2117481%92.869.7+23.1
2 Winthrop2113862%85.374.2+11.1
3 Radford2012860%83.676.6+7.0
4 Charleston Southern2011955%84.577.8+6.7
5 Longwood20101050%76.873.7+3.1
6 USC Upstate2091145%76.573.0+3.5
7 Presbyterian2091145%69.670.7-1.1
8 UNC Asheville2081240%74.273.2+0.9
9 Gardner Webb2021810%69.288.8-19.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC Upstate303969
UNC Asheville364783
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