PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kentucky vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:20
Final 76-57
35-27 41-30
Position#71
Record22-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.9
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Troy
USA
Position#68
Record23-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
42-38
41-37
37-45
41-40
41-21
40-47
43-49
43-41
40-41
34-49
44-45
50-23
45-41
38-29
53-54
40-38
45-46
38-45
32-54
162.9Avg total
82.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.377.9163.2+7.467%
Season at home (20)89.174.0163.1+15.180%
Season away (13)79.583.8163.3-4.446%
Last 10 (10)82.080.9162.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)83.884.8168.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.394.3185.7-3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.081.8162.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (7)91.663.6155.1+28.0100%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
33-37
29-20
45-36
30-34
41-36
38-29
31-43
33-33
50-33
36-37
38-32
32-26
38-32
36-18
39-41
40-23
39-37
41-43
53-38
141.1Avg total
75.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)73.965.4139.3+8.570%
Season at home (17)80.466.9147.3+13.476%
Season away (16)67.063.8130.8+3.262%
Last 10 (10)75.166.0141.1+9.180%
Last 5 (5)78.465.4143.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.069.2138.2-0.256%
vs Weaker (19)77.764.3142.0+13.579%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +4.2+4.2
KentuckyTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/03
NCAA
77.3Avg total
39.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.777.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.734.876.5+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)36.242.178.3-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.577.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.047.087.0-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.039.577.4-1.550%-
vs Weaker (7)43.928.772.6+15.1100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
34.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.666.1+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.730.270.9+10.581%-
Last 30 away (14)29.631.160.7-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)34.429.563.9+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.029.466.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.234.464.7-4.233%-
vs Weaker (19)38.629.367.9+9.479%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AAlabama70-99
14/03/25HOklahoma85-84
08/03/25AMissouri91-83
05/03/25HLSU95-64
01/03/25HAuburn78-94
27/02/25AOklahoma83-82
22/02/25AAlabama83-96
20/02/25HVanderbilt82-61
16/02/25ATexas78-82
12/02/25HTennessee75-64
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HArkansas State94-81
10/03/25AJames Madison79-60
09/03/25HOld Dominion75-59
01/03/25ASouthern Miss70-58
26/02/25ATexas State74-69
22/02/25HCoastal Carolina83-66
21/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette69-72
16/02/25AArkansas State71-70
13/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette74-56
08/02/25AMiami (Ohio)62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %67%80%46%
Points / game85.389.179.5
Allowed / game77.974.083.8
Point differential+7.4+15.1-4.4
Avg total163.2163.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%65%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %70%76%62%
Points / game73.980.467.0
Allowed / game65.466.963.8
Point differential+8.5+13.4+3.2
Avg total139.3147.3130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3531489%85.769.2+16.5
2 Auburn3429585%83.869.4+14.4
3 Tennessee3528780%74.863.0+11.8
4 Alabama3426876%91.181.4+9.7
5 Texas A&M33231070%74.568.0+6.5
6 Ole Miss34231168%77.071.5+5.5
7 Kentucky33221167%85.377.9+7.4
8 Missouri34221265%83.673.6+10.0
9 Arkansas34211362%76.771.2+5.5
10 Mississippi St.34211362%79.574.2+5.4
11 Georgia33201361%75.369.9+5.4
12 Vanderbilt33201361%78.974.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma33201361%78.874.8+4.0
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State34241071%79.270.1+9.0
2 Troy33231070%73.965.4+8.5
3 South Alabama32211166%72.964.6+8.3
4 James Madison32201262%73.970.5+3.4
5 Marshall33201361%75.771.7+4.0
6 Appalachian State31171455%67.863.5+4.3
7 Georgia Southern33171652%74.275.9-1.7
8 Texas State32161650%76.273.3+2.9
9 Old Dominion35152043%67.971.5-3.6
10 Georgia State33141942%75.178.3-3.2
11 Louisiana Lafayette33122136%65.473.0-7.6
12 Southern Miss33112233%71.376.0-4.7
13 Coastal Carolina32102231%66.871.1-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3272522%68.975.5-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky354176
Troy273057
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.