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USC vs UCLA Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-89
30-45 38-44
Position#153
Record18-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.4
USC
USA
vs
UCLA 🏆
USA
Position#73
Record20-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · USC v UCLA
07 Mar 2026
USC68
UCLA89
27 Jan 2025
USC76
UCLA82
27 Jan 2024
USC50
UCLA65
26 Jan 2023
USC77
UCLA64
12 Feb 2022
USC67
UCLA64
06 Feb 2021
USC66
UCLA48
07 Mar 2020
USC54
UCLA52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCLA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
44-46
40-30
38-45
35-30
46-45
36-40
41-35
43-40
39-49
32-54
33-47
32-35
38-36
29-38
33-43
36-31
31-51
43-40
29-51
153.9Avg total
72.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.977.4156.3+1.560%
Season at home (17)82.976.3159.2+6.665%
Season away (13)73.878.8152.6-5.154%
Last 10 (10)72.681.3153.9-8.730%
Last 5 (5)67.285.2152.4-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.681.3154.9-7.743%
vs Similar (9)76.474.0150.4+2.456%
vs Weaker (7)92.974.0166.9+18.9100%
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H04/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H22/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-22
37-35
36-30
40-46
52-40
46-26
30-34
47-39
38-40
18-46
23-43
36-39
43-50
43-36
38-29
43-33
41-40
32-38
37-24
35-28
152.9Avg total
78.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.671.0148.6+6.667%
Season at home (19)82.367.6149.9+14.689%
Season away (11)69.576.8146.4-7.327%
Last 10 (10)78.174.8152.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)76.073.6149.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.776.0145.7-6.343%
vs Similar (7)76.481.6158.0-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.664.2145.8+17.494%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -7.6-7.62nd half: +1.1+1.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -7.6-7.62nd half: +1.1+1.1
USCUCLA
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A05/03
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.371.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.833.471.2+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)35.037.772.7-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.571.9-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.674.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.136.469.5-3.443%-
vs Similar (9)37.633.971.4+3.756%-
vs Weaker (7)42.334.777.0+7.671%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H22/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H04/03
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.470.7+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.331.370.5+8.074%-
Last 30 away (11)33.937.171.0-3.245%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.272.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.273.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.037.471.4-3.414%-
vs Similar (7)33.137.070.1-3.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.630.170.6+10.594%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
USC wins
7
UCLA wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26UCLA v USC81-62
09/03/25UCLA v USC90-63
28/01/25USC v UCLA76-82
25/02/24UCLA v USC56-62
28/01/24USC v UCLA50-65
27/01/23USC v UCLA77-64
06/01/23UCLA v USC60-58
12/03/22UCLA v USC69-59
06/03/22UCLA v USC75-68
13/02/22USC v UCLA67-64
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AWashington72-91
28/02/26HNebraska67-82
25/02/26AUCLA62-81
21/02/26HOregon70-71
19/02/26HIllinois65-101
11/02/26AOhio State82-89
08/02/26APenn State77-75
04/02/26HIndiana81-75
01/02/26HRutgers78-75
29/01/26AIowa72-73
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HNebraska72-52
28/02/26AMinnesota73-78
25/02/26HUSC81-62
22/02/26HIllinois95-94 OT
18/02/26AMichigan State59-82
14/02/26AMichigan56-86
08/02/26HWashington77-73
04/02/26HRutgers98-66
31/01/26HIndiana97-98 OT
29/01/26AOregon73-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL60%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayLWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %60%65%54%
Points / game78.982.973.8
Allowed / game77.476.378.8
Point differential+1.5+6.6-5.1
Avg total156.3159.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
UCLA
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %67%89%27%
Points / game77.682.369.5
Allowed / game71.067.676.8
Point differential+6.6+14.6-7.3
Avg total148.6149.9146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%63%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3028293%88.468.7+19.7
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State3025583%78.767.0+11.7
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue3123874%82.370.7+11.6
6 Wisconsin3122971%83.375.6+7.7
7 Iowa30201067%75.465.2+10.2
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State31201165%80.573.0+7.5
10 USC30181260%78.977.4+1.5
11 Indiana31181358%78.772.1+6.6
12 Washington30151550%76.772.7+4.0
13 Minnesota30141647%70.268.5+1.7
14 Northwestern30131743%73.472.4+1.0
15 Rutgers30121840%70.875.9-5.1
16 Penn State30121840%74.379.6-5.3
17 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
18 Maryland30111937%69.877.1-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC303868
UCLA454489
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