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USK Prague vs Decin Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 80-85
Projected total 164.4
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game85.4
Vs
32%
68%
■ USK 32%■ DECI 68%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game78.1
Czech RepublicNBLRound 13· Sportovni hala Folimanka
Other2026-27
Meetings · USK Prague v Decin
18 Nov 2026
USK v DECI
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
USK 77
DECI81
05 Apr 2025
USK 87
DECI75
25 Sep 2024
USK 65
DECI71
27 Mar 2024
USK 70
DECI75
16 Feb 2024
USK 74
DECI69
20 Dec 2023
USK 77
DECI79
02 Nov 2022
USK 67
DECI70
18 Dec 2021
USK 74
DECI92
18 Jan 2021
USK 82
DECI80
14 Mar 2020
USK v DECI
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
USK 96
DECI78
05 Jan 2019
USK 69
DECI89
22 Feb 2018
USK 78
DECI68
21 Dec 2017
USK 53
DECI77
07 Oct 2017
USK 82
DECI74
01 Apr 2017
USK 65
DECI70
05 Oct 2016
USK 87
DECI84
20 Apr 2016
USK 62
DECI66
13 Apr 2016
USK 74
DECI68
19 Mar 2016
USK 63
DECI64
13 Jan 2016
USK 53
DECI69
12 Dec 2015
USK 53
DECI59
25 Mar 2015
USK 74
DECI83
08 Feb 2015
USK 64
DECI74
02 Apr 2014
USK 66
DECI79
19 Feb 2014
USK 81
DECI70
03 Jan 2013
USK 59
DECI66
17 Apr 2012
USK 59
DECI70
07 Apr 2012
USK 62
DECI67
19 Nov 2011
USK 69
DECI64
13 Oct 2010
USK 55
DECI76
20 Jan 2010
USK 82
DECI79
07 Oct 2009
USK 83
DECI90
04 Feb 2009
USK 85
DECI79
03 Jan 2009
USK 60
DECI73
Sections
Game preview & prediction

USK Prague will host Decin in the NBL on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring Decin as the stronger side and predicting a 68% chance of a win for the visitors against a 32% chance for the hosts, who are projected to score 80 points to Decin's 85 for a total of 164.4 points. USK Prague, 5-6 overall, averages 83.8 points scored and 85.4 points allowed, sits in 8th place, while at home they are 2-4 with 87.2 points for and 87.7 against; their last five games include a win over NH Ostrava 85-82 away, a loss to Pardubice 85-102 at home, and a win over Hradec Kralove 93-85 away. Decin, 7-5 overall, averages 84.3 points for and 78.1 against, positioned 5th, and on the road are 3-4 with 85.4 points for and 82.7 against; their last five games feature a win over Usti n. Labem 92-66 at home and losses to Pardubice 75-81 at home and Slavia Prague ERA NBK 78-89 away. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Decin has won eight times, most recently defeating USK Prague 74-57 on 23 September 2026, and the projected spread is 0 with a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USK Prague win
32.3%fair 3.09
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Decin win
67.7%fair 1.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USK PragueCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrague
Date
Competition
Decin
#5
L
57-74
57
74
-17
45avg 74
A23/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 74
H26/09
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
69avg 74
A30/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
W
105-89
105
89
+16
102avg 74
H03/10
NBL
Opava
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
80avg 74
H10/10
NBL
Brno
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 74
A18/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
85-61
85
61
+24
75avg 74
H24/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
93-85
93
85
+8
84avg 74
A28/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
78avg 74
H31/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
24-16
20-16
20-25
16-32
20-21
17-24
20-14
27-22
21-27
26-17
22-23
36-22
26-16
17-29
21-32
24-20
16-28
15-13
25-27
24-23
18-12
28-14
17-12
22-23
18-21
27-22
27-19
21-23
24-31
23-22
23-21
15-28
29-20
18-24
14-14
24-24
169.3Avg total
84.2Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.885.4169.2-1.545%
Season at home (6)87.287.7174.8-0.533%
Season away (5)79.882.6162.4-2.860%
Last 10 (10)84.285.1169.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)85.684.2169.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.089.3171.3-7.327%
vs Similar (15)81.885.6167.4-3.847%
vs Weaker (4)87.581.0168.5+6.575%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Opava
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A26/09
NBL
Brno
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 75
H30/09
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 75
A04/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
82avg 75
A10/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
W
82-79
82
79
+3
82avg 75
A17/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 75
H24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 75
A01/11
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A04/11
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
H07/11
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H11/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
29-25
9-22
19-17
32-17
17-16
21-23
16-22
14-13
26-17
14-8
22-13
15-26
21-21
13-25
34-11
17-27
23-27
20-8
22-17
26-10
23-21
15-22
23-23
29-22
17-28
18-27
20-22
22-27
19-18
21-25
16-19
26-12
23-22
16-13
27-19
13-23
20-18
22-18
20-22
163.0Avg total
82.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.378.1162.4+6.258%
Season at home (5)82.871.6154.4+11.280%
Season away (7)85.482.7168.1+2.743%
Last 10 (10)82.980.1163.0+2.850%
Last 5 (5)83.282.2165.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.691.1169.8-12.512%
vs Similar (15)82.783.4166.1-0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.074.9159.9+10.171%
This opponent (USK Prague) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
52.7%
Under 163
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
40.4%
Under 168
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
29.2%
Under 173
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

USK Prague total 82.5
Over 82.5
38.5%
Under 82.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague total 86.5
Over 86.5
25.1%
Under 86.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague total 90.5
Over 90.5
14.9%
Under 90.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Decin total 78
Over 78
75.5%
Under 78
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Decin total 82
Over 82
61.2%
Under 82
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Decin total 86
Over 86
45.0%
Under 86
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread USK Prague -3
USK -3
24.4%
DECI +3
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
USK
No market prices yet.
DECI
No market prices yet.
Spread USK Prague 0
USK 0
32.3%
DECI 0
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
USK
No market prices yet.
DECI
No market prices yet.
Spread USK Prague +3
USK +3
40.5%
DECI -3
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
USK
No market prices yet.
DECI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
USK PragueDecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USK PragueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decin
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H26/09
NBL
Plzen
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/10
NBL
Opava
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H10/10
NBL
Brno
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A18/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H24/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A28/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H31/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A07/11
NBL
82.6Avg total
41.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.885.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.386.5+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.645.284.8-5.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.782.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.744.987.6-2.236%-
vs Similar (15)41.044.085.0-3.047%-
vs Weaker (4)42.839.882.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/09
NBL
Brno
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H30/09
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A04/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A10/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A01/11
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/11
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/11
NBL
84.0Avg total
43.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.185.1-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.583.8+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.746.786.4-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.984.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.283.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.248.687.9-9.40%-
vs Similar (15)43.342.285.5+1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.138.981.0+3.371%-
This opponent (USK Prague) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
USK Praguetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
52.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws27.418.0
65.7%
68.8%18.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.7
49.9%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.9
29.4%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.921.0
75.3%
68.8%21.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
USK Prague
WLWWLLWWLL
Decin
LWLLWWLWWL
#8
League position
#5
-2.2
Net rating
+4.6
93.0
Offensive rating
91.4
95.3
Defensive rating
86.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.2%
3-point %
29.4%
57.0%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 91.4Defence95.3 · 86.9Shooting52.1% · 47.5%3-point %33.2% · 29.4%Ball care15.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.44 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ USK Prague   ■ Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
USK Prague wins
8
Decin wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Decin v USK Prague74-57
15/11/25Decin v USK Prague69-62
27/09/25USK Prague v Decin77-81
05/04/25USK Prague v Decin87-75
08/03/25Decin v USK Prague96-58
16/11/24Decin v USK Prague73-67
25/09/24USK Prague v Decin65-71
27/03/24USK Prague v Decin70-75
28/02/24Decin v USK Prague69-60
16/02/24USK Prague v Decin74-69
USK Praguelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ANH Ostrava85-82
31/10/26HPardubice85-102
28/10/26AHradec Kralove93-85
24/10/26HOlomoucko85-61
18/10/26ABrno80-91
10/10/26HOpava88-97
03/10/26HSrsni Pisek105-89
30/09/26APlzen84-81
26/09/26HUsti n. Labem80-89
23/09/26ADecin57-74
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPardubice75-81
07/11/26HUsti n. Labem92-66
04/11/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK78-89
01/11/26ASrsni Pisek84-99
24/10/26HNH Ostrava87-76
17/10/26APardubice82-79
10/10/26AHradec Kralove93-99 OT
04/10/26AOlomoucko76-51
30/09/26HBrno86-78
26/09/26AOpava76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USK Prague
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game83.887.279.8
Allowed / game85.487.782.6
Point differential-1.5-0.5-2.8
Avg total169.2174.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Decin
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game84.382.885.4
Allowed / game78.171.682.7
Point differential+6.2+11.2+2.7
Avg total162.4154.4168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK1211192%98.980.9+18.0
2 Pardubice1311285%89.678.2+11.4
3 Srsni Pisek107370%90.584.0+6.5
4 NH Ostrava106460%85.079.8+5.2
5 Decin127558%84.378.1+6.2
6 Usti n. Labem116555%85.880.6+5.2
7 Brno115645%81.082.1-1.1
8 USK Prague115645%83.885.4-1.5
9 Opava114736%83.190.3-7.2
10 Hradec Kralove113827%83.491.7-8.4
11 Plzen111109%76.792.8-16.1
12 Olomoucko111109%66.087.5-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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