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USK Prague vs Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-75
16-16 25-14 12-17 17-28
Position#10
Record12-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#2
Record19-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game82.7
Czech RepublicNBLRound 12· Sportovni hala Folimanka
Other2023-24
Meetings · USK Prague v Decin
18 Nov 2026
USK v DECI
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
USK 77
DECI81
05 Apr 2025
USK 87
DECI75
25 Sep 2024
USK 65
DECI71
27 Mar 2024
USK 70
DECI75
16 Feb 2024
USK 74
DECI69
20 Dec 2023
USK 77
DECI79
02 Nov 2022
USK 67
DECI70
18 Dec 2021
USK 74
DECI92
18 Jan 2021
USK 82
DECI80
14 Mar 2020
USK v DECI
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
USK 96
DECI78
05 Jan 2019
USK 69
DECI89
22 Feb 2018
USK 78
DECI68
21 Dec 2017
USK 53
DECI77
07 Oct 2017
USK 82
DECI74
01 Apr 2017
USK 65
DECI70
05 Oct 2016
USK 87
DECI84
20 Apr 2016
USK 62
DECI66
13 Apr 2016
USK 74
DECI68
19 Mar 2016
USK 63
DECI64
13 Jan 2016
USK 53
DECI69
12 Dec 2015
USK 53
DECI59
25 Mar 2015
USK 74
DECI83
08 Feb 2015
USK 64
DECI74
02 Apr 2014
USK 66
DECI79
19 Feb 2014
USK 81
DECI70
03 Jan 2013
USK 59
DECI66
17 Apr 2012
USK 59
DECI70
07 Apr 2012
USK 62
DECI67
19 Nov 2011
USK 69
DECI64
13 Oct 2010
USK 55
DECI76
20 Jan 2010
USK 82
DECI79
07 Oct 2009
USK 83
DECI90
04 Feb 2009
USK 85
DECI79
03 Jan 2009
USK 60
DECI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USK Prague winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USK PragueCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrague
Date
Competition
MBK Handlova
#8
W
66-57
66
57
+9
60avg 65
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Nymburk
#1
L
55-71
55
71
-16
49avg 65
A15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Decin
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 65
H16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Decin
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
56avg 65
A28/02
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
54-73
54
73
-19
48avg 65
H02/03
NBL
Opava
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
51avg 65
A06/03
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
60-87
60
87
-27
50avg 65
A09/03
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
72-90
72
90
-18
71avg 65
H13/03
NBL
Brno
#5
L
65-82
65
82
-17
61avg 65
A16/03
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 65
A20/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
13-21
19-8
21-14
18-15
13-21
12-23
12-12
14-28
28-14
15-10
17-17
22-16
22-21
10-22
6-10
12-32
19-14
10-12
13-15
15-20
14-23
15-22
19-22
17-14
12-28
17-19
14-26
15-21
20-23
17-28
20-18
18-17
13-22
16-18
18-25
22-23
18-11
19-20
13-30
141.0Avg total
64.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)72.777.7150.5-5.036%
Season at home (16)76.674.9151.5+1.656%
Season away (17)69.180.4149.5-11.218%
Last 10 (10)64.176.9141.0-12.820%
Last 5 (5)66.486.0152.4-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.183.0149.1-16.90%
vs Similar (12)70.772.2142.8-1.542%
vs Weaker (6)81.876.7158.5+5.283%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
BC Komarno
#7
W
78-67
78
67
+11
65avg 77
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
58avg 77
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 77
A16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
64avg 77
H28/02
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
71avg 77
A02/03
NBL
Brno
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
94avg 77
H06/03
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
57-83
57
83
-26
40avg 77
A09/03
NBL
Opava
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
89avg 77
H11/03
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
109-83
109
83
+26
112avg 77
A16/03
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
71-93
71
93
-22
64avg 77
H20/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-17
12-14
25-15
24-23
12-26
19-28
26-19
28-14
14-28
10-15
17-17
16-22
21-22
22-10
10-6
17-29
27-22
17-24
25-26
24-22
23-15
20-23
24-25
17-23
15-19
14-21
11-20
28-26
23-11
16-20
24-30
29-16
26-19
31-26
23-22
22-26
19-32
10-8
20-27
163.1Avg total
80.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.382.7168.0+2.658%
Season at home (17)86.178.6164.7+7.571%
Season away (16)84.487.0171.4-2.644%
Last 10 (10)80.282.9163.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)83.886.2170.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.289.2170.5-8.025%
vs Similar (9)82.186.0168.1-3.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.875.9158.7+6.975%
This opponent (USK Prague) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
USK PragueDecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USK PragueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBK Handlova
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Nymburk
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Decin
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Decin
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A28/02
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H02/03
NBL
Opava
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/03
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A09/03
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H13/03
NBL
Brno
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/03
NBL
Nymburk
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/03
NBL
73.6Avg total
33.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.875.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.939.076.9-1.131%-
Last 30 away (17)35.538.674.1-3.141%-
Last 10 (10)33.839.873.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.473.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.541.778.3-5.227%-
vs Similar (12)35.137.872.8-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)38.837.576.3+1.350%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Komarno
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H28/02
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A02/03
NBL
Brno
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/03
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/03
NBL
Opava
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H11/03
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A16/03
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H20/03
NBL
85.9Avg total
42.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.383.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.482.3+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.185.1+0.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.385.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.887.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.045.286.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (9)42.745.287.9-2.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.338.680.9+3.856%-
This opponent (USK Prague) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
USK Praguetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague: 63.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.3
46.9%
51.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.34.7
23.2%
31.4%14.1
🏀 Free throws22.314.9
66.8%
69.5%14.9
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
51.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.1
29.5%
31.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.518.5
72.5%
69.5%18.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
USK Prague
LLLLLLLWLW
Decin
LWWLWLWLLW
#10
League position
#2
-18.2
Net rating
-3.5
88.2
Offensive rating
104.2
106.4
Defensive rating
107.8
42.6%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
21.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
23.2%
3-point %
29.5%
72.7%
Assist %
70.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 104.2Defence106.4 · 107.8Shooting42.6% · 47.2%3-point %23.2% · 29.5%Ball care21.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ USK Prague   ■ Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
USK Prague wins
6
Decin wins
DateGameScore
28/02/24Decin v USK Prague69-60
16/02/24USK Prague v Decin74-69
20/12/23USK Prague v Decin77-79
11/10/23Decin v USK Prague93-79
18/01/23Decin v USK Prague85-77
02/11/22USK Prague v Decin67-70
18/12/21USK Prague v Decin74-92
13/10/21Decin v USK Prague80-89
03/09/21Decin v USK Prague81-83
18/01/21USK Prague v Decin82-80 OT
USK Praguelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ANymburk72-84
16/03/24ABrno65-82
13/03/24HUsti n. Labem72-90
09/03/24AKolin60-87
06/03/24AOpava63-87
02/03/24HPardubice54-73
28/02/24ADecin60-69
16/02/24HDecin74-69
15/02/24ANymburk55-71
14/02/24HMBK Handlova66-57
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HUsti n. Labem71-93
16/03/24AKolin109-83
11/03/24HOpava91-87
09/03/24APardubice57-83
06/03/24HBrno91-85
02/03/24ANymburk86-101
28/02/24HUSK Prague69-60
16/02/24AUSK Prague69-74
15/02/24HLevice81-96
14/02/24HBC Komarno78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USK Prague
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL56%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %36%56%18%
Points / game72.776.669.1
Allowed / game77.774.980.4
Point differential-5.0+1.6-11.2
Avg total150.5151.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Decin
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%71%44%
Points / game85.386.184.4
Allowed / game82.778.687.0
Point differential+2.6+7.5-2.6
Avg total168.0164.7171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nymburk3226681%90.570.8+19.8
2 Opava33221167%90.183.3+6.8
3 Usti n. Labem33221167%88.281.9+6.3
4 Decin33191458%85.382.7+2.6
5 Pardubice33181555%82.481.8+0.6
6 Brno34181653%77.378.2-0.9
7 Olomoucko30131743%82.686.1-3.6
8 NH Ostrava32131941%78.780.9-2.2
9 Kolin33132039%78.986.9-7.9
10 Srsni Pisek31121939%84.989.1-4.1
11 USK Prague33122136%72.777.7-5.0
12 Slavia Prague3162519%76.389.4-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USK Prague1625121770
Decin1614172875
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