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UT Arlington vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-58
36-21 34-37
Position#272
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#40
Record12-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UT Arlington v Texas State
25 Nov 2023
UT A66
TEXA73
10 Dec 2022
UT A65
TEXA71
27 Jan 2022
UT A70
TEXA58
11 Feb 2021
UT A56
TEXA63
28 Feb 2020
UT A85
TEXA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#172
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A19/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#650
W
95-46
95
46
+49
H23/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
55-62 OT
55
62
-7
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A21/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
18-35
32-35
59-14
36-32
41-40
34-35
34-29
28-28
31-32
39-31
30-33
35-32
39-33
44-40
25-24
21-22
35-26
35-49
26-35
43-34
144.8Avg total
74.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)68.970.5139.5-1.642%
Season at home (8)76.965.9142.8+11.075%
Season away (11)63.273.9137.1-10.718%
Last 10 (10)74.370.5144.8+3.850%
Last 5 (5)75.476.4151.8-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.372.1134.4-9.733%
vs Similar (11)68.469.3137.6-0.945%
vs Weaker (7)79.768.1147.9+11.657%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#300
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
101-54
101
54
+47
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
75-36
75
36
+39
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
36-30
59-22
42-32
31-18
36-29
34-20
41-16
22-45
25-35
24-33
39-45
51-33
29-23
32-32
40-36
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
130.8Avg total
70.5Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.863.4136.2+9.471%
Season at home (8)77.655.5133.1+22.188%
Season away (9)68.470.4138.9-2.056%
Last 10 (10)70.560.3130.8+10.270%
Last 5 (5)68.865.6134.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (8)65.968.8134.6-2.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)72.158.2130.3+13.990%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +7.6+7.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.6+2.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +7.6+7.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.6+2.6
UT ArlingtonTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#172
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#650
W
59-14
59
14
+45
H23/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A21/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A22/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.8Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.363.4-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.030.165.1+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)27.334.461.7-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.163.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.261.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.834.862.6-7.133%-
vs Similar (11)31.831.763.5+0.155%-
vs Weaker (7)35.928.764.6+7.157%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#300
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
36.3Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.328.462.8+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.226.862.0+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)33.430.363.6+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.328.765.0+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.867.2+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (8)30.629.560.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)36.327.263.6+9.171%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UT Arlington wins
3
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AUALR96-98 OT
21/01/22AArkansas State70-75
15/01/22HLouisiana Monroe55-62 OT
14/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette83-73
08/01/22AGeorgia Southern73-74 OT
07/01/22AGeorgia State70-63
01/01/22HTroy62-57
31/12/21HSouth Alabama89-87 OT
23/12/21HHoward Payne95-46
19/12/21AOklahoma50-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59
15/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-68
14/01/22HLouisiana Monroe80-56
31/12/21HTroy63-78
23/12/21AHouston47-80
18/12/21HPaul Quinn75-36
16/12/21HLamar67-47
12/12/21HSouthwestern Pirates101-54
05/12/21HDenver71-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Arlington
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%75%18%
Points / game68.976.963.2
Allowed / game70.565.973.9
Point differential-1.6+11.0-10.7
Avg total139.5142.8137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %26%38%18%
Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game72.877.668.4
Allowed / game63.455.570.4
Point differential+9.4+22.1-2.0
Avg total136.2133.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%75%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1913668%73.764.1+9.7
2 Abilene Christian2013765%77.566.0+11.5
3 Southern Utah1711665%79.674.0+5.6
4 California Baptist2012860%74.668.1+6.5
5 Utah Tech20101050%77.374.6+2.7
6 UT Arlington1981142%68.970.5-1.6
7 Tarleton2291341%65.066.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama1914574%74.663.8+10.8
2 Arkansas State1813572%73.868.4+5.4
3 Texas State1712571%72.863.4+9.4
4 Troy1913668%71.564.7+6.8
5 James Madison1812667%79.071.3+7.7
6 Coastal Carolina2012860%75.265.2+10.1
7 Appalachian State2213959%67.262.9+4.3
8 Louisiana Lafayette179853%71.269.4+1.9
9 Georgia Southern189950%68.963.6+5.3
10 Louisiana Monroe21101148%73.774.5-0.8
11 Georgia State157847%73.067.3+5.7
12 Old Dominion1971237%66.567.2-0.7
13 Marshall2071335%75.076.2-1.3
14 Southern Miss1861233%63.571.2-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UT Arlington363470
Texas State213758
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