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Texas State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-78
24-33 39-45
Position#40
Record9-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#99
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v Troy
11 Feb 2026
TEXA74
TROY62
25 Feb 2025
TEXA69
TROY74
01 Mar 2024
TEXA82
TROY79
31 Dec 2022
TEXA52
TROY55
30 Dec 2021
TEXA63
TROY78
06 Jan 2020
TEXA63
TROY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A19/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A21/11
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H25/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
101-54
101
54
+47
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
75-36
75
36
+39
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
33-47
47-29
38-36
25-33
56-41
47-27
45-20
26-38
54-31
35-28
36-30
59-22
42-32
31-18
36-29
34-20
41-16
22-45
25-35
136.8Avg total
75.9Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.462.5136.9+11.975%
Season at home (5)81.248.4129.6+32.8100%
Season away (7)69.672.6142.1-3.057%
Last 10 (10)75.960.9136.8+15.080%
Last 5 (5)72.255.0127.2+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.068.2136.2-0.244%
vs Weaker (20)71.858.2130.0+13.695%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#351
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
45-84
45
84
-39
A28/11
NCAA
Rust College
#495
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H02/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H15/12
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#408
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H18/12
NCAA
Mercer
#198
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
39-36
42-39
38-28
32-35
41-38
20-49
25-35
47-17
34-31
31-33
37-39
37-39
38-33
28-28
38-29
47-19
37-45
38-33
31-32
140.4Avg total
72.3Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.566.0139.5+7.569%
Season at home (6)78.758.0136.7+20.783%
Season away (7)69.072.9141.9-3.957%
Last 10 (10)72.368.1140.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)72.466.0138.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.471.6138.0-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (5)66.872.8139.6-6.060%
vs Weaker (7)77.163.7140.9+13.471%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
Texas StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A19/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A21/11
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A23/12
NCAA
64.5Avg total
35.3Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.128.461.5+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.125.560.5+9.677%-
Last 30 away (17)31.630.662.2+1.159%-
Last 10 (10)35.329.264.5+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.226.662.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.228.960.1+2.356%-
vs Weaker (20)34.527.361.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#351
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A28/11
NCAA
Rust College
#495
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H02/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H15/12
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#408
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H18/12
NCAA
Mercer
#198
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.964.1+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.927.061.9+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)31.934.266.1-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.068.5+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.466.6+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.631.662.2-0.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)28.634.062.6-5.440%-
vs Weaker (7)39.129.368.4+9.943%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
1
Troy wins
DateGameScore
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/21AHouston47-80
18/12/21HPaul Quinn75-36
16/12/21HLamar67-47
12/12/21HSouthwestern Pirates101-54
05/12/21HDenver71-58
01/12/21ARice80-69
25/11/21HLeTourneau92-47
21/11/21AEast. Washington81-74
19/11/21AUtah Tech85-65
15/11/21AVanderbilt60-79
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/21AMercer69-65
18/12/21HArkansas Baptist84-64
15/12/21HAlabama A&M Bulldogs66-57
11/12/21ATennessee Tech75-72
05/12/21HSE Louisiana68-72
02/12/21HRust College81-48
28/11/21AFlorida45-84
23/11/21AFlorida Atlantic83-78 OT
20/11/21AUT Martin80-67
19/11/21ANorth Dakota72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%100%57%
Points / game74.481.269.6
Allowed / game62.548.472.6
Point differential+11.9+32.8-3.0
Avg total136.9129.6142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game73.578.769.0
Allowed / game66.058.072.9
Point differential+7.5+20.7-3.9
Avg total139.5136.7141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
2 South Alabama1310377%75.061.0+14.0
3 Texas State129375%74.462.5+11.9
4 Arkansas State129375%74.368.2+6.1
5 Troy139469%73.566.0+7.5
6 Coastal Carolina128467%79.864.5+15.2
7 Georgia State117464%76.366.6+9.6
8 Louisiana Monroe138562%79.476.9+2.5
9 Georgia Southern127558%71.661.2+10.4
10 Louisiana Lafayette116555%71.267.9+3.3
11 Marshall137654%78.475.2+3.2
12 Appalachian State146843%67.162.2+4.9
13 Old Dominion146843%65.666.5-0.9
14 Southern Miss124833%61.370.1-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State243963
Troy334578
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