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UT Arlington vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 66-73
27-32 39-41
Position#136
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#214
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.7
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UT Arlington v Texas State
25 Nov 2023
UT A66
TEXA73
10 Dec 2022
UT A65
TEXA71
27 Jan 2022
UT A70
TEXA58
11 Feb 2021
UT A56
TEXA63
28 Feb 2020
UT A85
TEXA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#93
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Texas-Tyler Patriots
#501
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H11/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A17/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
56-101
56
101
-45
A19/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
46-44
33-35
28-26
31-32
28-46
27-36
29-44
29-35
48-47
31-36
44-35
50-24
45-40
36-48
44-34
37-43
19-58
36-33
46-36
150.9Avg total
72.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.677.4155.0+0.260%
Season at home (3)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)68.091.5159.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)72.778.2150.9-5.540%
Last 5 (5)77.677.4155.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.673.9139.4-8.322%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.168.0133.1-2.943%
vs Weaker (4)76.863.5140.2+13.275%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
40-45
32-14
33-22
37-38
34-30
25-34
33-30
34-38
32-33
40-31
35-34
22-45
32-48
27-25
45-37
20-26
28-33
25-28
42-46
132.5Avg total
65.7Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)63.770.7134.3-7.033%
Season at home (3)62.365.0127.3-2.733%
Season away (3)65.076.3141.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)65.766.8132.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)63.270.6133.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)62.270.2132.5-8.018%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.863.6131.4+4.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
UT ArlingtonTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#93
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/03
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas-Tyler Patriots
#501
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H11/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A17/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.131.662.7-0.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.330.163.4+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)28.933.161.9-4.220%-
Last 10 (10)34.036.470.4-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.733.363.9-2.628%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.430.359.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker (4)31.028.259.2+2.850%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H22/11
NCAA
61.3Avg total
30.3Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.131.761.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.931.561.3-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)30.431.962.3-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)30.331.061.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)26.831.057.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.833.962.8-5.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.128.759.8+2.458%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UT Arlington wins
5
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HAlcorn State82-69
19/11/23AArizona56-101
17/11/23ANew Mexico80-82
11/11/23HTexas-Tyler Patriots95-64
07/11/23HOral Roberts75-71
07/03/23AGrand Canyon77-82
04/03/23ASeattle56-80
02/03/23AUtah Valley State59-78
25/02/23HUtah Tech71-69 OT
24/02/23HSouthern Utah76-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HSouthern Utah67-74
21/11/23HMcNeese State48-59
18/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners72-62
15/11/23AOklahoma54-93
11/11/23AMiami (Ohio)75-65
07/11/23AUALR66-71
06/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette58-64
04/03/23AMarshall71-68
02/03/23AOld Dominion65-36
01/03/23HGeorgia State81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Arlington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.684.068.0
Allowed / game77.468.091.5
Point differential+0.2+16.0-23.5
Avg total155.0152.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game63.762.365.0
Allowed / game70.765.076.3
Point differential-7.0-2.7-11.3
Avg total134.3127.3141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist54180%70.061.8+8.2
2 Tarleton64267%68.863.7+5.2
3 Utah Valley State64267%70.066.5+3.5
4 UT Arlington53260%77.677.4+0.2
5 Abilene Christian63350%67.870.8-3.0
6 Southern Utah52340%78.274.6+3.6
7 Utah Tech52340%70.478.6-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison660100%92.080.5+11.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette64267%83.773.0+10.7
3 Appalachian State53260%77.866.8+11.0
4 Georgia State53260%81.879.2+2.6
5 South Alabama74357%75.679.1-3.6
6 Troy63350%86.569.5+17.0
7 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
8 Southern Miss73443%67.164.1+3.0
9 Texas State62433%63.770.7-7.0
10 Marshall62433%74.081.2-7.2
11 Old Dominion41325%68.073.0-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State51420%76.486.2-9.8
14 Georgia Southern6060%70.385.0-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UT Arlington273966
Texas State324173
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