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Utah Utes vs Washington Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 74-70
Projected total 143.8
Scheduled
Position#71
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game61.3
Utah Utes
USA
Vs
66%
34%
■ UTAH 66%■ WASH 34%
Pythia win probability
Washington
USA
Position#66
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Utah Utes v Washington
15 Nov 2026
UTAH v WASH
upcoming
31 Dec 2023
UTAH95
WASH90
21 Jan 2023
UTAH86
WASH61
06 Jan 2022
UTAH68
WASH74
10 Mar 2021
UTAH98
WASH95
03 Dec 2020
UTAH76
WASH62
23 Jan 2020
UTAH67
WASH66
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Utah Utes host Washington on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Utes the model favourite and a 66% chance to win, while Washington has a 34% chance; the projected score is 74-70 and the total is 143.8 points. Utah has gone 3-0 this season, scoring 72.7 points per game and allowing 61.3, and has won all three of its home games, averaging the same points and allowing the same 61.3; in the last five games it has 3 wins and 2 losses, with recent victories over Weber State 85-64, Towson 67-57 and Long Beach State 66-63. Washington is 2-0 this season, averaging 83.5 points and conceding 70.0, and has 3 wins and 2 losses in its last five games, with recent wins over Miss. Valley St. 77-64, Colgate 90-76 and a loss to Wisconsin 82-85. Historically the teams have met ten times, Washington winning six and Utah four, with the last meeting on 29 December 2025 when Washington beat Utah 74-65. The Utes line is -3.0 with a 58% chance to cover, the total line is 144.0 with a 49% chance of the over, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The next game will see Utah attempting to extend its undefeated streak against Washington.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Utes win
66.1%fair 1.51
Best odds1.71
Implied59.3%
Edge+6.8pp
Washington win
33.9%fair 2.95
Best odds2.38
Implied40.7%
Edge-6.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 06:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah UtesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A19/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H25/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#287
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Towson
#175
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Weber State
#324
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-21
30-35
36-41
35-32
31-41
28-34
24-34
36-39
25-51
53-41
33-53
42-48
20-29
46-44
28-40
38-23
27-19
40-38
30-37
55-27
141.5Avg total
68.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.761.3134.0+11.3100%
Season at home (3)72.761.3134.0+11.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.872.7141.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)71.871.6143.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)70.779.3150.0-8.619%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.476.1151.6-0.729%
vs Weaker (2)75.563.5139.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Washington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WashingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H28/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H05/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A08/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Colgate
#368
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
30-31
32-34
28-30
36-29
43-43
21-36
52-54
40-43
51-29
30-44
49-41
33-40
38-31
33-43
49-42
43-38
47-38
43-33
34-31
152.7Avg total
78.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.570.0153.5+13.5100%
Season at home (2)83.570.0153.5+13.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.374.4152.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)82.277.8160.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.079.7148.7-10.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.875.8153.6+2.050%
vs Weaker (10)78.267.1145.3+11.170%
This opponent (Utah Utes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139
Over 139
61.1%
@ 1.50-1.4pp
Under 139
38.9%
@ 2.50+1.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 144 · main line
Over 144
48.8%
@ 1.95-1.0pp
Under 144
51.2%
@ 1.90+1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
SBO
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Over/Under 149
Over 149
36.7%
@ 2.65+1.6pp
Under 149
63.3%
@ 1.43-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Under
Bet365
1.43

📊 3. Team Totals

Utah Utes total 70
Over 70
66.7%
Under 70
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utah Utes total 74 · main line
Over 74
50.9%
@ 1.85+0.4pp
Under 74
49.1%
@ 1.87-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Utah Utes total 78
Over 78
34.9%
Under 78
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Washington total 66
Over 66
63.6%
Under 66
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Washington total 70 · main line
Over 70
47.7%
@ 1.85-2.6pp
Under 70
52.3%
@ 1.86+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Washington total 74
Over 74
32.4%
Under 74
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Utah Utes -6
UTAH -6
46.0%
@ 2.30+5.7pp
WASH +6
54.0%
@ 1.55-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Bet365
2.30
WASH
Bet365
1.55
Spread Utah Utes -3 · main line
UTAH -3
57.7%
@ 1.88+6.5pp
WASH +3
42.3%
@ 1.97-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
WASH
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Bet365
1.88
SBO
1.85
Spread Utah Utes 0
UTAH 0
66.1%
WASH 0
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
No market prices yet.
WASH
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
Utah UtesWashington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah UtesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A19/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-51
25
51
-26
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#287
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H03/11
NCAA
Towson
#175
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H06/11
NCAA
Weber State
#324
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
28.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)34.338.973.2-4.727%67%
Last 30 at home (16)34.939.474.3-4.631%62%
Last 30 away (14)33.638.471.9-4.821%71%
Last 10 (10)28.536.665.1-8.120%40%
Last 5 (5)27.635.663.2-8.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.339.874.0-5.524%76%
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.736.672.3-0.943%57%
vs Weaker (2)29.038.567.5-9.50%0%
This opponent (Washington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WashingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H28/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A08/03
NCAA
USC
#153
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/03
NCAA
Colgate
#368
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H10/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
35.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)34.936.271.1-1.340%60%
Last 30 at home (16)37.334.972.2+2.444%69%
Last 30 away (14)32.137.669.7-5.636%50%
Last 10 (10)35.036.671.6-1.640%60%
Last 5 (5)36.439.676.0-3.240%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.839.771.5-7.817%83%
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.637.170.7-3.636%50%
vs Weaker (10)38.532.871.3+5.760%60%
This opponent (Utah Utes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
UTAH win
no forecast
@ 1.67
WASH win
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Spread Utah Utes -1.5 · main line
UTAH -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
WASH +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Utah Utes 1st half total 34.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
Washington 1st half total 32.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half: UTAH + total 67.5
UTAH & over
no forecast
@ 3.35
UTAH & under
no forecast
@ 3.10
1st half: Draw + total 67.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: WASH + total 67.5
WASH & over
no forecast
@ 4.50
WASH & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half Over/Under 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Utah Utes -2.5
UTAH -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
WASH +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Utah Utes -0.5
UTAH -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.66
WASH +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half Spread Utah Utes -3.5
UTAH -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
WASH +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.57
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
UTAH
no forecast
@ 1.72
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
WASH
no forecast
@ 2.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
UTAH win + total 144.5
🔒 Pro
WASH win + total 144.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: UTAH leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WASH leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Utah Utes +271.2%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+10.8pp
Utah Utes +477.1%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+10.1pp
Utah Utes over 68.571.3%1.35
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.34		---+3.2pp
Washington under 75.572.0%1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32		---+3.0pp
Under 15270.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+0.0pp
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🔒 63 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah Utes wins
6
Washington wins
DateGameScore
30/12/25Washington v Utah Utes74-65
28/01/24Washington v Utah Utes98-73
31/12/23Utah Utes v Washington95-90
22/01/23Utah Utes v Washington86-61
10/03/22Washington v Utah Utes82-70
29/01/22Washington v Utah Utes77-73 OT
07/01/22Utah Utes v Washington68-74
11/03/21Utah Utes v Washington98-95
24/01/21Washington v Utah Utes83-79
03/12/20Utah Utes v Washington76-62
Utah Uteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HWeber State85-64
06/11/26HTowson67-57
03/11/26HLong Beach State66-63
10/03/26ACincinnati66-73
07/03/26ABaylor75-101
04/03/26HColorado78-92
28/02/26AArizona State60-73
25/02/26HIowa State59-75
22/02/26HUCF Knights71-73
19/02/26AWest Virginia61-56
Washingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HMiss. Valley St.77-64
03/11/26HColgate90-76
12/03/26AWisconsin82-85
11/03/26HUSC83-79 OT
08/03/26AOregon79-85
05/03/26HUSC91-72
28/02/26HWisconsin73-90
24/02/26ARutgers79-72
21/02/26AMaryland60-64
15/02/26HMinnesota69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Utes
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game72.772.7-
Allowed / game61.361.3-
Point differential+11.3+11.3-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over 14433%33%-
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Washington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.583.5-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total153.5153.5-
Over 14450%50%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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