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Utah Valley State vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-67
0-0 34-32 0-0 40-35
Position#33
Record21-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game67.0
Utah Valley State 🏆
USA
vs
Abilene Christian
USA
Position#264
Record13-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian
28 Feb 2026
UTAH74
ABIL67
05 Feb 2026
UTAH68
ABIL55
04 Jan 2025
UTAH64
ABIL53
10 Feb 2024
UTAH74
ABIL45
18 Jan 2023
UTAH84
ABIL54
30 Dec 2021
UTAH76
ABIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
83-55
83
55
+28
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A13/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H20/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-28
0-0
40-46
0-0
34-35
0-0
36-49
0-0
28-24
0-0
37-41
0-0
35-32
0-0
48-23
0-0
26-24
0-0
42-31
0-0
42-31
0-0
39-29
0-0
25-42
0-0
52-39
0-0
29-22
0-0
36-24
0-0
27-32
0-0
39-22
0-0
35-28
0-0
44-44
140.5Avg total
74.6Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.367.0147.2+13.375%
Season at home (16)84.261.1145.3+23.2100%
Season away (12)75.074.8149.8+0.242%
Last 10 (10)74.665.9140.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)73.662.6136.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.077.3158.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.366.6146.9+13.773%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#329
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A08/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-65 OT
62
65
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-44
0-0
25-30
0-0
31-42
0-0
39-34
0-0
39-33
0-0
37-46
0-0
24-26
0-0
31-42
0-0
26-32
0-0
37-33
0-0
24-27
0-0
43-36
0-0
26-32
0-0
47-27
0-0
26-22
0-0
32-36
0-0
38-48
0-0
49-35
0-0
38-47
0-0
43-38
140.3Avg total
68.6Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.171.6142.8-0.546%
Season at home (15)75.569.1144.5+6.467%
Season away (13)66.174.6140.7-8.523%
Last 10 (10)68.671.7140.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)74.071.0145.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.275.5141.8-9.331%
vs Similar (12)71.774.0145.7-2.342%
vs Weaker (4)80.857.8138.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
Utah Valley StateAbilene Christian
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A13/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H20/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H27/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
32.7Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.667.3+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.227.666.8+11.688%-
Last 30 away (13)33.434.668.0-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)32.729.862.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.032.766.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.230.267.3+7.073%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#329
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
29.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.535.268.7-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.334.469.7+0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)31.236.267.5-5.023%-
Last 10 (10)29.935.365.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.265.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.236.567.8-5.315%-
vs Similar (12)32.537.469.9-4.925%-
vs Weaker (4)42.227.569.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah Valley State wins
3
Abilene Christian wins
DateGameScore
06/02/26Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian68-55
03/01/26Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State85-68
07/03/25Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State60-73
04/01/25Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian64-53
09/03/24Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State67-74
10/02/24Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian74-45
26/02/23Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State62-66
19/01/23Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian84-54
10/03/22Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State82-74
31/12/21Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian76-80
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HTarleton79-72
21/02/26AUT Arlington66-54
20/02/26HCalifornia Baptist65-46
13/02/26AUtah Tech77-81
07/02/26HUT Arlington81-60
06/02/26HAbilene Christian68-55
30/01/26ATarleton83-55
25/01/26ACalifornia Baptist71-78 OT
22/01/26ASouthern Utah70-84
17/01/26HUT Arlington86-74
Abilene Christianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AUtah Tech81-85
21/02/26HSouthern Utah87-83
17/02/26ATarleton62-65 OT
14/02/26HTarleton73-59
13/02/26HUT Arlington67-63
08/02/26ACalifornia Baptist63-65
06/02/26AUtah Valley State55-68
31/01/26HSouthern Utah76-79
30/01/26HUtah Tech70-76
18/01/26ASouthern Utah52-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %75%100%42%
Points / game80.384.275.0
Allowed / game67.061.174.8
Point differential+13.3+23.2+0.2
Avg total147.2145.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%67%23%
Points / game71.175.566.1
Allowed / game71.669.174.6
Point differential-0.5+6.4-8.5
Avg total142.8144.5140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2821775%80.367.0+13.3
2 California Baptist2820871%71.868.1+3.7
3 Utah Tech30181260%76.473.4+3.0
4 UT Arlington28151354%70.667.4+3.2
5 Tarleton29141548%75.273.0+2.1
6 Abilene Christian28131546%71.171.6-0.5
7 Southern Utah2891932%76.279.8-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Valley State03404074
Abilene Christian03203567
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