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Utah Valley State vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-72
0-0 35-28 0-0 44-44
Position#33
Record20-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game66.8
Utah Valley State 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#255
Record14-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah Valley State v Tarleton
26 Feb 2026
UTAH79
TARL72
08 Feb 2025
UTAH81
TARL56
08 Feb 2024
UTAH61
TARL72
09 Mar 2023
UTAH72
TARL58
01 Jan 2022
UTAH77
TARL55
30 Jan 2021
UTAH62
TARL70
29 Jan 2021
UTAH73
TARL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#158
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H10/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
83-55
83
55
+28
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A13/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H20/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-30
0-0
61-46
0-0
46-28
0-0
40-46
0-0
34-35
0-0
36-49
0-0
28-24
0-0
37-41
0-0
35-32
0-0
48-23
0-0
26-24
0-0
42-31
0-0
42-31
0-0
39-29
0-0
25-42
0-0
52-39
0-0
29-22
0-0
36-24
0-0
27-32
0-0
39-22
142.2Avg total
75.9Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.366.8147.1+13.674%
Season at home (15)84.660.3144.9+24.3100%
Season away (12)75.074.8149.8+0.242%
Last 10 (10)75.966.3142.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)71.459.2130.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.077.3158.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.866.0145.8+13.973%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#158
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-34
0-0
40-41
0-0
24-20
0-0
40-51
0-0
32-35
0-0
23-48
0-0
30-29
0-0
29-36
0-0
30-28
0-0
25-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
29-25
0-0
32-26
0-0
27-47
0-0
22-26
0-0
36-32
0-0
44-36
0-0
34-38
0-0
32-32
0-0
40-48
133.8Avg total
64.0Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.372.8148.1+2.550%
Season at home (15)78.069.1147.1+8.967%
Season away (13)72.277.2149.3-5.031%
Last 10 (10)64.069.8133.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)67.269.6136.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.480.9148.3-13.40%
vs Similar (14)70.472.4142.9-2.043%
vs Weaker (6)88.368.5156.8+19.883%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: -7.1-7.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: -7.1-7.1
Utah Valley StateTarleton
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#158
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H10/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A13/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H20/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A21/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
32.3Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.567.1+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.127.466.5+11.888%-
Last 30 away (13)33.434.668.0-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.062.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.260.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.032.766.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.130.067.1+7.173%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
31.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.370.5+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.432.370.7+6.162%-
Last 30 away (14)33.636.670.2-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.863.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.039.673.6-5.614%-
vs Similar (14)32.331.663.9+0.657%-
vs Weaker (6)45.337.783.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Utah Valley State wins
2
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26Tarleton v Utah Valley State55-83
02/01/26Tarleton v Utah Valley State85-91
09/03/25Tarleton v Utah Valley State66-71
08/02/25Utah Valley State v Tarleton81-56
08/03/24Tarleton v Utah Valley State60-63
09/02/24Utah Valley State v Tarleton61-72
10/03/23Utah Valley State v Tarleton72-58
24/02/23Tarleton v Utah Valley State77-58
17/02/22Tarleton v Utah Valley State56-69
01/01/22Utah Valley State v Tarleton77-55
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AUT Arlington66-54
20/02/26HCalifornia Baptist65-46
13/02/26AUtah Tech77-81
07/02/26HUT Arlington81-60
06/02/26HAbilene Christian68-55
30/01/26ATarleton83-55
25/01/26ACalifornia Baptist71-78 OT
22/01/26ASouthern Utah70-84
17/01/26HUT Arlington86-74
10/01/26HUtah Tech92-76
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HUtah Tech72-80
20/02/26HSouthern Utah78-74
17/02/26HAbilene Christian65-62 OT
14/02/26AAbilene Christian59-73
08/02/26ASouthern Utah62-59
06/02/26ACalifornia Baptist55-56
31/01/26HUtah Tech59-65
30/01/26HUtah Valley State55-83
22/01/26AUT Arlington64-71
18/01/26AUtah Tech71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %74%100%42%
Points / game80.384.675.0
Allowed / game66.860.374.8
Point differential+13.6+24.3+0.2
Avg total147.1144.9149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%67%31%
Points / game75.378.072.2
Allowed / game72.869.177.2
Point differential+2.5+8.9-5.0
Avg total148.1147.1149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2720774%80.366.8+13.6
2 California Baptist2719870%71.968.6+3.4
3 Utah Tech29171259%76.173.2+2.9
4 UT Arlington27151256%71.167.4+3.8
5 Tarleton28141450%75.372.8+2.5
6 Abilene Christian27131448%70.771.1-0.4
7 Southern Utah2891932%76.279.8-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Valley State03504479
Tarleton02804472
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