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Utah Valley State vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-68
0-0 39-33 0-0 35-35
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game69.0
Utah Valley State 🏆
USA
vs
Cincinnati
USA
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game68.5
USANITNIT - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#93
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
113-69
113
69
+44
H04/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H11/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#27
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A16/03
NIT
Colorado
#13
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A20/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-33
0-0
42-50
0-0
21-24
0-0
46-34
0-0
20-35
0-0
38-42
0-0
28-31
0-0
38-31
0-0
32-31
0-0
46-28
0-0
55-36
0-0
58-33
0-0
34-27
0-0
38-31
0-0
41-33
0-0
47-56
0-0
46-33
0-0
37-36
0-0
38-38
0-0
43-31
148.9Avg total
79.6Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.669.3148.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)87.470.8158.2+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.677.3159.9+5.357%
vs Weaker (20)76.265.2141.4+10.990%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#249
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H12/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H10/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H16/03
NIT
Hofstra
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A18/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-38
0-0
50-27
0-0
37-29
0-0
34-46
0-0
33-30
0-0
40-41
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-41
0-0
30-41
0-0
43-35
0-0
51-34
0-0
46-40
0-0
37-27
0-0
47-27
0-0
23-38
0-0
25-31
0-0
29-33
0-0
52-39
0-0
40-37
0-0
39-28
148.2Avg total
77.8Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.068.5148.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)79.065.0144.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.870.4148.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)77.866.8144.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.772.0130.7-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.872.8149.7+4.050%
vs Weaker (20)79.667.5147.1+12.180%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
Utah Valley StateCincinnati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#93
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H10/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#27
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A16/03
NIT
Colorado
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/03
NIT
68.4Avg total
36.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.568.5+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.930.170.9+10.893%-
Last 30 away (15)33.132.966.0+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.168.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.476.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.025.063.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.336.376.6+4.057%-
vs Weaker (20)35.330.665.9+4.665%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#249
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#24
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
NIT
Hofstra
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A18/03
NIT
69.2Avg total
35.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.467.4+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.431.067.4+5.468%-
Last 30 away (11)35.232.267.4+3.073%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.169.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.367.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.733.064.7-1.350%-
vs Weaker (20)38.330.168.4+8.185%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah Valley State wins
0
Cincinnati wins
No previous meetings.
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/23AColorado81-69
16/03/23ANew Mexico83-69
11/03/23HSouthern Utah88-89
10/03/23HTarleton72-58
04/03/23HStephen F. Austin113-69
02/03/23HUT Arlington78-59
26/02/23AAbilene Christian66-62
24/02/23ATarleton58-77
19/02/23ASeattle67-58
12/02/23HSouthern Utah90-83
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23AHofstra79-65
16/03/23HVirginia Tech81-72
11/03/23AHouston48-69
10/03/23HTemple84-54
05/03/23HSMU Mustangs97-74
26/02/23AMemphis73-76
23/02/23HTemple88-83 OT
19/02/23AUCF Knights73-71
16/02/23AEast Carolina71-75
12/02/23HSouth Florida84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NIT 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game69.0-69.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Cincinnati
NIT 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.081.079.0
Allowed / game68.572.065.0
Point differential+11.5+9.0+14.0
Avg total148.5153.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB330100%77.359.3+18.0
2 North Texas330100%69.755.7+14.0
3 Utah Valley State220100%82.069.0+13.0
4 Cincinnati220100%80.068.5+11.5
5 Wisconsin330100%72.363.7+8.7
6 Oregon32167%70.057.7+12.3
7 Oklahoma State32167%66.363.0+3.3
8 Vanderbilt32167%65.364.7+0.7
9 Michigan21150%77.573.0+4.5
10 UCF Knights21150%60.558.5+2.0
11 Liberty21150%66.566.0+0.5
12 East. Washington21150%70.572.5-2.0
13 Colorado21150%67.072.5-5.5
14 Hofstra21150%76.582.5-6.0
15 Morehead State21150%63.570.5-7.0
16 Sam Houston St.21150%56.565.5-9.0
17 Seton Hall1010%64.065.0-1.0
18 Rutgers1010%86.088.0-2.0
19 Santa Clara1010%56.058.0-2.0
20 Clemson1010%64.068.0-4.0
21 Villanova1010%57.062.0-5.0
22 Youngstown State1010%64.069.0-5.0
23 Washington State1010%74.081.0-7.0
24 Virginia Tech1010%72.081.0-9.0
25 Yale1010%62.071.0-9.0
26 Toledo1010%80.090.0-10.0
27 New Mexico1010%69.083.0-14.0
28 Alcorn State1010%53.069.0-16.0
29 Florida1010%49.067.0-18.0
30 Bradley1010%62.081.0-19.0
31 UC Irvine1010%58.084.0-26.0
32 Southern Miss1010%60.088.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Valley State03903574
Cincinnati03303568
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