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Tarleton vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-58
35-20 42-38
Position#183
Record14-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game67.6
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
Utah Valley State
USA
Position#35
Record21-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tarleton v Utah Valley State
29 Jan 2026
TARL55
UTAH83
01 Jan 2026
TARL85
UTAH91
08 Mar 2025
TARL66
UTAH71
07 Mar 2024
TARL60
UTAH63
23 Feb 2023
TARL77
UTAH58
16 Feb 2022
TARL56
UTAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#110
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A20/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-24
25-43
19-33
29-44
50-28
24-44
45-21
36-41
24-36
41-32
24-29
45-35
31-25
31-47
45-32
30-39
32-32
28-33
27-34
32-30
132.2Avg total
64.0Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.167.6137.6+2.550%
Season at home (13)77.562.8140.3+14.877%
Season away (15)63.671.7135.3-8.127%
Last 10 (10)64.068.2132.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)65.067.2132.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)59.468.0127.4-8.60%
vs Similar (16)65.070.8135.8-5.838%
vs Weaker (8)79.161.9141.0+17.288%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H19/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
40-34
44-42
36-43
36-22
48-32
32-36
44-38
39-34
28-45
39-36
38-36
29-33
47-36
34-23
37-32
48-33
42-50
21-24
46-34
145.5Avg total
75.9Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.467.8144.2+8.778%
Season at home (13)81.865.2147.1+16.692%
Season away (14)71.470.1141.6+1.364%
Last 10 (10)75.969.6145.5+6.380%
Last 5 (5)76.267.4143.6+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (8)69.475.2144.6-5.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.965.0141.9+11.985%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -6.7-6.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -6.7-6.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
TarletonUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#110
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A20/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H19/02
NCAA
61.3Avg total
31.9Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.829.962.7+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.827.864.5+9.077%-
Last 30 away (17)29.831.561.3-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.929.461.3+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.830.462.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)24.633.658.2-9.00%-
vs Similar (16)32.631.163.8+1.544%-
vs Weaker (8)36.425.962.2+10.588%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A12/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H19/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A19/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.3Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.667.6+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.429.970.4+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)32.233.065.2-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.666.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.864.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.025.063.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (8)34.636.471.0-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.530.667.0+5.970%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
3
Utah Valley State wins
DateGameScore
17/02/22Tarleton v Utah Valley State56-69
01/01/22Utah Valley State v Tarleton77-55
31/01/21Utah Valley State v Tarleton62-70
30/01/21Utah Valley State v Tarleton73-60
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HSam Houston St.59-64
16/02/23AStephen F. Austin60-65
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71
10/02/23ASouthern Utah62-72
06/02/23AUT Arlington69-64
04/02/23HUTRGV65-68
29/01/23HGrand Canyon81-62
27/01/23HUtah Tech74-72
22/01/23ACalifornia Baptist48-77
20/01/23ASeattle47-67
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23ASeattle67-58
12/02/23HSouthern Utah90-83
09/02/23HCalifornia Baptist71-55
03/02/23AUtah Tech76-69
28/01/23HNew Mexico State77-72
27/01/23ASouthern Utah67-79
22/01/23AGrand Canyon76-74
19/01/23HAbilene Christian84-54
15/01/23HSeattle80-85
12/01/23ACalifornia Baptist71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWLL77%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%77%27%
Points / game70.177.563.6
Allowed / game67.662.871.7
Point differential+2.5+14.8-8.1
Avg total137.6140.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game76.481.871.4
Allowed / game67.865.270.1
Point differential+8.7+16.6+1.3
Avg total144.2147.1141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%69%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %11%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2721678%76.467.8+8.7
2 Southern Utah2617965%82.874.5+8.3
3 California Baptist29161355%68.162.0+6.0
4 Abilene Christian28141450%74.868.8+6.0
5 Tarleton28141450%70.167.6+2.5
6 Utah Tech28121643%75.673.9+1.7
7 UT Arlington27101737%66.166.5-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton354277
Utah Valley State203858
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