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Utah Valley State vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-69
55-36 58-33
Position#35
Record23-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game67.6
Utah Valley State 🏆
USA
vs
Stephen F. Austin
USA
Position#102
Record20-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah Valley State v Stephen F. Austin
24 Feb 2024
UTAH71
STEP62
03 Mar 2023
UTAH113
STEP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#77
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
44-38
39-34
28-45
39-36
38-36
29-33
47-36
34-23
37-32
48-33
42-50
21-24
46-34
20-35
38-42
28-31
38-31
32-31
46-28
141.4Avg total
72.6Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.567.6143.1+7.977%
Season at home (14)81.664.8146.4+16.893%
Season away (16)70.270.1140.3+0.262%
Last 10 (10)72.668.8141.4+3.880%
Last 5 (5)71.867.8139.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.576.3148.8-3.850%
vs Weaker (22)76.066.0142.0+10.082%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H26/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A05/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
A23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64 OT
59
64
-5
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
51-44
38-32
41-33
38-40
29-33
37-41
46-45
37-31
45-41
32-32
33-28
39-34
31-41
42-31
33-44
32-24
48-34
21-27
33-27
146.7Avg total
75.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.567.8144.3+8.867%
Season at home (17)77.262.9140.1+14.276%
Season away (13)75.774.1149.8+1.654%
Last 10 (10)75.970.8146.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)73.069.2142.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.070.0135.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.669.7145.3+5.970%
vs Weaker (18)78.366.4144.8+11.972%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
Utah Valley StateStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#77
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/03
NCAA
63.8Avg total
32.2Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.767.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.430.170.5+10.493%-
Last 30 away (16)31.333.164.4-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.663.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.860.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.025.063.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (22)35.430.966.2+4.564%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H26/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A05/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
21-27
21
27
-6
H02/03
NCAA
66.2Avg total
34.8Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.530.266.7+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.126.763.8+10.482%-
Last 30 away (13)35.634.870.4+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.466.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.662.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.031.562.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.733.369.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker (18)37.528.365.8+9.278%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah Valley State wins
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
DateGameScore
04/02/22Stephen F. Austin v Utah Valley State78-59
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HUT Arlington78-59
26/02/23AAbilene Christian66-62
24/02/23ATarleton58-77
19/02/23ASeattle67-58
12/02/23HSouthern Utah90-83
09/02/23HCalifornia Baptist71-55
03/02/23AUtah Tech76-69
28/01/23HNew Mexico State77-72
27/01/23ASouthern Utah67-79
22/01/23AGrand Canyon76-74
Stephen F. Austinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HSam Houston St.59-64 OT
27/02/23HCalifornia Baptist80-58
23/02/23AAbilene Christian91-89 OT
18/02/23HUT Arlington70-75
16/02/23HTarleton65-60
12/02/23AUTRGV82-72
05/02/23AGrand Canyon83-86
02/02/23ANew Mexico State67-73
28/01/23HSeattle79-65
26/01/23HUTRGV83-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %77%93%62%
Points / game75.581.670.2
Allowed / game67.664.870.1
Point differential+7.9+16.8+0.2
Avg total143.1146.4140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%71%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayLLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%76%54%
Points / game76.577.275.7
Allowed / game67.862.974.1
Point differential+8.8+14.2+1.6
Avg total144.3140.1149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %10%6%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State3023777%75.567.6+7.9
2 Southern Utah29181162%81.874.5+7.3
3 California Baptist31171455%68.462.9+5.5
4 Tarleton31161552%72.467.5+4.8
5 Abilene Christian31151648%71.966.6+5.3
6 Utah Tech30131743%76.073.2+2.7
7 UT Arlington30111937%66.467.6-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC31211068%80.672.9+7.7
2 Northwestern St.31211068%74.872.0+2.7
3 Stephen F. Austin30201067%76.567.8+8.8
4 SE Louisiana31181358%77.675.8+1.8
5 Nicholls State30161453%75.872.5+3.2
6 UTRGV32161650%77.175.9+1.2
7 TX A&M Commerce32131941%71.473.2-1.8
8 Incarnate Word31121939%70.873.9-3.1
9 New Orleans29101934%72.379.8-7.5
10 Houston Christian31102132%77.882.8-5.0
11 McNeese State3192229%68.875.4-6.5
12 Lamar3192229%67.974.5-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State5558113
Stephen F. Austin363369
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