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UTRGV vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 54-63
25-33 29-30
Position#359
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#217
Record11-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UTRGV v California Baptist
25 Jan 2024
UTRG54
CALI63
28 Jan 2023
UTRG64
CALI58
07 Mar 2020
UTRG79
CALI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H14/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A19/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
42-41
41-40
35-46
27-36
41-42
37-41
40-33
38-38
40-47
44-40
36-40
37-35
33-35
33-28
43-40
33-43
40-48
40-26
33-51
157.1Avg total
76.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.280.1155.2-4.932%
Season at home (11)77.075.6152.6+1.445%
Season away (8)72.686.1158.8-13.512%
Last 10 (10)76.780.4157.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)78.481.4159.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.481.3152.8-9.917%
vs Similar (9)68.969.3138.2-0.456%
vs Weaker (3)105.065.7170.7+39.3100%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#75
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A17/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A05/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
24-40
37-29
33-40
28-42
42-31
31-28
43-34
26-32
35-34
23-33
35-32
31-20
15-28
35-34
42-29
32-24
36-29
37-30
46-46
131.3Avg total
66.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.964.3133.2+4.761%
Season at home (12)71.763.9135.6+7.875%
Season away (6)63.565.0128.5-1.533%
Last 10 (10)66.265.1131.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)66.461.0127.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.662.4121.0-3.929%
vs Similar (15)71.669.9141.5+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)61.053.5114.5+7.567%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
UTRGVCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H16/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H14/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H21/01
NCAA
72.4Avg total
36.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.437.772.1-3.338%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.536.271.7-0.641%-
Last 30 away (12)32.839.872.7-7.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.072.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.471.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.138.570.6-6.439%-
vs Similar (8)33.539.072.5-5.512%-
vs Weaker (3)51.029.380.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#75
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A17/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A06/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/01
NCAA
61.9Avg total
31.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.532.165.6+1.455%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.531.968.4+4.672%-
Last 30 away (11)28.632.461.0-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.861.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.259.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.431.959.3-4.443%-
vs Similar (15)35.632.968.5+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)29.631.861.4-2.220%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UTRGV wins
4
California Baptist wins
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HTarleton73-77
19/01/24AUT Arlington73-91
14/01/24HUtah Valley State76-68
12/01/24HSeattle81-80 OT
06/01/24AAbilene Christian89-91 OT
04/01/24HStephen F. Austin78-85
31/12/23HIncarnate Word77-74
19/12/23AChicago State68-78
16/12/23HTexas A&M-CC76-86
07/12/23ATexas A&M-CC76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HSouthern Utah83-76
14/01/24HAbilene Christian68-53
12/01/24HTarleton77-63
06/01/24ASeattle46-48
05/01/24AUtah Valley State58-65
31/12/23ANew Mexico State61-66
28/12/23HChicago State74-62
20/12/23HWestern Kentucky70-73
17/12/23AUC Riverside70-69
13/12/23AOregon55-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeWLWWL45%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %32%45%12%
Points / game75.277.072.6
Allowed / game80.175.686.1
Point differential-4.9+1.4-13.5
Avg total155.2152.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
California Baptist
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %61%75%33%
Points / game68.971.763.5
Allowed / game64.363.965.0
Point differential+4.7+7.8-1.5
Avg total133.2135.6128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1917289%78.760.8+17.8
2 Stephen F. Austin1812667%79.770.9+8.8
3 Texas A&M-CC1911858%75.766.7+9.0
4 Lamar1910953%80.976.3+4.6
5 Nicholls State1991047%73.475.5-2.2
6 TX A&M Commerce1871139%73.173.2-0.1
7 New Orleans1971237%75.278.5-3.4
8 SE Louisiana1971237%67.071.0-4.0
9 UTRGV1961332%75.280.1-4.9
10 Houston Christian1751229%71.681.5-9.8
11 Incarnate Word1851328%73.178.6-5.4
12 Northwestern St.1951426%70.978.7-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton1812667%70.466.3+4.1
2 California Baptist1811761%68.964.3+4.7
3 UT Arlington1991047%74.274.5-0.4
4 Utah Valley State1991047%69.070.1-1.1
5 Abilene Christian1871139%75.075.8-0.8
6 Utah Tech1871139%69.875.9-6.1
7 Southern Utah1861233%76.978.5-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV252954
California Baptist333063
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