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California Baptist vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 77-63
35-34 42-29
Position#217
Record8-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game64.3
vs
Position#42
Record10-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · California Baptist v Tarleton
28 Feb 2026
CALI82
TARL67
05 Feb 2026
CALI56
TARL55
13 Mar 2025
CALI55
TARL51
06 Mar 2025
CALI68
TARL48
11 Jan 2024
CALI77
TARL63
21 Jan 2023
CALI77
TARL48
16 Jan 2021
CALI73
TARL67
15 Jan 2021
CALI83
TARL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanguard Lions
#435
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A30/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A17/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A05/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
33-38
42-34
49-32
26-41
43-31
31-36
24-40
37-29
33-40
28-42
42-31
31-28
43-34
26-32
35-34
23-33
35-32
31-20
15-28
131.9Avg total
66.3Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.564.3131.9+3.253%
Season at home (9)70.263.9134.1+6.367%
Season away (6)63.565.0128.5-1.533%
Last 10 (10)66.365.6131.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)61.862.8124.6-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)55.562.3117.8-6.817%
vs Similar (15)70.568.7139.3+1.847%
vs Weaker (7)62.955.3118.1+7.671%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
29-24
29-24
30-16
34-34
34-32
37-40
40-35
48-33
44-23
45-26
40-21
40-31
22-34
25-39
21-26
34-31
45-35
42-37
36-39
132.7Avg total
71.2Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.464.1135.6+7.371%
Season at home (7)78.058.7136.7+19.386%
Season away (7)64.969.6134.4-4.757%
Last 10 (10)71.261.5132.7+9.780%
Last 5 (5)70.063.8133.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.064.8124.8-4.825%
vs Similar (16)68.872.1140.9-3.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)72.948.7121.6+24.1100%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
California BaptistTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanguard Lions
#435
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A17/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A06/01
NCAA
62.7Avg total
31.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.331.865.0+1.552%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.631.668.2+5.069%-
Last 30 away (13)29.231.961.1-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.662.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)27.831.058.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)26.231.557.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (15)35.532.868.3+2.760%-
vs Weaker (6)29.730.760.3-1.033%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.532.167.6+3.362%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.029.568.5+9.580%-
Last 30 away (14)31.734.966.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.070.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.870.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.531.860.2-3.225%-
vs Similar (16)34.833.167.9+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.230.568.7+7.767%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
California Baptist wins
0
Tarleton wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ASeattle46-48
05/01/24AUtah Valley State58-65
31/12/23ANew Mexico State61-66
28/12/23HChicago State74-62
20/12/23HWestern Kentucky70-73
17/12/23AUC Riverside70-69
13/12/23AOregon55-76
07/12/23HUtah Tech69-72
30/11/23ASouthern Utah91-66
26/11/23HVanguard Lions69-59
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HUT Arlington78-76
30/12/23ALoyola Marymount79-66
21/12/23ATennessee46-65
19/12/23HJacksonville State62-65
13/12/23HSterling College85-47
06/12/23HHardin Simmons92-56
02/12/23HUTRGV77-75
30/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-66
22/11/23HCSU Bakersfield59-40
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game67.570.263.5
Allowed / game64.363.965.0
Point differential+3.2+6.3-1.5
Avg total131.9134.1128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game71.478.064.9
Allowed / game64.158.769.6
Point differential+7.3+19.3-4.7
Avg total135.6136.7134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton1410471%71.464.1+7.3
2 California Baptist158753%67.564.3+3.2
3 Utah Valley State168850%68.469.2-0.8
4 UT Arlington167944%73.274.4-1.2
5 Utah Tech167944%70.175.5-5.4
6 Abilene Christian156940%76.576.7-0.2
7 Southern Utah1551033%76.778.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist354277
Tarleton342963
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