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UTRGV vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-74
37-41 40-33
Position#359
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game79.6
UTRGV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#343
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UTRGV v Incarnate Word
26 Jan 2027
UTRG v INCA
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
UTRG80
INCA67
17 Feb 2025
UTRG60
INCA66
30 Dec 2023
UTRG77
INCA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#111
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-33
33-55
33-47
33-43
43-39
49-34
23-43
34-33
17-51
41-24
30-35
39-44
40-37
35-40
34-33
42-41
41-40
35-46
27-36
41-42
148.8Avg total
69.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.479.6153.0-6.225%
Season at home (6)77.074.7151.7+2.333%
Season away (6)69.884.5154.3-14.717%
Last 10 (10)69.279.6148.8-10.420%
Last 5 (5)72.878.8151.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.180.9148.0-13.77%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.371.8144.1+0.658%
vs Weaker (3)105.065.7170.7+39.3100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#190
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
100-81
100
81
+19
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
40-51
56-24
48-39
50-41
50-40
38-24
29-42
33-33
47-57
29-38
36-29
40-40
42-56
36-36
39-40
34-37
23-43
36-32
31-34
153.8Avg total
76.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.978.0152.9-3.136%
Season at home (3)82.068.3150.3+13.767%
Season away (8)72.281.6153.9-9.425%
Last 10 (10)76.877.0153.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)69.277.0146.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.178.3148.4-8.327%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.176.7150.9-2.636%
vs Weaker (1)104.063.0167.0+41.0100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.4-8.41st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -4.6-4.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.4-8.41st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -4.6-4.6
UTRGVIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#111
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
17-51
17
51
-34
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H16/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
31.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.337.570.8-4.231%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.636.672.2-0.938%-
Last 30 away (13)30.438.669.0-8.223%-
Last 10 (10)31.039.470.4-8.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.270.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.239.168.3-9.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.037.571.5-3.527%-
vs Weaker (3)51.029.380.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#190
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
38.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.870.4-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.633.168.7+2.550%-
Last 30 away (18)33.837.771.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.972.2+4.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.671.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.436.769.1-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.335.871.1-0.543%-
vs Weaker (1)56.024.080.0+32.0100%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23AChicago State68-78
16/12/23HTexas A&M-CC76-86
07/12/23ATexas A&M-CC76-74
02/12/23ATarleton75-77
30/11/23HGrand Canyon69-79
26/11/23HArkansas State58-75
25/11/23HHawaii57-76
21/11/23HNorth American Stallions92-73
18/11/23AOklahoma66-90
15/11/23ATCU55-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)67-66
13/12/23ARice57-80
09/12/23HNorthern Arizona75-76
02/12/23ABethune-Cookman82-96
26/11/23AJacksonville State65-67
25/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners80-90
23/11/23HJacksonville State67-66
19/11/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff100-81
14/11/23HSchreiner Mountaineers104-63
11/11/23ATulsa71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game73.477.069.8
Allowed / game79.674.784.5
Point differential-6.2+2.3-14.7
Avg total153.0151.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %36%67%25%
Points / game74.982.072.2
Allowed / game78.068.381.6
Point differential-3.1+13.7-9.4
Avg total152.9150.3153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1311285%80.859.2+21.6
2 Stephen F. Austin138562%78.168.1+10.0
3 Texas A&M-CC137654%76.967.1+9.8
4 TX A&M Commerce126650%76.973.5+3.4
5 Lamar136746%82.578.0+4.5
6 New Orleans135838%74.476.6-2.2
7 Nicholls State135838%72.275.7-3.5
8 SE Louisiana135838%67.972.2-4.2
9 Incarnate Word114736%74.978.0-3.1
10 UTRGV123925%73.479.6-6.2
11 Houston Christian112918%69.683.2-13.5
12 Northwestern St.1321115%69.281.8-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV374077
Incarnate Word413374
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