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UTSA Roadrunners vs South Florida Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#164
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#208
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UTSA Roadrunners v South Florida
23 Jan 2027
UTSA v SOUT
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
UTSA73
SOUT78
21 Feb 2024
UTSA61
SOUT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTSA Roadrunners win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#282
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#175
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#289
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
41-42
38-44
50-35
28-26
24-34
37-53
37-47
43-34
38-48
29-41
38-43
32-45
39-35
27-45
47-50
31-35
39-33
41-22
45-37
153.0Avg total
73.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.774.0150.7+2.767%
Season at home (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.579.5153.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.682.7150.3-15.115%
vs Similar (1)74.095.0169.0-21.00%
vs Weaker (2)94.564.5159.0+30.0100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H01/03
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H14/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H15/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A19/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#217
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#54
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#76
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#337
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-38
41-24
51-46
45-43
44-29
39-31
40-33
46-31
33-26
37-29
27-37
52-46
43-33
55-38
35-50
45-32
34-39
46-44
30-31
43-32
154.7Avg total
83.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.874.8157.5+8.050%
Season at home (3)83.772.3156.0+11.367%
Season away (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)83.571.2154.7+12.370%
Last 5 (5)82.076.4158.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
vs Similar (8)86.477.9164.2+8.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.673.0157.6+11.685%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +9.9+9.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +9.9+9.9
UTSA RoadrunnersSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#282
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#175
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#289
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A12/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
33.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.139.972.0-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.436.769.1-4.331%-
Last 30 away (17)31.942.474.3-10.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.739.172.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.669.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.240.771.9-9.519%-
vs Similar (1)27.045.072.0-18.00%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.574.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A19/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#217
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#54
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#76
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#337
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
38.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.676.1+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.733.875.5+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)38.738.276.9+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.274.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.050.085.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.934.474.2+5.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.035.575.5+4.560%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
4
South Florida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASeattle86-59
07/11/26HVMI70-68
02/11/26ASan Jose State74-95
08/03/26ARice71-80
02/03/26HWichita State67-84
26/02/26HEast Carolina81-82
22/02/26ATulsa74-100
19/02/26HFlorida Atlantic52-60
15/02/26ACharlotte88-79
12/02/26AEast Carolina72-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCoppin State73-63
11/11/26HSaint Josephs Hawks80-83
06/11/26ADePaul80-82
03/11/26HCharleston Southern98-71
19/03/26ALouisville79-83
15/03/26HWichita State70-55
14/03/26HCharlotte86-64
08/03/26HCharlotte83-60
06/03/26AMemphis96-89
01/03/26HTulane90-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.770.080.0
Allowed / game74.068.077.0
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.0
Avg total150.7138.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Florida
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game82.883.780.0
Allowed / game74.872.382.0
Point differential+8.0+11.3-2.0
Avg total157.5156.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 Memphis43175%87.086.8+0.2
7 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple42250%71.574.2-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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