Utsunomiya Brex vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex will host Ryukyu on 7 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Ryukyu at 66% to 34% for the Brex. The Brex sit 17th with a 5-8 record, averaging 81.2 points and conceding 85.2, while at home they are 3-4, scoring 79.7 and allowing 83.4; their last five games yielded only one win and they have lost three recent contests, including 71-106 and 90-100 to Alvark and 89-92 to Brave Thunders. Ryukyu are 12th, 7-6 overall, 85.1 points scored and 82.2 allowed, and 2-4 on the road with 82.2 points scored and 88.5 conceded; their last five include two wins and they have lost two recent home games, notably 96-104 to Hong Kong Eastern and 86-96 to NeoPhoenix, but also beat NeoPhoenix 86-80. Historically the Brex have won six of ten meetings, though Ryukyu won the most recent 92-70 encounter on 3 May 2026. Pythia projects a 83-87 score for a 169.8 total, with a 3.5-point home line and a 44% chance the Brex cover, while the 164.5 total has a 62% over probability and a 5% overtime likelihood. The Brex will need to improve their defensive lapses to challenge the higher-scoring Ryukyu.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon

34.1%fair 2.94

Best odds4.73

Implied19.8%

Edge+14.2pp

Ryukyu winLost

65.9%fair 1.52

Best odds1.22

Implied80.2%

Edge-14.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrex

Date

Competition

Toyama

#11

99-77

+22

94avg 81

A04/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

90-79

+11

88avg 81

A09/10

B League

Akita

#24

71-82

-11

62avg 81

H11/10

B League

Sendai

81-85

-4

78avg 81

A17/10

B League

Gunma

83-80

79avg 81

H19/10

B League

Diamond Dolphins

69-98

-29

62avg 81

H21/10

B League

Shinshu

#20

87-80

76avg 81

H24/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

89-92

-3

81avg 81

H26/10

B League

Alvark

90-100

100

-10

83avg 81

A31/10

B League

Alvark

71-106

106

-35

63avg 81

A01/11

B League

17-22

26-16

37-18

19-21

22-20

22-23

18-19

28-17

18-21

16-18

15-17

22-26

23-14

22-20

13-27

23-24

16-27

21-14

19-19

27-20

19-24

26-24

15-31

9-19

22-12

28-28

10-21

27-19

26-17

20-24

25-22

18-29

20-25

26-19

18-31

26-25

15-26

10-25

31-24

15-31

170.9Avg total

83.0Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	81.2	85.2	166.5	-4.0	38%
Season at home (7)	79.7	83.4	163.1	-3.7	43%
Season away (6)	83.0	87.3	170.3	-4.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	87.9	170.9	-4.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	95.2	176.4	-14.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.5	88.0	167.5	-8.5	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	82.0	83.1	165.1	-1.1	42%
vs Weaker (10)	85.2	75.5	160.7	+9.7	80%

This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ryukyu

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRyukyu

Date

Competition

Shimane

#18

90-69

+21

90avg 77

H10/10

B League

Yokohama

#17

85-87

-2

74avg 77

A16/10

B League

Shiga

#16

99-67

+32

108avg 77

H19/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#19

94-65

+29

96avg 77

H21/10

B League

Gunma

93-85

91avg 77

H23/10

B League

Nagasaki

#21

84-101

101

-17

80avg 77

A26/10

B League

Taoyuan Pauian Pilots

#10

103-97

103

no box

A28/10

EASL

NeoPhoenix

86-80

77avg 77

H31/10

B League

NeoPhoenix

86-96

-10

79avg 77

H01/11

B League

Hong Kong Eastern

96-104

104

-8

no box

H04/11

EASL

18-15

30-17

27-16

15-21

21-19

18-27

23-14

23-27

28-22

31-17

19-21

21-7

33-21

18-16

24-13

19-15

11-22

33-18

23-25

26-20

15-24

20-26

22-28

27-23

28-21

25-24

23-27

27-25

22-28

19-18

20-18

25-16

23-24

25-24

15-29

23-19

19-23

25-35

22-28

30-18

176.7Avg total

91.6Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	85.1	82.2	167.3	+2.8	54%
Season at home (7)	87.6	76.9	164.4	+10.7	71%
Season away (6)	82.2	88.5	170.7	-6.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	91.6	85.1	176.7	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	95.6	186.6	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.9	78.0	153.9	-2.1	44%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.8	76.6	162.3	+9.2	67%
vs Weaker (11)	87.8	83.0	170.8	+4.8	64%

This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5

Over 159.5

72.8%

@ 1.50+11.7pp

Under 159.5

27.2%

@ 2.35-11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Under

Betano

2.35

Over/Under 164.5 · main lineActual: Under 164.5

Over 164.5

61.8%

@ 1.79+3.4pp

Under 164.5

38.2%

@ 2.30-3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Bet365

1.62

Marathon Be

1.55

BetVictor

1.55

Betano

1.53

Under

BetVictor

2.30

Betano

2.27

Bet365

2.15

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 169.5Actual: Under 169.5

Over 169.5

49.9%

@ 2.05+2.1pp

Under 169.5

50.1%

@ 1.91-2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.05

Pinnacle

2.00

SBO

1.92

Betano

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Under

WilliamHill

1.91

Pinnacle

1.83

Betano

1.78

BetVictor

1.78

SBO

1.76

📊 3. Team Totals

Utsunomiya Brex total 75.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex over 75.5

Over 75.5

75.0%

@ 1.44+12.0pp

Under 75.5

25.0%

@ 2.52-12.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.33

Utsunomiya Brex total 79.5 · main lineActual: Utsunomiya Brex under 79.5

Over 79.5

61.2%

@ 1.88+12.1pp

Under 79.5

38.8%

@ 1.83-12.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.69

Utsunomiya Brex total 83.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex under 83.5

Over 83.5

45.9%

@ 2.62+10.4pp

Under 83.5

54.1%

@ 1.42-10.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.45

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.37

Ryukyu total 83.5Actual: Ryukyu under 83.5

Over 83.5

64.1%

@ 1.83-1.7pp

Under 83.5

35.9%

@ 2.83+1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.29

Under

1xBet

2.83

Betano

2.67

Bet365

1.83

Ryukyu total 87.5 · main lineActual: Ryukyu under 87.5

Over 87.5

48.8%

@ 1.83-3.6pp

Under 87.5

51.2%

@ 2.12+3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.78

Marathon Be

1.74

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.55

Under

Betano

2.12

1xBet

1.95

Marathon Be

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Bet365

1.83

Ryukyu total 91.5Actual: Ryukyu under 91.5

Over 91.5

33.6%

@ 2.15-8.8pp

Under 91.5

66.4%

@ 1.60+8.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.15

1xBet

2.05

Under

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Utsunomiya Brex +0.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +0.5

UTSU +0.5

34.1%

RYUK -0.5

65.9%

Best 5 market prices

UTSU

No market prices yet.

RYUK

No market prices yet.

Spread Utsunomiya Brex +3.5 · main lineActual: Utsunomiya Brex +3.5

UTSU +3.5

44.4%

@ 2.95+13.1pp

RYUK -3.5

55.6%

@ 1.83-13.1pp

Best 5 market prices

UTSU

Betano

2.95

BetVictor

2.95

1xBet

2.92

Bet365

2.55

Betfair

1.83

RYUK

Betfair

1.83

Marathon Be

1.47

Bet365

1.47

BetVictor

1.34

Betano

1.33

Spread Utsunomiya Brex +6.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +6.5

UTSU +6.5

55.9%

@ 2.40+14.8pp

RYUK -6.5

44.1%

@ 1.80-14.8pp

Best 5 market prices

UTSU

BetVictor

2.40

1xBet

2.34

Betano

2.32

Pinnacle

2.30

Marathon Be

2.02

RYUK

Betfair

1.80

SBO

1.77

Bet365

1.74

Pinnacle

1.61

Betano

1.52

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Utsunomiya BrexRyukyu

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.1	41.8	+1.7	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.9	60%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	38%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.8	67%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	50%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.3	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.1	57%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.4	50%	25%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	33%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	56%	11%
vs Weaker (11)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	64%	36%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	47%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.6	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	20.1	40.4	+0.1	62%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.2	25%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	50%	30%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	57%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	20.9	45.2	+3.4	71%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	44%	69%
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.2	46.6	+2.2	70%	80%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.4	48.2	-2.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	56%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	78%	89%
vs Weaker (11)	21.3	22.5	43.7	-1.2	36%	55%

Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toyama

#11

43-38

A04/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

44-43

A09/10

B League

Akita

#24

34-39

-5

H11/10

B League

Sendai

45-34

+11

A17/10

B League

Gunma

37-41

-4

H19/10

B League

Diamond Dolphins

45-48

-3

H21/10

B League

Shinshu

#20

50-40

+10

H24/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

46-41

H26/10

B League

Alvark

46-44

A31/10

B League

Alvark

25-51

-26

A01/11

B League

83.4Avg total

41.5Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.5	67%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	39.5	81.4	+2.5	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	40.6	83.8	+2.6	73%	47%
Last 10 (10)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.4	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	44.8	87.2	-2.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.8	43.1	83.9	-2.4	50%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.6	39.0	81.6	+3.6	67%	58%
vs Weaker (10)	44.0	38.8	82.8	+5.2	80%	40%

This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shimane

#18

48-32

+16

H10/10

B League

Yokohama

#17

39-46

-7

A16/10

B League

Shiga

#16

59-39

+20

H19/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#19

51-37

+14

H21/10

B League

Gunma

44-40

H23/10

B League

Nagasaki

#21

35-50

-15

A26/10

B League

Taoyuan Pauian Pilots

#10

53-45

A28/10

EASL

NeoPhoenix

41-46

-5

H31/10

B League

NeoPhoenix

48-48

H01/11

B League

Hong Kong Eastern

44-58

-14

H04/11

EASL

90.3Avg total

46.2Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	42.3	40.2	82.6	+2.1	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	40.5	85.4	+4.4	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.1	50%	56%
Last 10 (10)	46.2	44.1	90.3	+2.1	50%	90%
Last 5 (5)	44.2	49.4	93.6	-5.2	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.3	39.2	78.6	+0.1	44%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.2	39.3	82.6	+3.9	56%	56%
vs Weaker (11)	43.1	41.4	84.5	+1.7	55%	73%

This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Ryukyu win

UTSU win

no forecast

@ 3.91

RYUK win

no forecast

@ 1.43

1st half Spread Utsunomiya Brex +6 · main lineActual: Ryukyu -6

UTSU +6

no forecast

@ 1.88

RYUK -6

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Under 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

Utsunomiya Brex 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Utsunomiya Brex under 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Ryukyu 1st half total 45 · main lineActual: Ryukyu under 45

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: UTSU + total 83.5

UTSU & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

UTSU & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: RYUK + total 83.5

RYUK & over

no forecast

@ 2.80

RYUK & under

no forecast

@ 2.90

1st half Over/Under 83.75Actual: Under 83.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Utsunomiya Brex +5Actual: Ryukyu -5

UTSU +5

no forecast

@ 2.07

RYUK -5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Utsunomiya Brex +7Actual: Ryukyu -7

UTSU +7

no forecast

@ 1.72

RYUK -7

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Under 85

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.96

1st half Spread Utsunomiya Brex +4Actual: Ryukyu -4

UTSU +4

no forecast

@ 2.19

RYUK -4

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

UTSU

no forecast

@ 3.44

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

RYUK

no forecast

@ 1.47

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.2	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	47%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.5	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	25.8	45.6	-6.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	12%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.7	67%	42%
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	40%	30%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.6	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	31%	31%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	26.0	46.4	-5.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.3	21.6	37.9	-5.2	22%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	56%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	21.2	43.6	+1.3	36%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.3	41.7	-2.8	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.1	47%	40%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.6	43.6	-5.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.4	50%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	22.7	41.3	-4.0	25%	42%
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	50%	20%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.6	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	71%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.6	40.4	+1.3	56%	31%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.1	42.7	+4.5	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.2	46.6	+6.2	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	67%	22%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	67%	22%
vs Weaker (11)	22.3	20.5	42.7	+1.8	55%	55%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.8	81.7	-2.0	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	42.9	81.0	-4.7	33%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	40.8	82.3	+0.7	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	41.5	46.0	87.5	-4.5	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	50.4	89.2	-11.6	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.8	44.9	83.6	-6.1	38%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.4	44.1	83.5	-4.7	25%	42%
vs Weaker (10)	41.2	36.7	77.9	+4.5	60%	30%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	63%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	39.4	83.1	+4.4	79%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	40.2	80.2	-0.1	50%	44%
Last 10 (10)	45.4	41.0	86.4	+4.4	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	46.8	46.2	93.0	+0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.6	38.8	75.3	-2.2	44%	22%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.6	37.2	79.8	+5.3	78%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	44.7	41.6	86.4	+3.1	73%	73%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

UTSU win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

RYUK win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: UTSU leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: RYUK leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (UTSU:RYUK): UTSU wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Utsunomiya Brex +11	72.0%	1.69	Pinnacle 1.79	SBO 1.74	Marathon Bet 1.69	Bet365 1.52	-	+18.8pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +12	75.0%	1.64	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.60	-	-	-	+18.2pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +11.5	72.8%	1.63	Pinnacle 1.72	Betano 1.67	BetVictor 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.65	1xBet 1.59	+17.7pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +12.5	75.7%	1.58	Pinnacle 1.62	Betano 1.60	BetVictor 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	1xBet 1.50	+17.3pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +14.5	80.8%	1.41	Betano 1.45	BetVictor 1.45	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +13.5	78.3%	1.48	Betano 1.52	BetVictor 1.50	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +16.5	85.0%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+16.1pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +17.5	86.9%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +15.5	83.0%	1.33	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Ryukyu over 81.5	71.1%	1.62	Betano 1.62	-	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Lost
Ryukyu over 80.5	74.4%	1.53	Betano 1.53	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
Ryukyu over 79.5	77.4%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Lost
Utsunomiya Brex over 74.5	78.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 76.5	71.8%	1.50	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 75.5	75.0%	1.42	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 73.5	80.8%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Over 159.5	72.8%	1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Lost
Over 158.5	74.8%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Ryukyu +4.5	77.6%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Ryukyu +3.5	74.8%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Ryukyu +5.5	80.3%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Ryukyu under 94.5	76.3%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Ryukyu under 93.5	73.2%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Ryukyu under 95.5	79.2%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Over 157.5	76.7%	1.34	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Utsunomiya Brex over 69.5	89.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 70.5	87.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 152.5	85.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Ryukyu over 69.5	95.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 142.5	95.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 160.5	70.7%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Lost
Over 147.5	91.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Ryukyu over 71.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Ryukyu over 73.5	90.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Ryukyu over 77.5	82.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Overtime: no	95.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Ryukyu over 75.5	87.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Under 192.5	91.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Under 187.5	85.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Ryukyu +2.5	72.1%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Lost
Under 182.5	78.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 83.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	18.9	56.1%	53.6%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.4	10.8	33.3%	32.9%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.8	70.3%	73.8%	12.8

They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.0	51.8%	53.6%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.9	33.2%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.3	79.7%	73.8%	17.3

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.7	57.7%	53.6%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.3	36.7%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.6	75.0%	73.8%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.6	55.5%	53.6%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.4	31.9%	32.9%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.4	15.0	77.3%	73.8%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.2	17.8	58.8%	53.6%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.2	11.1	33.6%	32.9%	33.4
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.3	75.5%	73.8%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.9	52.0%	53.6%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.9	33.1%	32.9%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.5	77.7%	73.8%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.8	52.5%	53.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.4	33.7%	32.9%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.9	76.1%	73.8%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.8	51.6%	53.6%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	9.6	31.1%	32.9%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.5	74.2%	73.8%	12.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Utsunomiya Brex

LLLWLWLLWW

Ryukyu

LLWWLWWWLW

#15

League position

#13

-5.8

Net rating

+3.0

98.4

Offensive rating

97.2

104.2

Defensive rating

94.2

53.1%

Effective FG%

50.9%

56.5%

Opp. effective FG%

52.0%

12.7%

Turnover %

14.6%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.33

33.3%

3-point %

33.2%

68.0%

Assist %

73.7%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Utsunomiya Brex ■ Ryukyu

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Utsunomiya Brex wins

Ryukyu wins

Date	Game	Score
03/05/26	Utsunomiya Brex v Ryukyu	70-92
02/05/26	Utsunomiya Brex v Ryukyu	83-82
20/03/26	Ryukyu v Utsunomiya Brex	96-103
27/05/25	Utsunomiya Brex v Ryukyu	73-71
25/05/25	Utsunomiya Brex v Ryukyu	75-87
24/05/25	Utsunomiya Brex v Ryukyu	81-68
26/01/25	Ryukyu v Utsunomiya Brex	97-88
25/01/25	Ryukyu v Utsunomiya Brex	86-105
21/01/24	Ryukyu v Utsunomiya Brex	68-74
20/01/24	Ryukyu v Utsunomiya Brex	68-66

Utsunomiya Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Alvark	71-106
31/10/26	A	Alvark	90-100
26/10/26	H	Brave Thunders	89-92
24/10/26	H	Shinshu	87-80
21/10/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	69-98
19/10/26	H	Gunma	83-80
17/10/26	A	Sendai	81-85
11/10/26	H	Akita	71-82
09/10/26	A	Ibaraki Robots	90-79
04/10/26	A	Toyama	99-77

Ryukyulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	H	Hong Kong Eastern	96-104
01/11/26	H	NeoPhoenix	86-96
31/10/26	H	NeoPhoenix	86-80
28/10/26	A	Taoyuan Pauian Pilots	103-97
26/10/26	A	Nagasaki	84-101
23/10/26	H	Gunma	93-85
21/10/26	H	Altiri Chiba	94-65
19/10/26	H	Shiga	99-67
16/10/26	A	Yokohama	85-87
10/10/26	H	Shimane	90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex

B League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	38%
Home	LWLWL	43%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	38%	43%	33%
Points / game	81.2	79.7	83.0
Allowed / game	85.2	83.4	87.3
Point differential	-4.0	-3.7	-4.3
Avg total	166.5	163.1	170.3
Over 164.5	69%	57%	83%
Win by 10+	23%	14%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ryukyu

B League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	54%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	71%	33%
Points / game	85.1	87.6	82.2
Allowed / game	82.2	76.9	88.5
Point differential	+2.8	+10.7	-6.3
Avg total	167.3	164.4	170.7
Over 164.5	62%	57%	67%
Win by 10+	31%	43%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	11	11	0	100%	92.5	74.2	+18.4
2	Hiroshima D.	14	13	1	93%	90.4	79.1	+11.2
3	NeoPhoenix	9	7	2	78%	87.3	80.7	+6.7
4	Alvark	15	11	4	73%	93.6	83.9	+9.7
5	Sendai	15	11	4	73%	86.3	79.3	+7.1
6	SeaHorses Mikawa	11	8	3	73%	89.8	79.3	+10.5
7	Gunma	14	10	4	71%	82.4	73.6	+8.8
8	Kyoto	12	8	4	67%	84.6	76.8	+7.8
9	Tokyo Sunrockers	14	9	5	64%	89.4	79.3	+10.1
10	Levanga Hokkaido	13	8	5	62%	97.4	95.8	+1.5
11	Toyama	14	8	6	57%	83.4	86.2	-2.8
12	Ryukyu	13	7	6	54%	85.1	82.2	+2.8
13	Yokohama	15	7	8	47%	78.5	83.4	-4.9
14	Shiga	13	6	7	46%	85.2	88.2	-3.1
15	Ibaraki Robots	14	6	8	43%	83.6	79.6	+4.0
16	Nagasaki	15	6	9	40%	76.7	80.3	-3.5
17	Utsunomiya Brex	13	5	8	38%	81.2	85.2	-4.0
18	Shinshu	14	5	9	36%	83.2	85.9	-2.7
19	Chiba	14	5	9	36%	90.4	96.3	-5.9
20	Shimane	12	4	8	33%	81.2	82.8	-1.6
21	Altiri Chiba	15	5	10	33%	80.5	86.4	-5.9
22	Brave Thunders	14	4	10	29%	79.0	83.9	-4.9
23	Kobe	14	4	10	29%	79.5	84.9	-5.4
24	Akita	14	4	10	29%	81.7	89.3	-7.6
25	Saga	13	1	12	8%	76.3	94.0	-17.7
26	Osaka	13	1	12	8%	67.8	90.2	-22.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Utsunomiya Brex	11	7	26	12	23	79
Ryukyu	11	15	9	21	20	76

← all games of the day

Utsunomiya Brex vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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