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Vaerlose vs Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-69
32-22 21-16 23-16 19-15
Position#8
Record3-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#9
Record5-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game81.4
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 4
Other2012-13
Meetings · Vaerlose v Aarhus
06 Jan 2013
VAER95
AARH69
05 Dec 2012
VAER104
AARH97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A24/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
A30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H08/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
111-105
111
105
+6
H11/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A17/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A29/11
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
104-97 OT
104
97
+7
H05/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A13/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A19/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-27
15-15
11-12
20-13
11-15
15-17
16-17
18-30
18-27
22-11
22-27
13-22
24-18
24-24
14-18
28-34
31-25
27-23
25-23
20-31
20-21
10-12
29-20
21-20
9-19
15-25
17-18
24-23
16-15
24-21
18-23
21-27
24-24
15-19
17-19
25-23
19-22
22-28
24-25
169.4Avg total
81.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.286.7164.9-8.519%
Season at home (7)80.089.3169.3-9.329%
Season away (9)76.884.7161.4-7.911%
Last 10 (10)81.687.8169.4-6.220%
Last 5 (5)82.490.0172.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.287.8164.1-11.616%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.881.9160.7-3.140%
vs Weaker (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H18/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
13-16
11-30
11-13
15-16
13-20
15-11
17-15
17-16
14-14
15-14
14-13
11-23
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
16-26
27-18
23-16
17-17
18-21
14-16
22-20
20-20
23-24
15-16
21-24
23-18
16-21
18-19
15-23
13-17
22-23
16-25
16-24
18-17
145.7Avg total
67.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.281.4152.6-10.131%
Season at home (9)74.281.3155.6-7.144%
Season away (7)67.481.4148.9-14.014%
Last 10 (10)67.078.7145.7-11.720%
Last 5 (5)77.685.4163.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.583.9151.4-16.417%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.378.3156.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
VaerloseAarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H11/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A29/11
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H05/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A13/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/12
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
40.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.143.881.8-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.642.080.6-3.425%-
Last 30 away (18)37.744.982.7-7.222%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.786.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.084.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.745.783.4-8.15%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.040.979.9-1.950%-
vs Weaker (1)36.035.071.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#4
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/12
Basketligaen
71.4Avg total
32.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)34.839.974.7-5.231%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.840.876.6-5.022%-
Last 30 away (7)33.438.972.3-5.443%-
Last 10 (9)32.638.971.4-6.311%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.043.778.7-8.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.031.364.3+1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
1
Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
05/12/12Vaerlose v Aarhus104-97 OT
30/10/12Aarhus v Vaerlose71-68 OT
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved90-98
13/12/12AHorsens77-89
05/12/12HAarhus104-97 OT
29/11/12ABakken Bears62-82
17/11/12AHorsholm79-84
11/11/12HRanders111-105
08/11/12HSvendborg75-82
03/11/12ARanders80-95
30/10/12AAarhus68-71 OT
24/10/12ATeam FOG Naestved70-75
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/12HHorsens72-89
12/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved62-80
05/12/12AVaerlose97-104 OT
29/11/12HSisu74-77
21/11/12HRanders83-77
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
08/11/12AAalborg54-64
30/10/12HVaerlose71-68 OT
28/10/12ASisu50-75
25/10/12ABakken Bears59-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%29%11%
Points / game78.280.076.8
Allowed / game86.789.384.7
Point differential-8.5-9.3-7.9
Avg total164.9169.3161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %19%14%22%
Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %31%44%14%
Points / game71.274.267.4
Allowed / game81.481.381.4
Point differential-10.1-7.1-14.0
Avg total152.6155.6148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %19%22%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1715288%90.382.4+7.9
2 Bakken Bears1714382%88.875.6+13.2
3 Horsens1713476%86.978.4+8.6
4 Team FOG Naestved1710759%80.474.5+5.9
5 Sisu1710759%79.376.4+2.9
6 Randers1661038%90.489.6+0.8
7 Horsholm1651131%77.385.1-7.8
8 Aarhus1651131%71.281.4-10.1
9 Vaerlose1631319%78.286.7-8.5
10 Aalborg151147%75.591.9-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose3221231995
Aarhus2216161569
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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