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Vaerlose vs Horsholm Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2013
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 63-84
22-26 12-17 16-17 13-24
Position#8
Record10-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#7
Record10-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game84.5
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 25
Other2012-13
Meetings · Vaerlose v Horsholm
20 Oct 2014
VAER76
HORS69
13 Mar 2014
VAER72
HORS82
17 Oct 2013
VAER66
HORS87
28 Feb 2013
VAER63
HORS84
29 Jan 2012
VAER86
HORS82
13 Oct 2011
VAER82
HORS91
11 Nov 2010
VAER59
HORS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsholm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aarhus
#9
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H06/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
75-95
75
95
-20
H16/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H20/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
65-107
65
107
-42
A27/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H31/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A07/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H13/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A23/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
21-16
23-16
19-15
16-26
21-17
22-22
20-13
21-21
14-28
27-25
13-21
21-17
20-22
19-13
13-6
19-25
10-37
17-20
19-25
29-21
24-13
28-16
16-26
31-22
24-18
15-14
18-19
9-17
22-19
19-12
9-22
28-28
18-10
20-18
19-26
30-23
24-13
14-26
24-27
160.5Avg total
80.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.284.0163.2-4.838%
Season at home (13)80.382.7163.0-2.446%
Season away (13)78.185.3163.4-7.231%
Last 10 (10)80.879.7160.5+1.170%
Last 5 (5)84.278.0162.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)77.487.9165.3-10.524%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.584.0169.5+1.533%
vs Weaker (3)81.369.3150.7+12.0100%
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsholmDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A24/01
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
A26/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H30/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
112-73
112
73
+39
H02/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A13/02
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A16/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A20/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
87-104
87
104
-17
H23/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
22-18
14-22
11-21
19-12
20-24
13-23
21-20
30-11
15-25
23-18
22-28
17-19
15-16
18-21
22-16
18-15
23-22
24-17
19-29
25-17
35-15
24-21
28-20
19-16
18-21
14-23
17-25
17-15
29-20
17-26
23-20
25-23
23-13
23-29
12-19
19-29
27-25
24-25
17-25
167.5Avg total
84.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.984.5164.4-4.538%
Season at home (13)83.786.0169.7-2.346%
Season away (13)76.282.9159.1-6.831%
Last 10 (10)84.183.4167.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)87.285.4172.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.586.5162.9-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.077.4158.4+3.680%
vs Weaker (4)94.274.8169.0+19.575%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
VaerloseHorsholm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aarhus
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H06/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H16/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A27/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H31/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A07/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H13/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A23/02
Basketligaen
84.9Avg total
43.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.284.6-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.542.382.8-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)40.345.986.2-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.584.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.836.884.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.645.384.9-5.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.543.785.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker (3)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H02/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/02
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A16/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H23/02
Basketligaen
82.6Avg total
44.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)41.540.982.5+0.658%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.642.587.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (12)38.539.377.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.082.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.886.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.036.276.2+3.860%-
vs Weaker (3)50.735.085.7+15.7100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
7
Horsholm wins
DateGameScore
17/11/12Horsholm v Vaerlose84-79
17/10/12Horsholm v Vaerlose91-82
29/01/12Vaerlose v Horsholm86-82
11/01/12Horsholm v Vaerlose78-64
13/10/11Vaerlose v Horsholm82-91
03/03/11Horsholm v Vaerlose84-71
23/02/11Horsholm v Vaerlose77-75
11/11/10Vaerlose v Horsholm59-69
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/13ASvendborg92-89
17/02/13HTeam FOG Naestved85-82
13/02/13HSisu59-70
07/02/13AAalborg88-73
31/01/13HRanders97-76
27/01/13ABakken Bears65-107
20/01/13HAalborg73-58
16/01/13HHorsens75-95
10/01/13ASisu79-78
06/01/13HAarhus95-69
Horsholmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/13HBakken Bears87-104
20/02/13AAalborg83-84
16/02/13AAarhus86-81
13/02/13ARanders68-85
02/02/13HAalborg112-73
30/01/13HTeam FOG Naestved84-83
26/01/13AAarhus81-78 OT
24/01/13AHorsens90-82
19/01/13HSisu73-79
16/01/13HSvendborg77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW38%
HomeLWWLW46%
AwayLWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%46%31%
Points / game79.280.378.1
Allowed / game84.082.785.3
Point differential-4.8-2.4-7.2
Avg total163.2163.0163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Horsholm
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLLWWL46%
AwayWWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%46%31%
Points / game79.983.776.2
Allowed / game84.586.082.9
Point differential-4.5-2.3-6.8
Avg total164.4169.7159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2622485%90.180.5+9.6
2 Bakken Bears2620677%89.576.0+13.5
3 Horsens2619773%85.779.6+6.0
4 Sisu26161062%80.277.9+2.3
5 Team FOG Naestved26131350%78.576.3+2.2
6 Randers26121446%90.089.0+1.0
7 Horsholm26101638%79.984.5-4.5
8 Vaerlose26101638%79.284.0-4.8
9 Aarhus2662023%72.583.2-10.6
10 Aalborg262248%74.989.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2212161363
Horsholm2617172484
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