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Horsholm vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-64
21-17 19-19 18-11 20-17
Position#6
Record6-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#8
Record6-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game79.9
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2011-12
Meetings · Horsholm v Vaerlose
16 Feb 2015
HORS95
VAER78
17 Dec 2014
HORS92
VAER90
24 Oct 2014
HORS72
VAER82
11 Jan 2014
HORS78
VAER87
17 Nov 2012
HORS84
VAER79
17 Oct 2012
HORS91
VAER82
11 Jan 2012
HORS78
VAER64
03 Mar 2011
HORS84
VAER71
23 Feb 2011
HORS77
VAER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsholmDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H09/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H12/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H26/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A30/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#4
L
67-67
67
67
+0
A11/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A14/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
17-21
16-24
18-17
22-19
24-23
19-26
19-19
–
–
–
–
18-21
22-20
29-28
13-19
15-15
24-15
18-20
9-24
16-24
18-19
15-5
15-27
–
–
–
–
28-24
20-13
22-7
10-18
18-20
21-16
10-14
18-17
19-24
22-24
7-17
12-24
151.9Avg total
73.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.077.7151.7-3.738%
Season at home (8)77.674.6152.2+3.050%
Season away (8)70.480.8151.1-10.425%
Last 10 (10)73.478.5151.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)67.474.4141.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.978.1147.0-9.220%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.575.8153.3+1.646%
vs Weaker (6)78.769.2147.8+9.567%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A28/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H09/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A12/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A20/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A27/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
65-98
65
98
-33
H30/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
14-20
19-18
11-19
22-21
20-31
27-22
19-21
17-20
28-22
24-22
23-24
15-20
18-20
18-16
21-18
12-17
27-16
12-10
23-19
8-26
15-19
20-12
9-26
–
–
–
–
15-32
22-23
12-21
16-22
17-10
17-17
19-20
23-20
25-17
17-18
21-24
23-16
154.0Avg total
74.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.979.9154.8-5.138%
Season at home (9)77.481.4158.9-4.044%
Season away (7)71.678.0149.6-6.429%
Last 10 (10)74.379.7154.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)70.480.6151.0-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.982.4154.3-10.414%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.077.1152.1-2.146%
vs Weaker (2)85.568.5154.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
HorsholmVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H09/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H12/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A20/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A30/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A14/12
Basketligaen
80.1Avg total
40.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)38.438.777.1-0.441%-
Last 30 at home (8)41.537.278.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (9)35.640.075.6-4.422%-
Last 10 (8)40.539.680.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.739.174.9-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (2)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H02/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H09/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A20/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H30/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
Basketligaen
77.4Avg total
36.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.438.876.2-1.542%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.338.076.3+0.345%-
Last 30 away (8)36.140.076.1-3.938%-
Last 10 (9)36.740.877.4-4.144%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.342.479.7-5.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.938.475.3-1.545%-
vs Weaker (1)43.019.062.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Horsholm wins
0
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
13/10/11Vaerlose v Horsholm82-91
03/03/11Horsholm v Vaerlose84-71
23/02/11Horsholm v Vaerlose77-75
11/11/10Vaerlose v Horsholm59-69
Horsholmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/11ASvendborg60-89
11/12/11ABakken Bears67-67
07/12/11HHerlev Wolfpack80-62
03/12/11HBakken Bears66-79
30/11/11AAalborg64-75
26/11/11HSisu66-74
20/11/11ATeam FOG Naestved82-88
17/11/11AHerlev Wolfpack94-83
12/11/11HAabyhoj84-87
09/11/11HBakken Bears71-81
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/11HTeam FOG Naestved86-75
07/12/11HAalborg76-67
30/11/11HSvendborg65-98
27/11/11AHorsens73-80
20/11/11ASisu52-83
12/11/11AHerlev Wolfpack74-62
09/11/11HAabyhoj72-74
02/11/11HHorsens92-88
28/10/11ATeam FOG Naestved88-95
22/10/11ASvendborg65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.077.670.4
Allowed / game77.774.680.8
Point differential-3.7+3.0-10.4
Avg total151.7152.2151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%44%29%
Points / game74.977.471.6
Allowed / game79.981.478.0
Point differential-5.1-4.0-6.4
Avg total154.8158.9149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1716194%83.870.9+12.9
2 Bakken Bears1615194%79.162.1+17.0
3 Team FOG Naestved1710759%79.976.5+3.5
4 Aalborg167944%76.980.2-3.3
5 Sisu1771041%77.780.9-3.2
6 Horsholm1661038%74.077.7-3.7
7 Vaerlose1661038%74.979.9-5.1
8 Horsens1761135%80.884.7-3.9
9 Aabyhoj1761135%73.981.2-7.3
10 Herlev Wolfpack1741324%74.881.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsholm2119182078
Vaerlose1719111764
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