Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 89-92

23-30 13-24 26-14 27-24

Position#1

Record22-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game90.2

Allowed / game80.1

Svendborg

Vaerlose 🏆

Position#8

Record9-16

FormLWWLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game83.8

BasketligaenRound 20

Other2012-13

Meetings · Svendborg v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

95-81

+14

H19/12

Basketligaen

Horsholm

79-80

-1

A05/01

Basketligaen

Aarhus

83-61

+22

H09/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

85-77

A16/01

Basketligaen

Randers

105-75

105

+30

H19/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

99-66

+33

A24/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

82-71

+11

A30/01

Basketligaen

Aarhus

86-67

+19

H06/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

84-95

-11

A17/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

95-90

H21/02

Basketligaen

17-17

19-24

32-23

27-17

19-20

19-22

20-29

21-9

22-18

22-16

18-16

21-11

24-30

18-22

22-14

21-11

24-20

26-18

26-21

29-16

19-14

33-14

33-15

14-23

23-13

25-24

15-15

19-19

24-21

21-19

13-13

28-14

29-23

20-23

20-26

15-23

30-21

24-25

23-20

18-24

165.6Avg total

89.3Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	90.2	80.1	170.2	+10.1	88%
Season at home (13)	94.3	82.5	176.8	+11.8	92%
Season away (12)	85.7	77.5	163.2	+8.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	76.3	165.6	+13.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	77.8	167.0	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.0	86.0	163.0	-9.0	25%
vs Similar (6)	92.3	87.2	179.5	+5.2	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	89.5	77.8	167.3	+11.6	89%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

90-98

-8

A19/12

Basketligaen

Aarhus

95-69

+26

H06/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

79-78

A10/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

75-95

-20

H16/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

73-58

+15

H20/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

65-107

107

-42

A27/01

Basketligaen

Randers

97-76

+21

H31/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

88-73

+15

A07/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

59-70

-11

H13/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

85-82

H17/02

Basketligaen

25-23

19-22

22-28

24-25

32-22

21-16

23-16

19-15

16-26

21-17

22-22

20-13

21-21

14-28

27-25

13-21

21-17

20-22

19-13

13-6

19-25

10-37

17-20

19-25

29-21

24-13

28-16

16-26

31-22

24-18

15-14

18-19

9-17

22-19

19-12

9-22

28-28

18-10

20-18

19-26

161.2Avg total

80.6Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	78.7	83.8	162.5	-5.1	36%
Season at home (13)	80.3	82.7	163.0	-2.4	46%
Season away (12)	76.9	85.0	161.9	-8.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	80.6	161.2	+0.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	81.6	160.4	-2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	76.7	87.8	164.6	-11.1	20%
vs Similar (7)	84.6	82.4	167.0	+2.1	43%
vs Weaker (3)	81.3	69.3	150.7	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SvendborgVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	18.8	39.9	+2.4	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.7	42.8	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.4	43.4	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.3	20.7	45.0	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+2.9	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.0	43.6	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	23.5	44.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.2	45.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.9	22.3	45.1	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	21.0	46.1	+4.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.5	20.3	44.8	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.2	20.8	43.9	+2.4	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.2	40.3	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	23.1	41.2	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	67%	-

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

36-41

-5

H19/12

Basketligaen

Horsholm

38-42

-4

A05/01

Basketligaen

Aarhus

44-34

+10

H09/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

42-52

-10

A16/01

Basketligaen

Randers

50-38

+12

H19/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

52-28

+24

A24/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

48-37

+11

A30/01

Basketligaen

Aarhus

45-40

H06/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

49-46

A17/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

54-46

H21/02

Basketligaen

86.2Avg total

45.8Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.1	81%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.8	41.1	89.9	+7.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.8	38.7	81.5	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	40.4	86.2	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	39.4	89.0	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	38.0	86.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	48.8	41.0	89.8	+7.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.1	39.7	84.8	+5.3	74%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

44-45

-1

A19/12

Basketligaen

Aarhus

53-38

+15

H06/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

37-43

-6

A10/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

35-49

-14

H16/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

41-39

H20/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

29-62

-33

A27/01

Basketligaen

Randers

53-34

+19

H31/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

55-40

+15

A07/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

31-36

-5

H13/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

46-38

H17/02

Basketligaen

84.8Avg total

42.4Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.1	84.0	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.7	81.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	46.6	86.0	-7.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	42.4	84.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.0	84.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.9	45.8	84.6	-6.9	10%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.7	20.8	44.4	+2.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.5	24.7	47.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.1	40.9	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	14.7	31.7	+2.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	18.1	37.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.6	39.8	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.3	13.7	29.0	+1.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	43.6	40.1	83.7	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.2	41.1	85.4	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.8	38.8	81.7	+4.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	35.9	79.4	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	41.0	69.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.5	46.2	89.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.4	38.1	82.5	+6.3	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.9	76.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	39.4	77.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.5	75.1	-1.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	39.6	75.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.4	41.2	78.7	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.7	36.9	76.6	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	32.3	28.3	60.7	+4.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Svendborg wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/12	Vaerlose v Svendborg	75-82
10/10/12	Vaerlose v Svendborg	82-99
15/03/12	Svendborg v Vaerlose	100-72
12/03/12	Vaerlose v Svendborg	76-83
08/03/12	Svendborg v Vaerlose	99-91 OT
01/02/12	Svendborg v Vaerlose	81-63
30/11/11	Vaerlose v Svendborg	65-98
22/10/11	Svendborg v Vaerlose	75-65
14/03/11	Vaerlose v Svendborg	58-91
10/03/11	Svendborg v Vaerlose	78-65

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/02/13	H	Bakken Bears	95-90
17/02/13	A	Horsens	84-95
06/02/13	H	Aarhus	86-67
30/01/13	A	Aalborg	82-71
24/01/13	A	Team FOG Naestved	99-66
19/01/13	H	Randers	105-75
16/01/13	A	Horsholm	85-77
09/01/13	H	Aarhus	83-61
05/01/13	A	Horsholm	79-80
19/12/12	H	Sisu	95-81

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	85-82
13/02/13	H	Sisu	59-70
07/02/13	A	Aalborg	88-73
31/01/13	H	Randers	97-76
27/01/13	A	Bakken Bears	65-107
20/01/13	H	Aalborg	73-58
16/01/13	H	Horsens	75-95
10/01/13	A	Sisu	79-78
06/01/13	H	Aarhus	95-69
19/12/12	A	Team FOG Naestved	90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	88%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	LWWWL	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	88%	92%	83%
Points / game	90.2	94.3	85.7
Allowed / game	80.1	82.5	77.5
Point differential	+10.1	+11.8	+8.2
Avg total	170.2	176.8	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	62%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	36%
Home	LWWLW	46%
Away	LLWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	36%	46%	25%
Points / game	78.7	80.3	76.9
Allowed / game	83.8	82.7	85.0
Point differential	-5.1	-2.4	-8.1
Avg total	162.5	163.0	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	23%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	12%	8%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Svendborg	25	22	3	88%	90.2	80.1	+10.1
2	Bakken Bears	25	19	6	76%	88.9	75.5	+13.4
3	Horsens	25	19	6	76%	86.0	79.2	+6.7
4	Sisu	25	15	10	60%	79.9	77.9	+2.0
5	Team FOG Naestved	25	12	13	48%	78.9	77.0	+1.8
6	Randers	25	11	14	44%	89.7	89.1	+0.6
7	Horsholm	25	10	15	40%	79.6	83.7	-4.0
8	Vaerlose	25	9	16	36%	78.7	83.8	-5.1
9	Aarhus	25	6	19	24%	72.0	82.6	-10.6
10	Aalborg	25	2	23	8%	75.6	90.5	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Svendborg	23	13	26	27	89
Vaerlose	30	24	14	24	92

← all games of the day

Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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