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Vaerlose vs Sisu Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-84
22-24 20-19 19-11 16-30
Position#8
Record3-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Sisu 🏆
Denmark
Position#7
Record7-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game88.5
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 21
Other2014-15
Meetings · Vaerlose v Sisu
08 Jan 2015
VAER77
SISU84
12 Feb 2014
VAER88
SISU91
09 Oct 2013
VAER81
SISU80
13 Feb 2013
VAER59
SISU70
26 Sep 2012
VAER54
SISU76
19 Oct 2011
VAER87
SISU83
01 Dec 2010
VAER93
SISU74
29 Sep 2010
VAER80
SISU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sisu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A07/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H16/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
93-62
93
62
+31
A19/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H27/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H04/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A11/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A04/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
16-24
18-33
20-21
–
–
–
–
22-24
18-21
15-23
18-16
28-17
26-12
25-16
14-17
18-15
20-23
14-17
17-18
24-15
22-17
11-21
11-23
15-14
27-22
20-27
20-16
18-20
18-16
20-19
30-31
11-23
18-22
19-21
12-20
22-22
14-22
15-28
15-16
158.8Avg total
75.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.079.5151.5-7.520%
Season at home (7)67.979.0146.9-11.114%
Season away (8)75.680.0155.6-4.425%
Last 10 (10)75.583.3158.8-7.820%
Last 5 (5)73.284.2157.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.187.3162.5-12.25%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.380.0157.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (1)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Sisu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SisuDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Aalborg
#10
W
114-87
114
87
+27
H16/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H20/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
H27/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A04/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A08/12
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-106
86
106
-20
A19/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A29/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
123-100
123
100
+23
H05/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
24-22
35-16
30-29
25-20
18-13
27-22
21-18
31-24
19-26
24-26
20-30
25-16
29-24
21-14
15-19
21-18
–
–
–
–
14-15
22-27
27-20
16-20
20-31
26-22
27-25
13-28
17-24
22-28
21-21
21-21
32-34
39-17
27-29
25-20
179.2Avg total
90.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.588.5177.9+1.047%
Season at home (9)93.084.9177.9+8.167%
Season away (6)84.293.8178.0-9.717%
Last 10 (10)90.588.7179.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)85.493.2178.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.6171.4-9.719%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.881.4168.2+5.564%
vs Weaker (2)102.587.5190.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
VaerloseSisu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A19/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H27/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H04/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A04/01
Basketligaen
78.2Avg total
39.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.341.682.0-1.336%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.742.881.5-4.131%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.782.4+1.140%-
Last 10 (9)39.239.078.2+0.233%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.676.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.843.083.9-2.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.438.073.4-2.620%-
vs Weaker (1)54.029.083.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Sisu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SisuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H16/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H27/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A04/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A19/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H05/01
Basketligaen
93.8Avg total
48.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.544.486.9-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.641.985.5+1.750%-
Last 30 away (15)41.646.588.1-4.920%-
Last 10 (8)48.645.193.8+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.295.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.147.188.1-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.440.783.1+1.750%-
vs Weaker (2)53.543.597.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Sisu wins
DateGameScore
11/12/14Sisu v Vaerlose79-82
12/11/14Sisu v Vaerlose93-84
16/10/14Sisu v Vaerlose73-66
12/02/14Vaerlose v Sisu88-91 OT
07/01/14Sisu v Vaerlose100-67
15/10/13Sisu v Vaerlose85-70
09/10/13Vaerlose v Sisu81-80
13/02/13Vaerlose v Sisu59-70
10/01/13Sisu v Vaerlose78-79
26/09/12Vaerlose v Sisu54-76
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/15ABakken Bears66-88
30/12/14HSvendborg60-86
17/12/14AHorsholm90-92 OT
11/12/14ASisu82-79
04/12/14HHorsens68-76
27/11/14HTeam FOG Naestved69-73
19/11/14AAalborg93-62
16/11/14HHerlev Wolfpack73-84
12/11/14ASisu84-93
07/11/14ABakken Bears70-100
Sisulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/15HRanders123-100
29/12/14AHerlev Wolfpack81-94
19/12/14ABakken Bears86-106
11/12/14HVaerlose79-82
08/12/14AHorsens58-84
04/12/14ATeam FOG Naestved86-75
27/11/14HSvendborg88-98
20/11/14HHorsholm97-77
16/11/14HAalborg114-87
12/11/14HVaerlose93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%14%25%
Points / game72.067.975.6
Allowed / game79.579.080.0
Point differential-7.5-11.1-4.4
Avg total151.5146.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Sisu
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%67%17%
Points / game89.593.084.2
Allowed / game88.584.993.8
Point differential+1.0+8.1-9.7
Avg total177.9177.9178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1413193%98.680.7+17.9
2 Horsens1512380%84.474.5+9.9
3 Svendborg1411379%85.181.4+3.7
4 Herlev Wolfpack1510567%89.481.7+7.7
5 Randers158753%91.788.7+3.0
6 Team FOG Naestved158753%81.180.5+0.7
7 Sisu157847%89.588.5+1.0
8 Vaerlose1531220%72.079.5-7.5
9 Horsholm1521313%80.191.5-11.3
10 Aalborg150150%73.196.7-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2220191677
Sisu2419113084
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