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Valcea vs CSM Targu Jiu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-78
23-20 20-25 29-13 17-20
Position#6
Record8-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game83.8
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
Position#15
Record1-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game90.1
RomaniaDivizia ARound 17
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu
26 Apr 2026
VALC89
CSM 87
24 Apr 2026
VALC96
CSM 80
16 Jan 2026
VALC89
CSM 78
23 Mar 2024
VALC96
CSM 100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Jiu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
84avg 78
H09/11
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
65-97
65
97
-32
48avg 78
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 78
A16/11
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
67-121
67
121
-54
49avg 78
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
86avg 78
A07/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
96avg 78
H13/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
85-96
85
96
-11
78avg 78
A20/12
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 78
H29/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 78
A05/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
99avg 78
A10/01
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-21
23-21
23-15
17-24
18-19
13-25
17-29
22-14
16-26
24-24
14-18
20-37
21-31
17-24
9-29
19-24
21-25
21-20
23-15
27-31
25-18
21-29
22-17
20-23
19-30
20-29
26-14
20-20
14-19
23-16
26-21
27-21
17-26
24-23
30-21
30-24
21-15
22-14
23-16
176.1Avg total
84.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.983.8174.6+7.157%
Season at home (6)92.585.8178.3+6.767%
Season away (8)89.682.2171.9+7.450%
Last 10 (10)84.891.3176.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)93.488.4181.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.695.7170.3-21.110%
vs Similar (15)84.886.5171.3-1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.871.8168.6+25.0100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu JiuRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJiu
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
72-88
72
88
-16
60avg 68
H25/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
54-97
54
97
-43
41avg 68
A03/11
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
75-99
75
99
-24
61avg 68
H08/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
85-95
85
95
-10
82avg 68
A13/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 68
H21/11
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 68
A06/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
92-93
92
93
-1
87avg 68
H13/12
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
108-93
108
93
+15
104avg 68
A20/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 68
A30/12
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
55avg 68
A09/01
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
18-22
18-20
16-18
19-22
8-22
9-25
18-28
16-24
15-32
24-26
20-17
24-17
21-31
22-22
18-25
22-18
21-24
21-24
11-18
27-29
25-19
18-21
8-25
27-26
24-24
19-22
22-21
22-25
27-19
31-23
28-26
30-17
12-26
20-20
15-25
13-24
30-20
8-26
17-22
170.7Avg total
78.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.490.1164.5-15.77%
Season at home (7)73.191.3164.4-18.10%
Season away (8)75.589.0164.5-13.512%
Last 10 (10)78.492.3170.7-13.910%
Last 5 (5)84.692.0176.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.089.9161.9-17.90%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)87.783.9171.6+3.947%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.2-5.2
ValceaCSM Targu Jiu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A07/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H13/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/12
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A05/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A10/01
Divizia A
87.6Avg total
41.0Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.385.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.482.2-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)41.346.187.4-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)41.046.687.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.489.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.649.588.1-10.910%-
vs Similar (15)39.944.184.1-4.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.834.681.4+12.2100%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu JiuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H25/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A03/11
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H08/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A13/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/11
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H13/12
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A20/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A30/12
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A09/01
Divizia A
89.0Avg total
42.1Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.983.7-4.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.644.583.1-5.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.943.484.2-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.989.0-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.893.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.945.683.4-7.721%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)42.243.085.2-0.867%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.3
51.8%
55.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
33.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.718.4
77.6%
73.0%18.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Jiutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Jiu: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.0
54.8%
55.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.3
30.2%
33.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.5
75.1%
73.0%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWLLLLLLW
CSM Targu Jiu
LLWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#15
-8.7
Net rating
-18.6
108.3
Offensive rating
100.5
117.0
Defensive rating
119.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
30.2%
63.8%
Assist %
57.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 100.5Defence117.0 · 119.1Shooting52.7% · 50.6%3-point %36.0% · 30.2%Ball care16.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.1% · 25.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Targu Jiu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valcea wins
2
CSM Targu Jiu wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea74-95
23/03/24Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu96-100
10/02/24CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea95-91
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AMunicipal Galati96-69
05/01/26ADinamo Bucharest98-91
29/12/25HBC Steaua Bucuresti83-76
20/12/25ACSU Sibiu85-96
13/12/25HCSM Targu Mures105-110 OT
07/12/25ASCM Timisoara91-96 OT
19/11/25ASporting CP67-121
16/11/25ARapid Bucuresti76-82
12/11/25HSassari65-97
09/11/25HArges Pitesti82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ACSM Oradea68-92
30/12/25APetrolul Ploiesti77-88
20/12/25AMunicipal Galati108-93
13/12/25HDinamo Bucharest92-93
06/12/25ABC Steaua Bucuresti78-94
21/11/25HCSU Sibiu75-84
13/11/25ACSM Targu Mures85-95
08/11/25HSCM Timisoara75-99
03/11/25ASCM Craiova54-97
25/10/25HRapid Bucuresti72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game90.992.589.6
Allowed / game83.885.882.2
Point differential+7.1+6.7+7.4
Avg total174.6178.3171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%17%12%
CSM Targu Jiu
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %7%0%12%
Points / game74.473.175.5
Allowed / game90.191.389.0
Point differential-15.7-18.1-13.5
Avg total164.5164.4164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea1514193%87.772.0+15.7
2 Voluntari1511473%88.879.3+9.5
3 Arges Pitesti1510567%80.375.0+5.3
4 SCM Craiova1510567%87.783.1+4.6
5 Valcea148657%90.983.8+7.1
6 SCM Timisoara158753%89.185.1+4.0
7 Rapid Bucuresti158753%83.281.7+1.5
8 Dinamo Bucharest158753%85.484.2+1.2
9 CSM Targu Mures168850%92.693.9-1.3
10 BC Steaua Bucuresti157847%83.883.2+0.6
11 Corona Brasov157847%85.788.1-2.5
12 Petrolul Ploiesti146843%86.790.2-3.5
13 CSU Sibiu156940%82.685.8-3.2
14 CSM Targu Jiu151147%74.490.1-15.7
15 Municipal Galati150150%73.696.7-23.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2320291789
CSM Targu Jiu2025132078
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