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Valcea vs CSM Targu Jiu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 96-80
31-20 18-20 18-26 29-14
Position#6
Record15-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game86.0
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
Position#15
Record4-24
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game89.5
RomaniaDivizia ADivizia A - Quarter-finals· Traian Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu
26 Apr 2026
VALC89
CSM 87
24 Apr 2026
VALC96
CSM 80
16 Jan 2026
VALC89
CSM 78
23 Mar 2024
VALC96
CSM 100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Jiu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H29/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
A02/04
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H07/04
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A15/04
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H18/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
19-22
23-15
26-18
26-22
19-24
31-17
21-32
30-25
16-23
16-16
23-18
23-20
20-27
25-23
16-17
14-24
22-28
26-24
21-21
17-24
27-22
21-10
23-29
19-20
25-29
21-33
19-20
16-21
26-34
22-15
22-28
19-13
16-22
18-17
16-14
21-27
29-25
15-15
16-21
173.6Avg total
85.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.186.0174.1+2.154%
Season at home (14)89.788.1177.8+1.657%
Season away (14)86.583.9170.4+2.650%
Last 10 (10)85.188.5173.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)81.687.8169.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.0100.7173.7-27.717%
vs Similar (18)85.690.5176.1-4.939%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.273.2166.4+20.0100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu JiuRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H02/02
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A07/02
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A14/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H21/03
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A25/03
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H29/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A02/04
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
96-63
96
63
+33
H07/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H14/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-21
26-24
14-24
20-24
14-24
25-35
21-19
25-16
13-27
21-24
6-34
19-26
17-24
17-19
34-19
16-20
25-17
24-28
17-13
15-29
23-12
25-16
24-27
20-10
13-21
9-14
21-31
23-14
16-31
15-33
17-21
24-19
28-14
23-17
21-13
19-21
17-18
18-19
14-25
164.5Avg total
77.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.389.5165.8-13.214%
Season at home (14)74.588.7163.2-14.214%
Season away (14)78.190.3168.4-12.214%
Last 10 (10)77.886.7164.5-8.930%
Last 5 (5)77.081.0158.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.390.4164.7-16.18%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)85.282.8168.0+2.550%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
ValceaCSM Targu Jiu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/04
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H07/04
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/04
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H18/04
Divizia A
91.2Avg total
43.0Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.747.289.9-4.613%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.847.989.6-6.17%-
Last 30 away (16)43.446.790.1-3.219%-
Last 10 (10)43.048.291.2-5.20%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.490.4-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.851.391.2-11.50%-
vs Similar (18)41.947.189.0-5.26%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)49.442.892.2+6.660%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu JiuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H02/02
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/02
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A14/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/03
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/03
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/04
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H07/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/04
Divizia A
79.8Avg total
38.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.082.7-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.780.9-4.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.145.384.5-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.279.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.877.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.044.382.3-6.323%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)42.842.285.0+0.575%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
55.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
33.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.818.5
74.6%
73.0%18.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Jiutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Jiu: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
55.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
73.0%15.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
LWLLWLLWWW
CSM Targu Jiu
LWLLWWLLLL
#6
League position
#15
-3.8
Net rating
-10.4
98.1
Offensive rating
91.0
101.9
Defensive rating
101.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
30.1%
65.5%
Assist %
42.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 91.0Defence101.9 · 101.4Shooting51.5% · 49.1%3-point %32.5% · 30.1%Ball care13.6% · 16.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Targu Jiu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valcea wins
2
CSM Targu Jiu wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu89-78
04/10/25CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea74-95
23/03/24Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu96-100
10/02/24CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea95-91
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HDinamo Bucharest81-88
15/04/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti69-66
07/04/26HCSU Sibiu86-98
02/04/26ACSM Targu Mures84-102
29/03/26HSCM Timisoara88-85
25/03/26ASCM Craiova83-97
21/03/26HRapid Bucuresti84-87
14/03/26AArges Pitesti85-82
11/03/26HSCM Craiova97-95
07/03/26HCorona Brasov94-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26HPetrolul Ploiesti68-83
07/04/26HMunicipal Galati96-63
02/04/26ADinamo Bucharest71-99
29/03/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti63-76
25/03/26ACSU Sibiu87-84
21/03/26HCSM Targu Mures82-78
14/03/26ASCM Timisoara87-88
07/03/26HSCM Craiova65-101
07/02/26ARapid Bucuresti80-102
02/02/26HArges Pitesti79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game88.189.786.5
Allowed / game86.088.183.9
Point differential+2.1+1.6+2.6
Avg total174.1177.8170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
CSM Targu Jiu
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL14%
HomeLWLWL14%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game76.374.578.1
Allowed / game89.588.790.3
Point differential-13.2-14.2-12.2
Avg total165.8163.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cluj-Napoca110100%101.094.0+7.0
2 CSM Oradea2924583%88.577.1+11.4
3 Voluntari2820871%87.881.2+6.6
4 Dinamo Bucharest2920969%86.982.0+4.9
5 Rapid Bucuresti29181162%85.983.1+2.8
6 SCM Craiova28171161%90.585.5+5.0
7 SCM Timisoara29161355%88.485.1+3.3
8 Arges Pitesti29161355%82.479.3+3.1
9 CSU Sibiu29161355%86.184.8+1.3
10 Valcea28151354%88.186.0+2.1
11 BC Steaua Bucuresti29141548%82.980.3+2.6
12 CSM Targu Mures29141548%94.695.2-0.6
13 Corona Brasov29121741%86.988.4-1.6
14 Petrolul Ploiesti2992031%85.191.8-6.6
15 CSM Targu Jiu2842414%76.389.5-13.2
16 Municipal Galati290290%73.895.3-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea3118182996
CSM Targu Jiu2020261480
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