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Valcea vs Rapid Bucuresti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-87
23-20 20-27 25-23 16-17
Position#6
Record13-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#5
Record11-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game83.0
RomaniaDivizia ARound 24· Traian Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v Rapid Bucuresti
10 Apr 2027
VALC v RAPI
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
VALC84
RAPI87
12 Oct 2024
VALC68
RAPI72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapid Bucuresti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 78
A05/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
99avg 78
A10/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H16/01
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 78
H28/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
98avg 78
A01/02
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 78
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 78
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
91avg 78
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
85avg 78
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 78
A14/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
17-26
24-23
30-21
30-24
21-15
22-14
23-16
23-20
20-25
29-13
17-20
23-26
19-21
20-29
20-26
34-15
23-26
22-9
15-19
18-26
25-19
19-23
17-32
21-24
19-23
11-17
27-20
26-30
19-22
23-15
26-18
26-22
19-24
31-17
21-32
30-25
16-23
16-16
23-18
174.7Avg total
89.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.185.0175.0+5.162%
Season at home (10)91.787.5179.2+4.270%
Season away (11)88.682.6171.3+6.055%
Last 10 (10)89.285.5174.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)86.689.2175.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.197.5171.6-23.412%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.989.3175.2-3.446%
vs Weaker (8)95.173.9169.0+21.2100%
This opponent (Rapid Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rapid BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucuresti
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
85-101 OT
85
101
-16
70avg 72
A23/12
Romanian Cup
SCM Craiova
#7
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 72
H29/12
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 72
A04/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
81avg 72
A10/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
97-98
97
98
-1
no box
H16/01
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
66-80
66
80
-14
55avg 72
A23/01
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
84avg 72
H28/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
94avg 72
A01/02
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
102-80
102
80
+22
100avg 72
H07/02
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
86avg 72
H14/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
12-28
19-24
26-20
12-19
27-23
18-29
27-24
24-19
15-23
23-23
16-22
22-21
17-20
11-24
33-18
29-21
25-21
28-29
15-27
10-16
15-24
18-17
23-23
23-33
18-13
26-27
25-25
30-14
16-20
22-21
31-22
24-20
24-14
35-25
19-21
25-26
20-22
19-11
28-27
179.6Avg total
89.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.583.0168.6+2.552%
Season at home (11)88.382.0170.3+6.364%
Season away (10)82.584.2166.7-1.740%
Last 10 (10)89.190.5179.6-1.430%
Last 5 (5)90.284.2174.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.383.2157.6-8.933%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.084.0168.0+0.047%
vs Weaker (6)90.776.8167.5+13.883%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
ValceaRapid Bucuresti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A05/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A10/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/01
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H28/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A01/02
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/03
Divizia A
91.3Avg total
45.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.786.6-2.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.144.184.3-4.021%-
Last 30 away (16)43.545.288.7-1.725%-
Last 10 (10)45.645.791.3-0.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.691.4-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.049.988.9-10.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.544.985.5-4.48%-
vs Weaker (8)47.438.986.2+8.575%-
This opponent (Rapid Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rapid BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/12
Romanian Cup
SCM Craiova
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/12
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H16/01
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A23/01
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H28/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A01/02
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H07/02
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/03
Divizia A
82.4Avg total
41.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.681.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.282.6+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.080.1-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.482.4-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.843.381.1-5.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.339.980.3+0.447%-
vs Weaker (6)46.238.284.3+8.083%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
54.9%
55.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.7
39.6%
33.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.6
80.0%
73.0%15.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rapid Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapid Bucuresti: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.2
54.3%
55.9%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.6
34.2%
33.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.116.5
71.4%
73.0%16.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWLLWLWWW
Rapid Bucuresti
WWWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#5
+4.6
Net rating
-1.1
105.7
Offensive rating
105.5
101.1
Defensive rating
106.5
56.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.6%
3-point %
34.2%
65.4%
Assist %
50.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 105.5Defence101.1 · 106.5Shooting56.8% · 53.3%3-point %39.6% · 34.2%Ball care15.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds22.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Valcea   ■ Rapid Bucuresti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valcea wins
2
Rapid Bucuresti wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Rapid Bucuresti v Valcea82-76
01/02/25Rapid Bucuresti v Valcea114-122 OT
12/10/24Valcea v Rapid Bucuresti68-72
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AArges Pitesti85-82
11/03/26HSCM Craiova97-95
07/03/26HCorona Brasov94-85
15/02/26ADinamo Bucharest78-84
07/02/26AVoluntari79-100
01/02/26APetrolul Ploiesti94-69
28/01/26HCSM Oradea82-102
16/01/26HCSM Targu Jiu89-78
10/01/26AMunicipal Galati96-69
05/01/26ADinamo Bucharest98-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HCSM Oradea92-86
07/02/26HCSM Targu Jiu102-80
01/02/26AMunicipal Galati99-77
28/01/26HDinamo Bucharest92-98
23/01/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti66-80
16/01/26HCSU Sibiu97-98
10/01/26ACSM Targu Mures96-103 OT
04/01/26ASCM Timisoara78-87
29/12/25HSCM Craiova84-95
23/12/25ADinamo Bucharest85-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game90.191.788.6
Allowed / game85.087.582.6
Point differential+5.1+4.2+6.0
Avg total175.0179.2171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Rapid Bucuresti
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game85.588.382.5
Allowed / game83.082.084.2
Point differential+2.5+6.3-1.7
Avg total168.6170.3166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea2219386%89.476.6+12.8
2 Voluntari2217577%90.080.2+9.8
3 Dinamo Bucharest2316770%86.782.7+4.0
4 Arges Pitesti2214864%81.576.5+5.0
5 Valcea2113862%90.185.0+5.1
6 SCM Craiova2213959%88.683.6+5.0
7 SCM Timisoara2213959%89.686.1+3.5
8 Rapid Bucuresti21111052%85.583.0+2.5
9 CSU Sibiu23121152%85.685.5+0.1
10 CSM Targu Mures23111248%93.895.1-1.3
11 Corona Brasov22101245%85.586.6-1.1
12 BC Steaua Bucuresti23101343%83.681.3+2.3
13 Petrolul Ploiesti2261627%84.993.0-8.0
14 CSM Targu Jiu232219%76.191.3-15.2
15 Municipal Galati230230%74.396.8-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2320251684
Rapid Bucuresti2027231787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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