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Valcea vs SCM Craiova Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 97-95
26-22 19-24 31-17 21-32
Position#6
Record11-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.6
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
SCM Craiova
Romania
Position#7
Record13-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.2
RomaniaDivizia ARound 10· Traian Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v SCM Craiova
12 Dec 2026
VALC v SCM
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
VALC97
SCM 95
23 Mar 2025
VALC82
SCM 71
14 Sep 2024
VALC74
SCM 79
30 Nov 2023
VALC77
SCM 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SCM Craiova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
85-96
85
96
-11
78avg 78
A20/12
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 78
H29/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 78
A05/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
99avg 78
A10/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H16/01
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 78
H28/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
98avg 78
A01/02
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 78
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 78
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
91avg 78
H07/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-30
20-29
26-14
20-20
14-19
23-16
26-21
27-21
17-26
24-23
30-21
30-24
21-15
22-14
23-16
23-20
20-25
29-13
17-20
23-26
19-21
20-29
20-26
34-15
23-26
22-9
15-19
18-26
25-19
19-23
17-32
21-24
19-23
11-17
27-20
26-30
19-22
23-15
26-18
172.8Avg total
87.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.084.6174.6+5.458%
Season at home (9)91.186.7177.8+4.467%
Season away (10)89.082.7171.7+6.350%
Last 10 (10)87.885.0172.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)85.488.0173.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.197.5171.6-23.412%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.089.2174.2-4.238%
vs Weaker (8)95.173.9169.0+21.2100%
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SCM CraiovaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCraiova
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
89avg 76
A29/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 76
H04/01
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
64-85
64
85
-21
42avg 76
A10/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
H16/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
75avg 76
A23/01
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 76
H28/01
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 76
A01/02
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
106-74
106
74
+32
105avg 76
A07/02
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
78avg 76
A14/02
Romanian Cup
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
101-65
101
65
+36
97avg 76
A07/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
23-27
29-18
24-27
17-25
24-21
27-20
27-32
17-27
19-25
15-17
13-16
25-25
26-22
27-20
17-22
19-22
16-28
22-16
30-25
16-19
16-16
24-23
28-22
16-18
23-13
13-30
25-27
26-14
26-23
25-17
29-20
24-18
19-25
19-29
24-24
16-25
27-13
24-21
34-6
174.0Avg total
89.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.582.2170.8+6.365%
Season at home (10)92.182.3174.4+9.880%
Season away (10)85.082.2167.2+2.850%
Last 10 (10)89.085.0174.0+4.050%
Last 5 (5)90.880.6171.4+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.385.9159.1-12.60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.886.5171.3-1.854%
vs Weaker (10)94.079.6173.6+14.470%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
ValceaSCM Craiova
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/12
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A05/01
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A10/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/01
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H28/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A01/02
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/03
Divizia A
89.3Avg total
43.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.744.786.4-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.843.283.0-3.429%-
Last 30 away (16)43.446.089.4-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.589.3-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.491.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.049.988.9-10.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.144.985.0-4.815%-
vs Weaker (8)47.438.986.2+8.575%-
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SCM CraiovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A29/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/01
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/01
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A23/01
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H28/01
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A01/02
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A07/02
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/02
Romanian Cup
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/03
Divizia A
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.282.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.882.4+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)41.741.683.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.878.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.043.380.3-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.941.584.5+1.469%-
vs Weaker (10)43.339.482.7+3.960%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.2
55.5%
55.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.5
38.6%
33.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.7
78.8%
73.0%16.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SCM Craiovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SCM Craiova: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.7
60.0%
55.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.0
34.7%
33.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.113.8
72.3%
73.0%13.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WLLWLWWWWL
SCM Craiova
WLWLWLWLLW
#6
League position
#7
+1.8
Net rating
+4.4
107.7
Offensive rating
107.7
105.8
Defensive rating
103.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.6%
3-point %
34.7%
63.8%
Assist %
54.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 107.7Defence105.8 · 103.3Shooting56.5% · 56.2%3-point %38.6% · 34.7%Ball care16.3% · 13.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valcea   ■ SCM Craiova
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valcea wins
3
SCM Craiova wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Valcea v SCM Craiova82-71
15/11/24SCM Craiova v Valcea95-73
14/09/24Valcea v SCM Craiova74-79
10/01/24SCM Craiova v Valcea70-96
30/11/23Valcea v SCM Craiova77-78
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HCorona Brasov94-85
15/02/26ADinamo Bucharest78-84
07/02/26AVoluntari79-100
01/02/26APetrolul Ploiesti94-69
28/01/26HCSM Oradea82-102
16/01/26HCSM Targu Jiu89-78
10/01/26AMunicipal Galati96-69
05/01/26ADinamo Bucharest98-91
29/12/25HBC Steaua Bucuresti83-76
20/12/25ACSU Sibiu85-96
SCM Craiovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ACSM Targu Jiu101-65
14/02/26ACSM Targu Mures86-96
07/02/26AMunicipal Galati106-74
01/02/26ADinamo Bucharest77-88
28/01/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti84-80
23/01/26ACSU Sibiu87-91
16/01/26HCSM Targu Mures95-89
10/01/26ASCM Timisoara64-85
04/01/26HPetrolul Ploiesti95-98
29/12/25ARapid Bucuresti95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game90.091.189.0
Allowed / game84.686.782.7
Point differential+5.4+4.4+6.3
Avg total174.6177.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
SCM Craiova
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game88.592.185.0
Allowed / game82.282.382.2
Point differential+6.3+9.8+2.8
Avg total170.8174.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea2018290%89.175.5+13.6
2 Voluntari2016480%91.080.0+11.1
3 Dinamo Bucharest2114767%86.482.9+3.6
4 SCM Craiova2013765%88.582.2+6.3
5 Arges Pitesti2013765%81.176.0+5.2
6 Valcea1911858%90.084.6+5.4
7 SCM Timisoara2112957%89.786.0+3.6
8 CSU Sibiu21111052%85.285.2+0.0
9 Rapid Bucuresti20101050%85.282.9+2.3
10 CSM Targu Mures21101148%93.496.5-3.1
11 Corona Brasov2091145%85.887.8-2.0
12 BC Steaua Bucuresti2191243%83.582.0+1.6
13 Petrolul Ploiesti2061430%86.593.3-6.8
14 CSM Targu Jiu211205%75.392.1-16.8
15 Municipal Galati210210%74.095.8-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2619312197
SCM Craiova2224173295
← all games of the day
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