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Valcea vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-97
17-24 18-19 13-25 17-29
Position#38
Record1-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Sassari 🏆
Position#23
Record3-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Traian Sports Hall
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
95-74
95
74
+21
89avg 80
A04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 80
A11/10
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 80
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H18/10
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 80
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#3
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 80
H25/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
61-102
61
102
-41
48avg 80
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
93-65
93
65
+28
98avg 80
A01/11
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
87avg 80
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
84avg 80
H09/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
19-15
20-15
32-27
18-22
20-22
27-14
18-27
16-27
19-20
21-15
16-29
21-15
20-14
26-27
29-28
27-30
20-17
18-23
8-24
25-29
18-28
20-24
22-22
12-27
19-26
21-24
9-25
27-12
24-25
22-22
20-6
23-29
20-21
25-22
22-16
16-18
20-21
23-21
23-15
169.1Avg total
83.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.093.8167.8-19.825%
Season at home (2)66.596.5163.0-30.00%
Season away (2)81.591.0172.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)83.086.1169.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)82.286.6168.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.690.8167.5-14.218%
vs Similar (11)80.880.8161.6+0.073%
vs Weaker (8)92.275.1167.4+17.188%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 74
A12/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 74
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
63avg 74
H19/10
Lega A
Valcea
#38
W
94-73
94
73
+21
88avg 74
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 74
A26/10
Lega A
Vechta
#8
W
105-94
105
94
+11
105avg 74
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
70-88
70
88
-18
58avg 74
H01/11
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
W
89-72
89
72
+17
92avg 74
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#15
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 74
H06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
24-25
19-19
19-26
20-21
14-26
30-6
13-27
22-18
20-16
13-19
17-23
30-27
17-20
23-18
24-8
23-23
12-26
19-22
17-19
20-25
19-28
32-21
34-20
17-25
21-16
13-27
19-20
24-20
31-21
17-21
17-10
27-20
28-17
18-23
27-24
15-12
20-25
24-31
17-21
165.4Avg total
82.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.279.8171.0+11.575%
Season at home (3)96.079.7175.7+16.3100%
Season away (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)82.982.5165.4+0.440%
Last 5 (5)88.085.4173.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.784.9159.6-10.114%
vs Similar (11)85.884.5170.4+1.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.878.6165.4+8.260%
This opponent (Valcea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
ValceaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/10
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H18/10
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H25/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A01/11
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
Divizia A
84.3Avg total
40.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.681.8-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.981.1-0.735%-
Last 30 away (13)40.442.582.8-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.584.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.288.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.245.082.2-7.89%-
vs Similar (11)39.841.581.3-1.627%-
vs Weaker (8)45.137.082.1+8.188%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/10
Lega A
Valcea
#38
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A26/10
Lega A
Vechta
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#15
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/11
Lega A
83.7Avg total
41.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.782.6-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.886.2+0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.678.5-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.083.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.642.280.8-3.621%-
vs Similar (11)41.442.984.3-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
52.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
73.4%16.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.3
47.5%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.0
41.2%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
73.4%15.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWLLLWLLW
Sassari
LWWLWLWLLL
#38
League position
#23
-0.3
Net rating
+1.9
109.5
Offensive rating
110.7
109.8
Defensive rating
108.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.5%
3-point %
41.2%
62.2%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 110.7Defence109.8 · 108.8Shooting54.0% · 53.6%3-point %37.5% · 41.2%Ball care17.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Valcea   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valcea wins
1
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Sassari v Valcea94-73
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HArges Pitesti82-75
05/11/25AVechta90-88
01/11/25ACorona Brasov93-65
29/10/25HSporting CP61-102
25/10/25HVoluntari85-103
22/10/25ASassari73-94
18/10/25HPetrolul Ploiesti96-84
15/10/25HVechta72-91
11/10/25ACSM Oradea83-85
04/10/25ACSM Targu Jiu95-74
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AVenezia76-89
06/11/25HCantu100-84
04/11/25HSporting CP89-72
01/11/25HUdine70-88
29/10/25HVechta105-94
26/10/25AVirtus Bologna71-90
22/10/25HValcea94-73
19/10/25HOlimpia Milano72-76
15/10/25ASporting CP77-80
12/10/25ACremona75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game74.066.581.5
Allowed / game93.896.591.0
Point differential-19.8-30.0-9.5
Avg total167.8163.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game91.296.077.0
Allowed / game79.879.780.0
Point differential+11.5+16.3-3.0
Avg total171.0175.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Junior440100%95.579.2+16.2
2 Bilbao54180%100.072.2+27.8
3 Petkim Spor54180%89.072.4+16.6
4 Murcia54180%85.469.8+15.6
5 Peristeri54180%87.672.4+15.2
6 Rostock54180%87.877.8+10.0
7 Basket Zaragoza43175%94.278.2+16.0
8 Trefl Sopot43175%92.877.2+15.5
9 Sassari43175%91.279.8+11.5
10 CSM Oradea43175%85.282.5+2.8
11 Basketball Braunschweig43175%83.882.5+1.2
12 Neftchi IK43175%88.587.2+1.2
13 PAOK43175%83.882.5+1.2
14 Vechta64267%89.381.8+7.5
15 Szombathely53260%85.479.6+5.8
16 Dijon53260%83.481.4+2.0
17 KK Bosna74357%76.973.4+3.4
18 Cibona74357%83.384.6-1.3
19 Reggiana42250%86.276.8+9.5
20 BC Prievidza63350%90.581.7+8.8
21 Anwil Wloclawek63350%89.882.5+7.3
22 Sporting CP42250%84.081.2+2.8
23 FC Porto42250%79.282.2-3.0
24 Brno73443%78.185.3-7.1
25 Bakken Bears52340%87.882.8+5.0
26 Antwerp Giants52340%82.679.0+3.6
27 AEK Larnaca52340%79.285.0-5.8
28 Absheron Lions62433%86.286.2+0.0
29 Corona Brasov62433%79.783.0-3.3
30 Bashkimi62433%76.385.5-9.2
31 Anorthosis62433%72.792.2-19.5
32 Lublin41325%81.889.0-7.2
33 Pelister41325%81.592.8-11.2
34 Rilski Sportist41325%68.880.8-12.0
35 Tartu Ulikool41325%81.595.5-14.0
36 BC Kalev/Cramo41325%76.593.5-17.0
37 Keravnos41325%77.095.5-18.5
38 Valcea41325%74.093.8-19.8
39 Kutaisi51420%65.694.6-29.0
40 Trepca4040%76.585.8-9.2
41 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea1718131765
Sassari2419252997
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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