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Sassari vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 72-76
22-18 20-16 13-19 17-23
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game67.5
ItalyLega ARound 3· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Sassari v Olimpia Milano
19 Oct 2025
SAS72
MIL76
08 Feb 2025
SAS72
MIL78
03 Dec 2023
SAS89
MIL83
01 Jun 2023
SAS61
MIL93
04 Dec 2022
SAS63
MIL92
01 Jun 2022
SAS69
MIL87
03 Apr 2022
SAS92
MIL90
14 Apr 2021
SAS73
MIL85
22 Mar 2020
SAS v MIL
upcoming
16 Dec 2018
SAS106
MIL107
29 Oct 2017
SAS90
MIL69
12 Mar 2017
SAS75
MIL82
04 May 2016
SAS83
MIL80
08 Jun 2015
SAS67
MIL74
04 Jun 2015
SAS80
MIL67
02 Jun 2015
SAS84
MIL76
07 Dec 2014
SAS111
MIL112
09 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL95
05 Jun 2014
SAS56
MIL63
03 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL83
05 Jan 2014
SAS69
MIL75
30 Mar 2013
SAS79
MIL85
30 Oct 2011
SAS60
MIL88
24 May 2011
SAS60
MIL72
22 May 2011
SAS72
MIL91
14 Nov 2010
SAS54
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 74
H29/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 74
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 74
H13/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
59avg 74
A27/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 74
H04/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 74
A10/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
102-105
102
105
-3
99avg 74
H05/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 74
A12/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 74
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
25-16
26-16
20-23
18-15
17-17
22-11
29-20
20-16
16-20
21-21
30-25
17-23
17-23
21-18
29-25
15-19
24-23
15-27
23-26
28-20
14-28
19-24
16-24
22-21
15-28
21-23
18-20
24-27
25-27
29-28
24-23
13-9
24-25
19-19
19-26
20-21
14-26
30-6
13-27
169.4Avg total
83.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.592.0180.5-3.50%
Season at home (1)102.0105.0207.0-3.00%
Season away (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)83.386.1169.4-2.830%
Last 5 (5)81.490.4171.8-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.184.2160.3-8.120%
vs Similar (9)84.083.4167.4+0.656%
vs Weaker (6)82.881.5164.3+1.333%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 80
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 80
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 80
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 80
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 80
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 80
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
94-61
94
61
+33
100avg 80
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
L
53-64
53
64
-11
46avg 80
A14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
87avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
15-23
15-23
19-19
20-22
22-23
17-19
24-19
28-24
19-20
22-11
21-21
22-20
23-21
24-22
23-19
19-21
14-24
29-24
16-11
25-21
19-24
8-16
19-13
17-22
19-19
26-25
17-16
28-17
22-15
24-20
20-9
14-16
19-12
7-18
13-18
13-21
26-21
24-19
26-17
158.4Avg total
81.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.567.5150.0+15.050%
Season at home (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
Season away (1)94.061.0155.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.776.7158.4+5.050%
Last 5 (5)77.271.8149.0+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
vs Similar (18)80.880.4161.3+0.439%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.977.3168.2+13.667%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
SassariOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A10/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H05/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.8Avg total
38.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.583.1-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.144.486.5-2.221%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.880.2-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.981.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.486.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.843.483.2-3.620%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.983.1-4.722%-
vs Weaker (6)39.743.383.0-3.733%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/10
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
41.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.484.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.342.289.6+5.167%-
Last 30 away (18)40.340.981.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.581.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.548.590.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (18)41.340.681.8+0.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.341.288.6+6.178%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.9
55.4%
54.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.0
32.9%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.5
79.7%
76.1%14.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.4
51.5%
54.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.015.0
78.9%
76.1%15.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLLLLLLWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLLWWWL
#16
League position
#2
-4.5
Net rating
+5.7
110.0
Offensive rating
113.8
114.6
Defensive rating
108.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
37.7%
53.8%
Assist %
65.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 113.8Defence114.6 · 108.1Shooting53.1% · 53.6%3-point %32.9% · 37.7%Ball care14.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds23.7% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sassari wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ASporting CP77-80
12/10/25ACremona75-79
05/10/25HVarese102-105
10/05/25ATrieste76-92
04/05/25HBrescia77-96
27/04/25ATrento77-95
19/04/25AVarese84-89
13/04/25HTortona87-82
06/04/25APistoia86-63
29/03/25HTrapani92-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-78
14/10/25ABayern53-64
11/10/25AVarese94-61
09/10/25HMonaco79-82
05/10/25HTortona71-74
02/10/25APartizan78-80
30/09/25ACrvena zvezda92-82
28/09/25ABrescia90-76
27/09/25AVirtus Bologna93-86 OT
07/06/25HVirtus Bologna78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game88.5102.075.0
Allowed / game92.0105.079.0
Point differential-3.5-3.0-4.0
Avg total180.5207.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.571.094.0
Allowed / game67.574.061.0
Point differential+15.0-3.0+33.0
Avg total150.0145.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%93.584.0+9.5
2 Tortona220100%90.583.0+7.5
3 Brescia220100%87.081.5+5.5
4 Trapani220100%100.094.5+5.5
5 Venezia32167%95.383.3+12.0
6 Trento21150%86.070.5+15.5
7 Olimpia Milano21150%82.567.5+15.0
8 Reggiana21150%77.077.0+0.0
9 Cremona21150%77.078.5-1.5
10 Varese21150%83.098.0-15.0
11 Cantu21150%76.093.5-17.5
12 Trieste31233%79.090.7-11.7
13 Sassari2020%88.592.0-3.5
14 Udine2020%75.579.0-3.5
15 Treviso2020%97.5104.5-7.0
16 Basket Napoli2020%83.594.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2220131772
Olimpia Milano1816192376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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