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Sassari vs Valcea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 94-73
30-27 17-20 23-18 24-8
Position#23
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.0
Sassari 🏆
vs
Valcea
Position#38
Record0-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game91.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 73
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 73
H13/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 73
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
59avg 73
A27/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 73
H04/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 73
A10/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
102-105
102
105
-3
99avg 73
H05/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 73
A12/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 73
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
63avg 73
H19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
17-17
22-11
29-20
20-16
16-20
21-21
30-25
17-23
17-23
21-18
29-25
15-19
24-23
15-27
23-26
28-20
14-28
19-24
16-24
22-21
15-28
21-23
18-20
24-27
25-27
29-28
24-23
13-9
24-25
19-19
19-26
20-21
14-26
30-6
13-27
22-18
20-16
13-19
17-23
167.0Avg total
81.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)81.385.7167.0-4.420%
Last 5 (5)80.486.4166.8-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.083.2158.2-8.220%
vs Similar (9)84.083.4167.4+0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.881.5164.3+1.333%
This opponent (Valcea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 82
H02/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
72-61
72
61
+11
77avg 82
H04/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
98-114
98
114
-16
88avg 82
A08/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 82
A10/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
78avg 82
H13/06
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
104-67
104
67
+37
89avg 82
H01/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
95-74
95
74
+21
89avg 82
A04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 82
A11/10
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 82
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H18/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
19-28
25-21
18-18
24-15
16-18
15-13
17-15
20-36
25-25
25-23
28-30
13-16
22-20
12-22
25-22
19-20
13-16
20-20
27-19
20-24
28-12
35-13
21-18
24-17
19-15
20-15
32-27
18-22
20-22
27-14
18-27
16-27
19-20
21-15
16-29
21-15
20-14
26-27
29-28
168.2Avg total
86.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.282.0168.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)90.080.2170.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.489.4166.8-12.012%
vs Similar (12)81.376.9158.2+4.483%
vs Weaker (10)95.780.7176.4+15.090%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
SassariValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A10/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H05/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/10
Lega A
80.7Avg total
38.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.243.185.4-0.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.880.2-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.280.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.942.382.1-2.427%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.983.1-4.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.743.383.0-3.733%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H02/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A08/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/06
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H01/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/10
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H18/10
Divizia A
80.9Avg total
40.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.280.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.438.279.6+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)41.140.481.5+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.480.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.043.179.1-7.112%-
vs Similar (12)41.138.879.9+2.250%-
vs Weaker (10)45.736.482.1+9.390%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.6
54.3%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
73.4%13.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.0
55.0%
52.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.6
70.9%
73.4%15.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLLLLLLLWW
Valcea
WLLWWWLLWW
#23
League position
#38
-6.4
Net rating
+3.8
107.2
Offensive rating
114.1
113.7
Defensive rating
110.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.0%
3-point %
35.1%
53.7%
Assist %
55.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 114.1Defence113.7 · 110.3Shooting51.9% · 54.0%3-point %32.0% · 35.1%Ball care14.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds23.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sassari wins
0
Valcea wins
No previous meetings.
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HOlimpia Milano72-76
15/10/25ASporting CP77-80
12/10/25ACremona75-79
05/10/25HVarese102-105
10/05/25ATrieste76-92
04/05/25HBrescia77-96
27/04/25ATrento77-95
19/04/25AVarese84-89
13/04/25HTortona87-82
06/04/25APistoia86-63
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HPetrolul Ploiesti96-84
15/10/25HVechta72-91
11/10/25ACSM Oradea83-85
04/10/25ACSM Targu Jiu95-74
01/10/25HMunicipal Galati104-67
13/06/25HVoluntari79-75
10/06/25AVoluntari72-80
08/06/25AVoluntari98-114
04/06/25HVoluntari72-61
02/06/25HVoluntari91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Valcea
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-19.0-19.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zaragoza220100%104.574.5+30.0
2 Reggiana220100%98.076.5+21.5
3 Cedevita Junior220100%99.579.0+20.5
4 Peristeri220100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Rostock220100%97.581.0+16.5
6 Trefl Sopot220100%95.579.5+16.0
7 Vechta440100%88.574.0+14.5
8 PAOK110100%85.074.0+11.0
9 CSM Oradea220100%89.580.0+9.5
10 Basketball Braunschweig220100%91.083.5+7.5
11 Cibona43175%88.584.0+4.5
12 Brno43175%74.878.8-4.0
13 Bilbao21150%93.067.5+25.5
14 KK Bosna42250%82.875.2+7.5
15 Corona Brasov42250%84.277.0+7.2
16 Lublin21150%91.087.5+3.5
17 Petkim Spor21150%81.579.0+2.5
18 BC Prievidza42250%87.285.8+1.5
19 Murcia21150%74.575.0-0.5
20 Tartu Ulikool21150%88.089.0-1.0
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%88.590.0-1.5
22 AEK Larnaca21150%79.583.5-4.0
23 Szombathely21150%82.586.5-4.0
24 Pelister21150%83.088.5-5.5
25 Rilski Sportist21150%79.084.5-5.5
26 Sporting CP21150%81.087.5-6.5
27 FC Porto21150%79.086.5-7.5
28 Anorthosis42250%79.888.8-9.0
29 Neftchi IK21150%79.088.0-9.0
30 Anwil Wloclawek31233%88.383.0+5.3
31 Absheron Lions41325%82.585.5-3.0
32 Bashkimi41325%73.890.2-16.5
33 Sassari1010%77.080.0-3.0
34 Dijon2020%80.586.0-5.5
35 Bakken Bears2020%85.092.5-7.5
36 Antwerp Giants2020%79.587.5-8.0
37 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
38 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
39 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
40 Trepca2020%72.084.5-12.5
41 Keravnos2020%75.093.5-18.5
42 Valcea1010%72.091.0-19.0
43 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
44 Kutaisi2020%66.593.0-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari3017232494
Valcea272018873
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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