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Valcea vs SCM Craiova Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game78.2
Valcea
Romania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
SCM Craiova
Romania
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game99.2
RomaniaDivizia ARound 10· Traian Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valcea v SCM Craiova
12 Dec 2026
VALC v SCM
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
VALC97
SCM 95
23 Mar 2025
VALC82
SCM 71
14 Sep 2024
VALC74
SCM 79
30 Nov 2023
VALC77
SCM 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SCM Craiova win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 83
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 83
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 83
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 83
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 83
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 83
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 83
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 83
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
97-67
97
67
+30
101avg 83
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
20-14
25-8
22-24
30-21
22-14
16-21
14-21
23-18
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.778.2165.8+9.583%
Season at home (4)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar (14)84.989.7174.6-4.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.177.4168.4+13.7100%
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SCM CraiovaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCraiova
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#11
W
113-98
113
98
+15
118avg 83
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
50avg 83
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#14
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 83
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#28
L
77-97
77
97
-20
67avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 83
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
89avg 83
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
103-86
103
86
+17
99avg 83
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
107-105
107
105
+2
95avg 83
A01/11
Divizia A
Gence
#43
W
105-96
105
96
+9
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
82-104
82
104
-22
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
31-18
29-19
27-42
19-12
16-20
11-20
19-25
30-22
17-31
28-26
33-20
20-23
23-25
14-25
20-24
28-20
22-26
22-23
12-26
14-34
22-34
29-27
31-23
16-16
21-17
37-22
29-31
23-26
33-26
26-24
25-29
20-23
32-27
22-25
31-21
14-24
13-25
26-26
29-29
191.5Avg total
94.0Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)103.099.2202.2+3.875%
Season at home (1)108.099.0207.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)101.399.3200.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)94.097.5191.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)98.6101.8200.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.195.9176.0-15.80%
vs Similar (13)95.087.5182.5+7.569%
vs Weaker (8)101.691.4193.0+10.275%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
ValceaSCM Craiova
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/11
Divizia A
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.588.5+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)45.544.089.5+1.543%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)44.146.490.6-2.321%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.640.086.6+6.664%-
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SCM CraiovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#11
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#14
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#28
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A01/11
Divizia A
Gence
#43
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
90.8Avg total
44.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.789.1-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.688.1+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)44.245.789.9-1.562%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.890.8-2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.492.0-8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.949.887.7-11.911%-
vs Similar (13)46.641.588.2+5.169%-
vs Weaker (8)47.944.292.1+3.675%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.7
59.6%
56.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.1%15.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SCM Craiovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SCM Craiova: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.7
60.2%
56.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
32.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
75.1%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWLWWWWLW
SCM Craiova
LWWWLLLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+10.6
Net rating
+2.3
106.4
Offensive rating
105.0
95.8
Defensive rating
102.7
56.3%
Effective FG%
57.7%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
36.3%
52.0%
Assist %
60.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 105.0Defence95.8 · 102.7Shooting56.3% · 57.7%3-point %33.3% · 36.3%Ball care11.1% · 14.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Valcea   ■ SCM Craiova
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valcea wins
4
SCM Craiova wins
DateGameScore
25/03/26SCM Craiova v Valcea97-83
11/03/26Valcea v SCM Craiova97-95
23/03/25Valcea v SCM Craiova82-71
15/11/24SCM Craiova v Valcea95-73
14/09/24Valcea v SCM Craiova74-79
10/01/24SCM Craiova v Valcea70-96
30/11/23Valcea v SCM Craiova77-78
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HArges Pitesti75-74
31/10/26HMunicipal Galati97-67
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95
SCM Craiovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HKolossos Rhodes82-104
04/11/26HGence105-96
01/11/26ACSU Sibiu107-105
28/10/26HRilski Sportist103-86
21/10/26AEsenler Erokspor96-118
17/10/26AArges Pitesti84-95
14/10/26HSporting CP77-97
11/10/26HMunicipal Galati108-99
07/10/26AKolossos Rhodes65-77
03/10/26ACorona Brasov113-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.788.087.0
Allowed / game78.280.573.5
Point differential+9.5+7.5+13.5
Avg total165.8168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
SCM Craiova
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game103.0108.0101.3
Allowed / game99.299.099.3
Point differential+3.8+9.0+2.0
Avg total202.2207.0200.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
10 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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