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U. De Concepcion vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 99-89 (OT)
28-22 21-21 11-20 21-18 18-8
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game80.9
U. De Concepcion 🏆
Chile
vs
Valdivia
Chile
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.7
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2023-24
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Valdivia
01 Nov 2026
U. D91
VALD76
12 Oct 2025
U. D94
VALD89
06 Feb 2025
U. D99
VALD78
09 Jan 2025
U. D103
VALD77
18 Oct 2024
U. D97
VALD87
26 May 2024
U. D101
VALD90
24 May 2024
U. D85
VALD70
03 Mar 2024
U. D99
VALD89
31 Mar 2023
U. D91
VALD72
19 Mar 2022
U. D88
VALD82
06 Sep 2021
U. D58
VALD56
04 Sep 2021
U. D67
VALD57
09 Feb 2020
U. D84
VALD70
18 Nov 2018
U. D90
VALD88
21 Oct 2017
U. D82
VALD61
19 Nov 2016
U. D79
VALD72
21 Feb 2016
U. D76
VALD78
07 Feb 2016
U. D82
VALD57
06 Feb 2016
U. D89
VALD82
11 Oct 2015
U. D90
VALD76
25 Oct 2014
U. D95
VALD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 83
H13/01
LNB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
67-96
67
96
-29
47avg 83
H20/01
Champions League Americas
Franca
#2
L
87-109
87
109
-22
82avg 83
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Las Animas
#5
W
84-68
84
68
+16
85avg 83
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A27/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
no box
H02/02
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
76avg 83
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 83
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 83
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 83
H02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
11-22
27-13
21-19
11-22
22-30
16-24
18-20
26-30
17-37
23-18
21-24
25-10
15-12
22-20
22-26
10-25
19-19
23-14
23-17
23-25
21-31
24-17
20-15
29-13
13-17
25-22
17-18
22-22
22-26
14-23
14-17
15-26
19-11
11-11
20-31
25-13
28-19
22-14
12-21
163.6Avg total
80.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.380.9167.1+5.471%
Season at home (5)87.882.0169.8+5.880%
Season away (2)82.578.0160.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.583.1163.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.890.5161.3-19.70%
vs Similar (2)85.597.5183.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.064.1154.1+25.895%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
65-66
65
66
-1
60avg 72
H10/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 72
A13/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 72
A14/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H19/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 72
H20/01
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 72
A27/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
100-81
100
81
+19
99avg 72
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
83avg 72
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 72
H10/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 72
A02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
22-19
17-17
10-12
24-17
27-27
16-25
27-16
18-10
22-24
27-15
24-20
18-26
23-19
23-19
15-15
19-24
21-14
29-19
16-14
13-24
19-12
25-16
16-18
25-22
21-16
27-14
27-29
24-18
24-25
20-21
14-25
19-23
12-22
23-26
25-17
25-26
22-14
25-28
20-26
164.9Avg total
84.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.081.7168.7+5.356%
Season at home (4)83.284.0167.2-0.825%
Season away (5)90.079.8169.8+10.280%
Last 10 (10)84.880.1164.9+4.750%
Last 5 (5)85.284.4169.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.576.5148.0-4.927%
vs Similar (10)84.980.5165.4+4.460%
vs Weaker (9)84.870.1154.9+14.789%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
U. De ConcepcionValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H13/01
LNB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H20/01
Champions League Americas
Franca
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Las Animas
#5
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H02/02
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H02/03
LNB
81.6Avg total
39.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.436.881.1+7.659%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.537.684.1+8.959%-
Last 30 away (12)41.335.676.9+5.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.481.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.684.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.049.784.7-14.70%-
vs Similar (2)36.050.586.5-14.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.931.879.6+16.181%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H20/01
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H10/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/03
LNB
81.4Avg total
41.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.976.5+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.177.0+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.336.876.1+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.081.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.136.973.0-0.845%-
vs Similar (10)42.238.480.6+3.870%-
vs Weaker (9)41.035.276.2+5.878%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.4
50.8%
50.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.9
33.2%
32.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
70.3%14.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.0
51.7%
50.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.6
29.1%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.311.9
65.0%
70.3%11.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WLLWWLWLLW
Valdivia
LLLWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#6
+3.2
Net rating
+1.5
106.8
Offensive rating
97.8
103.6
Defensive rating
96.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
29.1%
56.0%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 97.8Defence103.6 · 96.2Shooting50.4% · 48.6%3-point %33.2% · 29.1%Ball care16.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
U. De Concepcion wins
1
Valdivia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/23U. De Concepcion v Valdivia91-72
21/01/23Valdivia v U. De Concepcion64-74
20/03/22U. De Concepcion v Valdivia88-82
15/01/22Valdivia v U. De Concepcion74-76
12/09/21Valdivia v U. De Concepcion68-71 OT
11/09/21Valdivia v U. De Concepcion61-52
07/09/21U. De Concepcion v Valdivia58-56
05/09/21U. De Concepcion v Valdivia67-57
09/02/20U. De Concepcion v Valdivia84-70
21/12/19Valdivia v U. De Concepcion61-75
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda87-67
09/02/24AObras Sanitarias65-79
08/02/24AFranca72-88
03/02/24HPuerto Montt84-70
02/02/24HCD Puerto Varas100-98 OT
27/01/24AEspanol Osorno81-88 OT
26/01/24ALas Animas84-68
22/01/24HFranca87-109
20/01/24HObras Sanitarias67-96
13/01/24HNaviera Ulloa78-68
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AEspanol de Talca92-94
10/02/24HNaviera Ulloa79-88
09/02/24HAncud82-89
04/02/24APuente Alto100-81
27/01/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda73-70
20/01/24HCatolica85-71
19/01/24HLeones Quilpue87-88 OT
14/01/24APuerto Montt91-69
13/01/24ACD Puerto Varas94-85
10/12/23HEspanol Osorno65-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game86.387.882.5
Allowed / game80.982.078.0
Point differential+5.4+5.8+4.5
Avg total167.1169.8160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %29%20%50%
Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%25%80%
Points / game87.083.290.0
Allowed / game81.784.079.8
Point differential+5.3-0.8+10.2
Avg total168.7167.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue98189%81.468.9+12.6
2 Ancud119282%85.177.9+7.2
3 Espanol Osorno118373%79.968.1+11.8
4 U. De Concepcion75271%86.380.9+5.4
5 Valdivia95456%87.081.7+5.3
6 Las Animas116555%81.980.8+1.1
7 CD Puerto Varas116555%84.884.8+0.0
8 Naviera Ulloa115645%73.574.5-1.0
9 Sportiva Italiana73443%72.682.6-10.0
10 Espanol de Talca72529%81.990.4-8.6
11 Puerto Montt113827%70.278.8-8.6
12 Liceo Pablo Neruda82625%70.477.6-7.2
13 Puente Alto92722%74.180.4-6.3
14 Catolica102820%75.182.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
U. De Concepcion282111211899
Valdivia22212018889
← all games of the day
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