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Valecnici Decin vs Pardubice 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-65
20-13 19-28 26-7 20-17
Position#6
Record16-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.7
Valecnici Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Pardubice 2
Czech Republic
Position#7
Record15-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.4
Czech Republic1. Liga1. Liga - Quarter-finals· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v Pardubice 2
29 Mar 2026
VALE85
PARD65
13 Feb 2026
VALE85
PARD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pardubice 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Valecnici Decin
4.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
72.0▼ 9.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.7
83.2▲ 7.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 49%
44%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.2
15.8▲ 0.6
🔥 Form · Pardubice 2
5.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.2
79.0▲ 0.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.0
79.0▲ 2.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
49%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.6
17.2▼ 0.4
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberecko
#8
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H01/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A06/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H13/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A27/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
12-22
21-17
22-13
22-15
19-18
22-30
26-13
23-32
19-23
22-20
20-16
25-15
18-16
23-12
19-22
12-19
28-20
23-21
23-18
13-24
15-19
15-26
15-12
17-19
17-16
16-32
19-18
20-24
14-28
11-13
8-16
18-33
27-22
22-17
19-23
19-24
23-15
28-20
24-15
157.4Avg total
77.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.475.7157.1+5.664%
Season at home (12)77.272.5149.7+4.758%
Season away (13)85.278.7163.9+6.569%
Last 10 (10)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)72.083.2155.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.579.5149.0-10.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.978.4161.3+4.456%
vs Weaker (14)82.173.4155.5+8.671%
This opponent (Pardubice 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice 2Czech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H23/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/01
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H22/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A01/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H06/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A12/03
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H20/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
74-94
74
94
-20
H27/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
23-24
34-16
27-11
23-22
17-19
15-25
23-17
16-17
10-15
23-12
19-22
15-25
16-18
12-23
22-19
20-20
11-23
23-22
17-17
16-17
24-10
18-16
16-25
19-17
16-17
32-16
18-19
31-13
12-24
15-17
22-23
19-25
23-21
20-21
20-20
24-19
15-23
20-28
15-24
156.2Avg total
77.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.876.4155.2+2.460%
Season at home (13)80.573.2153.8+7.369%
Season away (12)76.979.8156.7-2.850%
Last 10 (10)77.179.1156.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)79.079.0158.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.876.6148.3-4.833%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.577.0153.5-0.555%
vs Weaker (10)83.774.0157.7+9.780%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Valecnici DecinPardubice 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberecko
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H01/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A06/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H13/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/03
1. Liga
80.2Avg total
38.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)38.439.177.6-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.937.274.2-0.342%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.880.7-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.180.2-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.881.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.045.582.5-8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.338.477.8+0.944%-
vs Weaker (14)38.138.676.7-0.636%-
This opponent (Pardubice 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A30/01
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H22/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A01/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H06/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/03
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H20/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H27/03
1. Liga
75.8Avg total
36.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.477.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.677.4+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.478.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.875.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.277.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.439.875.2-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.540.078.5-1.536%-
vs Weaker (10)40.438.578.9+1.950%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.9
49.5%
51.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.0
23.7%
29.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.915.1
63.2%
65.8%15.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pardubice 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pardubice 2: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.2
55.1%
51.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.46.1
21.5%
29.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws23.313.5
57.9%
65.8%13.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
WLLLLWWLWW
Pardubice 2
LLWWWLLWLW
#6
League position
#7
-1.6
Net rating
+0.7
79.8
Offensive rating
79.9
81.4
Defensive rating
79.2
43.8%
Effective FG%
45.6%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
23.7%
3-point %
21.5%
56.6%
Assist %
64.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence79.8 · 79.9Defence81.4 · 79.2Shooting43.8% · 45.6%3-point %23.7% · 21.5%Ball care15.3% · 16.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ Pardubice 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valecnici Decin wins
1
Pardubice 2 wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Pardubice 2 v Valecnici Decin74-94
06/03/26Pardubice 2 v Valecnici Decin85-69
13/02/26Valecnici Decin v Pardubice 285-65
Valecnici Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26APardubice 294-74
20/03/26ANovy Jicin86-95
13/03/26HZlin53-81
06/03/26APardubice 269-85
01/03/26HNovy Jicin58-81
20/02/26AZlin86-78
13/02/26HPardubice 285-65
30/01/26APolabi84-91
27/01/26ARadotin89-76
23/01/26HLiberecko75-69
Pardubice 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HValecnici Decin74-94
20/03/26HPlzen82-87
12/03/26ALitomerice80-77
06/03/26HValecnici Decin85-69
01/03/26APlzen74-68
22/02/26HLitomerice71-82
13/02/26AValecnici Decin65-85
30/01/26AMS Academy68-66
23/01/26HNovy Jicin78-83
16/01/26ABasketbal Olomouc94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW64%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayLWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%58%69%
Points / game81.477.285.2
Allowed / game75.772.578.7
Point differential+5.6+4.7+6.5
Avg total157.1149.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%42%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pardubice 2
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLLWLL69%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%69%50%
Points / game78.880.576.9
Allowed / game76.473.279.8
Point differential+2.4+7.3-2.8
Avg total155.2153.8156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin2620677%87.778.0+9.7
2 Plzen2517868%82.473.3+9.1
3 Zlin2516964%83.774.2+9.5
4 Valecnici Decin2516964%81.475.7+5.6
5 Svitavy2516964%89.283.8+5.4
6 Pardubice 225151060%78.876.4+2.4
7 Litomerice25141156%83.583.9-0.4
8 Liberecko26141254%80.180.0+0.0
9 Radotin24121250%82.881.2+1.6
10 Polabi24121250%81.282.2-1.0
11 Jindrichuv Hradec25121348%86.182.4+3.7
12 CZ.ACADEMY25121348%82.785.8-3.2
13 Brno U2324111346%79.882.4-2.5
14 Vysoka25111444%77.282.0-4.8
15 USK Prague B24101442%77.679.9-2.2
16 Opava 224101442%78.982.8-4.0
17 MS Academy2481633%81.890.4-8.7
18 Basketbal Olomouc2471729%76.081.3-5.4
19 Sokol Prazsky2471729%81.591.3-9.8
20 Chomutov2571828%80.086.6-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin2019262085
Pardubice 2132871765
← all games of the day
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