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Valencia vs Dubai Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Dubai
15 Dec 2026
VAL v DUB
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
VAL80
DUB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 93
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 93
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 93
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 93
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 93
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 93
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
182.9Avg total
96.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.488.9185.3+7.573%
Season at home (6)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)96.986.0182.9+10.980%
Last 5 (5)98.286.0184.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)98.887.2186.0+11.681%
This opponent (Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
101-97
101
97
+4
93avg 87
A15/10
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#20
W
108-90
108
90
+18
113avg 87
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 87
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
74avg 87
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#14
L
93-99
93
99
-6
85avg 87
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 87
H30/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#13
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
H02/11
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#16
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
A09/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
27-26
27-19
18-29
35-25
29-23
19-32
25-10
29-14
34-22
19-31
25-24
22-13
23-26
24-18
24-26
25-23
22-31
25-19
21-26
19-22
26-18
29-20
23-23
16-21
19-17
23-20
31-17
21-17
27-17
28-19
17-22
26-16
27-17
28-28
17-26
18-25
25-32
13-31
16-13
183.2Avg total
95.1Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.585.6172.2+0.964%
Season at home (5)84.084.6168.6-0.660%
Season away (6)88.786.5175.2+2.267%
Last 10 (10)95.188.1183.2+7.080%
Last 5 (5)89.884.2174.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.385.0154.3-15.733%
vs Similar (9)85.986.6172.4-0.756%
vs Weaker (18)94.281.9176.2+12.389%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
ValenciaDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
87.4Avg total
46.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.141.188.2+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.139.688.7+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.687.7+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.387.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.342.289.5+5.174%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A15/10
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#20
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#14
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A09/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
92.7Avg total
49.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.341.788.0+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.742.489.1+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)45.941.086.9+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)49.942.892.7+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.346.083.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (9)44.343.387.7+1.056%-
vs Weaker (18)48.840.289.0+8.778%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
77.1%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.9
60.1%
55.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
77.1%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLWWWWL
Dubai
LWWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#9
+8.9
Net rating
+9.9
108.3
Offensive rating
110.0
99.4
Defensive rating
100.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
8.8%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
37.8%
51.0%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 110.0Defence99.4 · 100.2Shooting54.8% · 58.9%3-point %34.6% · 37.8%Ball care8.8% · 11.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
0
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Dubai v Valencia85-95
30/10/25Valencia v Dubai80-78
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOlympiacos72-101
09/11/26AMega Basket98-87
06/11/26AVirtus Bologna93-75
02/11/26HZadar89-75
30/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-83
27/10/26HParis93-99
24/10/26AKK Bosna93-83
22/10/26ABayern107-91
19/10/26HStudentski Centar108-90
15/10/26AOlimpia Milano101-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game96.496.296.6
Allowed / game88.988.090.0
Point differential+7.5+8.2+6.6
Avg total185.3184.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Dubai
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game86.584.088.7
Allowed / game85.684.686.5
Point differential+0.9-0.6+2.2
Avg total172.2168.6175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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