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Cedevita Olimpija vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 66-72
20-21 12-10 17-17 17-24
Position#7
Record10-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEurocupRound 17· Arena Sto
European cup2024
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Valencia
28 Jan 2025
COL66
VAL72
30 Mar 2022
COL82
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#27
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 82
A26/12
Slovenian Cup
Partizan
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
72avg 82
A30/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
71avg 82
H05/01
ABA League
Aris
#19
W
98-79
98
79
+19
98avg 82
H08/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#11
W
91-58
91
58
+33
89avg 82
H12/01
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 82
A14/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 82
A16/01
Eurocup
Dubai
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 82
A19/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 82
A22/01
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
114-72
114
72
+42
113avg 82
H26/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
16-27
33-22
24-15
21-14
18-20
24-18
13-26
18-15
20-12
17-28
20-20
25-21
25-14
24-22
24-22
20-15
23-15
19-14
29-14
16-13
17-19
16-18
25-20
16-18
29-22
22-19
21-19
20-19
17-25
32-22
16-18
20-22
16-16
17-30
29-19
38-18
25-15
22-22
29-17
165.7Avg total
88.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.282.4166.7+1.862%
Season at home (8)87.482.6170.0+4.862%
Season away (8)81.182.2163.4-1.162%
Last 10 (10)88.976.8165.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)88.678.2166.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.389.0167.3-10.717%
vs Similar (10)81.984.4166.3-2.540%
vs Weaker (14)90.274.7164.9+15.5100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 85
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 85
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
61avg 85
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 85
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
116-78
116
78
+38
119avg 85
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
120-94
120
94
+26
129avg 85
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
96-91
96
91
+5
98avg 85
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 85
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
106-65
106
65
+41
110avg 85
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
112-96
112
96
+16
109avg 85
H25/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
14-19
28-35
28-26
26-26
23-17
30-22
28-27
18-21
12-31
22-16
22-13
28-30
23-18
21-22
27-21
26-21
26-13
35-24
29-20
33-19
34-23
26-26
27-26
28-21
24-25
21-28
23-17
20-18
26-20
23-25
17-31
28-16
27-17
27-18
24-14
28-23
26-29
33-22
25-22
188.9Avg total
101.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)97.781.6179.3+16.188%
Season at home (8)106.481.8188.1+24.688%
Season away (8)89.081.5170.5+7.588%
Last 10 (10)101.087.9188.9+13.170%
Last 5 (5)104.088.0192.0+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)99.786.6186.3+13.183%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
Cedevita OlimpijaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#27
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/12
Slovenian Cup
Partizan
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H05/01
ABA League
Aris
#19
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H08/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H12/01
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A16/01
Eurocup
Dubai
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A19/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A22/01
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H26/01
ABA League
78.0Avg total
42.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.181.7+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.181.6+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.181.8-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.678.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.480.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.744.284.8-3.533%-
vs Similar (10)40.543.483.9-2.930%-
vs Weaker (14)42.836.078.8+6.864%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H25/01
ACB
91.8Avg total
49.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.741.991.6+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.539.993.4+13.793%-
Last 30 away (15)45.844.089.8+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)49.442.491.8+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)54.842.297.0+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)50.042.392.3+7.779%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.8
54.1%
53.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.1
35.8%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.720.0
74.9%
76.0%20.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.7
59.3%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.913.9
41.0%
34.3%41.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
76.0%17.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WLWWWWWWLW
Valencia
WWLWWWWLWL
#7
League position
#1
+15.7
Net rating
+16.8
116.0
Offensive rating
126.3
100.3
Defensive rating
109.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
60.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
41.0%
57.9%
Assist %
72.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 126.3Defence100.3 · 109.5Shooting54.0% · 60.4%3-point %35.8% · 41.0%Ball care15.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.6% · 37.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cedevita Olimpija wins
1
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HMornar Bar114-72
22/01/25AJL Bourg82-87
19/01/25ADubai85-84
16/01/25ALietkabelis88-78
14/01/25AHapoel Jerusalem74-70
12/01/25HFMP Beograd91-58
08/01/25HAris98-79
05/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto84-82 OT
30/12/24APartizan76-78
26/12/24APerspektiva Ilirija97-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HManresa112-96
22/01/25HAris106-65
18/01/25AUnicaja86-94
14/01/25ALietkabelis96-91
11/01/25HGranada120-94
07/01/25HTurk Telekom116-78
05/01/25ALeyma Coruna99-91
02/01/25AVenezia74-81
30/12/24HForca Lleida107-92
27/12/24AGran Canaria94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game84.287.481.1
Allowed / game82.482.682.2
Point differential+1.8+4.8-1.1
Avg total166.7170.0163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW88%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game97.7106.489.0
Allowed / game81.681.881.5
Point differential+16.1+24.6+7.5
Avg total179.3188.1170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%88%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1614288%97.781.6+16.1
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1714382%83.575.1+8.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1610662%88.279.4+8.8
4 Gran Canaria1610662%78.975.7+3.2
5 Cedevita Olimpija1610662%84.282.4+1.8
6 JL Bourg169756%87.281.4+5.8
7 Hapoel Jerusalem169756%83.979.1+4.8
8 Cluj-Napoca169756%88.987.5+1.4
9 Besiktas169756%85.984.7+1.2
10 Venezia169756%81.783.1-1.4
11 Turk Telekom169756%80.482.1-1.6
12 Ulm179853%87.188.5-1.5
13 Buducnost168850%86.286.1+0.1
14 BC Wolves168850%83.786.2-2.5
15 Joventut Badalona1661038%80.484.6-4.1
16 Trento1661038%80.184.4-4.3
17 Lietkabelis1641225%82.487.6-5.2
18 Hamburg1641225%77.288.5-11.2
19 Aris1631319%73.984.2-10.3
20 Trefl Sopot161156%76.886.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija2012171766
Valencia2110172472
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