PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 106-65
28-16 27-17 27-18 24-14
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#19
Record3-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeEurocupRound 16· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2024
Meetings · Valencia v Aris
22 Jan 2025
VAL106
ARI65
31 Mar 2010
VAL85
ARI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
97avg 83
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 83
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 83
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 83
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
61avg 83
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 83
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
116-78
116
78
+38
119avg 83
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
120-94
120
94
+26
129avg 83
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
96-91
96
91
+5
98avg 83
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 83
A18/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
31-21
15-34
25-18
17-9
23-21
16-29
29-25
24-17
14-19
28-35
28-26
26-26
23-17
30-22
28-27
18-21
12-31
22-16
22-13
28-30
23-18
21-22
27-21
26-21
26-13
35-24
29-20
33-19
34-23
26-26
27-26
28-21
24-25
21-28
23-17
20-18
26-20
23-25
17-31
189.2Avg total
98.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)97.182.7179.9+14.487%
Season at home (7)106.484.1190.6+22.386%
Season away (8)89.081.5170.5+7.588%
Last 10 (10)98.390.9189.2+7.460%
Last 5 (5)103.489.6193.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)98.785.8184.5+12.983%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 64
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 64
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-126
74
126
-52
59avg 64
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 64
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 64
A02/01
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
76avg 64
H04/01
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
79-98
79
98
-19
68avg 64
A08/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
83avg 64
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
51-92
51
92
-41
38avg 64
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 64
H18/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
18-24
17-25
23-28
18-19
14-15
24-20
25-12
24-33
15-24
18-36
17-33
18-23
24-31
28-22
19-26
19-18
22-19
30-26
14-27
22-16
20-30
14-25
21-17
21-25
14-25
22-24
22-24
16-16
14-21
22-21
25-19
12-23
14-23
14-21
11-25
24-27
16-16
18-15
25-16
172.2Avg total
78.4Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.582.8157.3-8.320%
Season at home (7)67.375.7143.0-8.414%
Season away (8)80.989.0169.9-8.125%
Last 10 (10)78.493.8172.2-15.420%
Last 5 (5)77.291.6168.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.384.4159.8-9.124%
vs Similar (9)78.185.4163.6-7.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
ValenciaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A18/01
ACB
89.6Avg total
48.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.941.490.3+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.038.790.7+13.393%-
Last 30 away (15)45.844.089.8+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)48.241.489.6+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)53.641.695.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)49.241.891.0+7.479%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/01
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/01
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A08/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/01
Basket League
80.3Avg total
35.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.742.178.8-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.639.175.6-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)36.945.682.5-8.814%-
Last 10 (10)35.644.780.3-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.479.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.041.978.9-5.029%-
vs Similar (9)36.142.778.8-6.622%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.7
55.8%
53.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.0
39.1%
34.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws20.316.1
79.3%
76.0%16.1
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.5
49.1%
53.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.3
71.9%
76.0%14.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWWLWLWL
Aris
WLLLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#19
+9.5
Net rating
-20.3
121.8
Offensive rating
99.0
112.3
Defensive rating
119.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.0%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.1%
3-point %
31.5%
70.3%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence121.8 · 99.0Defence112.3 · 119.3Shooting57.2% · 48.3%3-point %39.1% · 31.5%Ball care16.9% · 21.0%Off. rebounds36.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
06/11/24Aris v Valencia59-63
31/03/10Valencia v Aris85-67
24/03/10Aris v Valencia64-71
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AUnicaja86-94
14/01/25ALietkabelis96-91
11/01/25HGranada120-94
07/01/25HTurk Telekom116-78
05/01/25ALeyma Coruna99-91
02/01/25AVenezia74-81
30/12/24HForca Lleida107-92
27/12/24AGran Canaria94-97
22/12/24HReal Madrid85-84
20/12/24HLietkabelis106-107 OT
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HKolossos Rhodes83-74
15/01/25HJL Bourg51-92
11/01/25APromitheas96-106 OT
08/01/25ACedevita Olimpija79-98
04/01/25HOlympiacos77-88
02/01/25AHapoel Jerusalem85-90
28/12/24AAEK Athens89-102
22/12/24APanathinaikos74-126
17/12/24HLietkabelis81-66
14/12/24HAS Karditsas69-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW87%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%86%88%
Points / game97.1106.489.0
Allowed / game82.784.181.5
Point differential+14.4+22.3+7.5
Avg total179.9190.6170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%86%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%14%25%
Points / game74.567.380.9
Allowed / game82.875.789.0
Point differential-8.3-8.4-8.1
Avg total157.3143.0169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1513287%97.182.7+14.4
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1613381%83.474.7+8.8
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1610662%88.279.4+8.8
4 Gran Canaria1610662%78.975.7+3.2
5 Cedevita Olimpija1610662%84.282.4+1.8
6 Hapoel Jerusalem159660%84.579.3+5.2
7 JL Bourg169756%87.281.4+5.8
8 Cluj-Napoca169756%88.987.5+1.4
9 Besiktas169756%85.984.7+1.2
10 Ulm169756%87.488.8-1.3
11 Turk Telekom169756%80.482.1-1.6
12 Venezia158753%82.183.7-1.6
13 Buducnost168850%86.286.1+0.1
14 BC Wolves168850%83.786.2-2.5
15 Joventut Badalona1661038%80.484.6-4.1
16 Trento1661038%80.184.4-4.3
17 Lietkabelis1641225%82.487.6-5.2
18 Hamburg1641225%77.288.5-11.2
19 Aris1531220%74.582.8-8.3
20 Trefl Sopot161156%76.886.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia28272724106
Aris1617181465
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.