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Valencia vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 120-94
33-19 34-23 26-26 27-26
Position#2
Record12-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#17
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.1
SpainACBRound 16· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Granada
22 Mar 2026
VAL107
GRA91
11 Jan 2025
VAL120
GRA94
23 Dec 2023
VAL75
GRA81
19 Mar 2023
VAL80
GRA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 82
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 82
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
108-80
108
80
+28
107avg 82
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
97avg 82
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 82
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 82
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 82
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
61avg 82
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 82
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
116-78
116
78
+38
119avg 82
H07/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-13
30-24
24-19
31-25
24-23
19-20
22-20
35-26
38-22
16-18
19-14
26-24
31-21
15-34
25-18
17-9
23-21
16-29
29-25
24-17
14-19
28-35
28-26
26-26
23-17
30-22
28-27
18-21
12-31
22-16
22-13
28-30
23-18
21-22
27-21
26-21
26-13
35-24
29-20
186.0Avg total
98.1Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)95.885.6181.4+10.280%
Season at home (7)95.780.7176.4+15.0100%
Season away (8)95.989.9185.8+6.062%
Last 10 (10)98.187.9186.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)98.087.8185.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.084.0165.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)96.983.9180.8+13.082%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H02/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
66avg 68
A09/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 68
H16/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 68
A30/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 68
H08/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 68
H15/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
74-87
74
87
-13
57avg 68
A21/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 68
A28/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 68
H05/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 68
H08/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
10-17
20-27
24-18
27-25
19-26
20-22
20-20
21-19
20-24
15-17
24-17
23-16
25-24
21-22
23-12
26-20
19-19
15-16
27-22
20-18
16-16
14-26
23-15
23-14
12-32
23-14
16-27
19-15
17-30
15-18
30-21
16-24
22-21
23-25
21-27
25-18
23-20
16-18
15-28
163.8Avg total
80.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.882.1159.9-4.327%
Season at home (8)77.083.0160.0-6.025%
Season away (7)78.781.1159.9-2.429%
Last 10 (10)80.683.2163.8-2.630%
Last 5 (5)77.885.4163.2-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.687.6165.2-9.911%
vs Similar (12)80.379.0159.3+1.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
ValenciaGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/01
Eurocup
90.9Avg total
48.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.541.288.7+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.538.889.3+11.793%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.688.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)48.742.290.9+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.941.589.4+6.475%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H02/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H16/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A30/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H15/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A28/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/01
ACB
82.1Avg total
40.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.878.2-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.976.8-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.779.5-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.082.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.680.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.842.279.1-5.428%-
vs Similar (12)38.138.876.8-0.742%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.9
58.2%
54.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.313.3
37.7%
35.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.8
81.0%
76.4%15.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.8
52.8%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.4
33.7%
35.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
76.4%15.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWLWLWWW
Granada
LLLLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#17
+13.5
Net rating
-2.9
122.0
Offensive rating
105.9
108.5
Defensive rating
108.8
57.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.7%
3-point %
33.7%
64.0%
Assist %
56.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 105.9Defence108.5 · 108.8Shooting57.4% · 51.9%3-point %37.7% · 33.7%Ball care16.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds36.7% · 23.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
1
Granada wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Granada v Valencia81-88
23/12/23Valencia v Granada75-81
19/03/23Valencia v Granada80-72
18/12/22Granada v Valencia81-110
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25HTurk Telekom116-78
05/01/25ALeyma Coruna99-91
02/01/25AVenezia74-81
30/12/24HForca Lleida107-92
27/12/24AGran Canaria94-97
22/12/24HReal Madrid85-84
20/12/24HLietkabelis106-107 OT
18/12/24HCluj-Napoca108-80
15/12/24AMurcia96-88
13/12/24HTenerife96-81
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HReal Madrid79-84
05/01/25HGran Canaria82-97
28/12/24AMurcia81-84
21/12/24AForca Lleida74-87
15/12/24HBaskonia73-75
08/12/24HJoventut Badalona87-77
30/11/24ABreogan92-74
16/11/24HLeyma Coruna80-77
09/11/24AManresa86-93
02/11/24HBilbao72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%100%62%
Points / game95.895.795.9
Allowed / game85.680.789.9
Point differential+10.2+15.0+6.0
Avg total181.4176.4185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Granada
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game77.877.078.7
Allowed / game82.183.081.1
Point differential-4.3-6.0-2.4
Avg total159.9160.0159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1512380%95.885.6+10.2
2 Unicaja1512380%88.182.3+5.8
3 Real Madrid1511473%86.776.9+9.8
4 Tenerife1511473%87.682.7+4.9
5 Joventut Badalona1510567%84.580.7+3.7
6 Gran Canaria1510567%83.981.2+2.7
7 Manresa158753%84.580.9+3.7
8 Basket Zaragoza158753%91.088.9+2.1
9 Barcelona157847%89.185.9+3.2
10 Baskonia157847%87.386.9+0.4
11 Bilbao156940%81.882.5-0.7
12 Murcia156940%79.582.3-2.8
13 MoraBanc Andorra1551033%86.790.4-3.7
14 Forca Lleida1551033%83.987.9-4.1
15 Breogan1551033%75.385.3-9.9
16 Granada1541127%77.882.1-4.3
17 Leyma Coruna1541127%83.793.6-9.9
18 Basquet Girona1541127%78.089.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia33342627120
Granada1923262694
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