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JL Bourg vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 96-107
26-29 22-23 19-32 29-23
Position#12
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.2
JL Bourg
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeEurocupRound 9· Ekinox
European cup2024
Meetings · JL Bourg v Valencia
28 Nov 2024
JBO96
VAL107
08 Mar 2022
JBO77
VAL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
W
67-63
67
63
+4
63avg 89
H15/10
Eurocup
Dijon
#8
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
106avg 89
H19/10
LNB
Lietkabelis
#18
L
80-84
80
84
-4
66avg 89
A22/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
100avg 89
A27/10
LNB
Aris
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 89
H30/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
103avg 89
H02/11
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
60avg 89
A06/11
Eurocup
La Rochelle
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
102avg 89
A09/11
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 89
A13/11
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
111avg 89
A16/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
23-22
9-16
20-14
16-20
23-21
25-12
16-27
20-18
16-21
20-22
24-23
17-19
28-16
15-20
23-20
22-21
20-20
16-15
30-35
16-17
29-27
20-24
24-28
17-17
21-22
31-29
21-15
22-20
30-20
19-17
15-21
21-22
20-15
14-26
22-23
23-22
20-21
31-17
19-26
167.4Avg total
84.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.278.2162.5+6.062%
Season at home (3)79.775.7155.3+4.067%
Season away (5)87.079.8166.8+7.260%
Last 10 (10)84.183.3167.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)87.085.8172.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)80.382.1162.4-1.833%
vs Weaker (21)87.077.9165.0+9.176%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 77
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 77
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
105-83
105
83
+22
99avg 77
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 77
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
102avg 77
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 77
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 77
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 77
H12/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
111-82
111
82
+29
111avg 77
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 77
A17/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
23-16
13-25
37-15
14-19
24-22
28-16
25-16
28-29
25-20
23-14
14-32
27-22
27-17
31-15
23-20
20-35
26-27
23-27
28-21
26-23
19-19
16-14
17-11
11-15
21-18
36-32
31-10
21-20
27-14
27-14
26-24
31-30
19-29
19-21
29-21
32-31
182.2Avg total
97.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.478.1173.6+17.3100%
Season at home (3)106.380.3186.7+26.0100%
Season away (4)87.276.5163.8+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)97.285.0182.2+12.290%
Last 5 (5)97.084.2181.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.789.0174.7-3.333%
vs Similar (11)82.887.4170.2-4.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.880.4173.2+12.488%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
JL BourgValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/10
Eurocup
Dijon
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
LNB
Lietkabelis
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A27/10
LNB
Aris
#19
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/11
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A06/11
Eurocup
La Rochelle
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A09/11
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A13/11
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/11
LNB
81.1Avg total
41.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.682.7+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.739.681.3+2.169%-
Last 30 away (17)44.239.683.8+4.659%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.684.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)40.939.880.7+1.156%-
vs Weaker (21)44.139.583.6+4.667%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/11
ACB
88.3Avg total
47.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.483.4+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.838.785.5+8.179%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.881.6-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.288.3+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.089.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.745.084.7-5.30%-
vs Similar (11)42.640.583.1+2.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.039.483.4+4.662%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.4
48.4%
53.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.6
32.5%
34.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws26.421.3
80.7%
76.0%21.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.7
58.3%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.614.3
39.1%
34.3%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.815.4
81.9%
76.0%15.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
WLWWLLWLLW
Valencia
LWWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+15.5
110.1
Offensive rating
126.4
109.1
Defensive rating
111.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
58.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
39.1%
64.3%
Assist %
65.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 126.4Defence109.1 · 111.0Shooting48.5% · 58.4%3-point %32.5% · 39.1%Ball care16.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 38.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
JL Bourg wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
08/03/22JL Bourg v Valencia77-88
17/11/21Valencia v JL Bourg98-95
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AChalon/Saone93-86
13/11/24AHapoel Jerusalem77-86
09/11/24ALa Rochelle86-78
06/11/24ACedevita Olimpija90-83
02/11/24HStrasbourg89-96
30/10/24HAris88-91
27/10/24AGravelines-Dunkerque83-75
22/10/24ALietkabelis80-84
19/10/24HDijon88-91 OT
15/10/24HTurk Telekom67-63
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ABarcelona99-102
15/11/24HBasket Zaragoza111-82
12/11/24HCedevita Olimpija109-80
06/11/24AAris63-59
27/10/24ABilbao103-98
23/10/24ATurk Telekom101-87
20/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra89-88
17/10/24HVenezia105-83
13/10/24ABreogan87-75
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game84.279.787.0
Allowed / game78.275.779.8
Point differential+6.0+4.0+7.2
Avg total162.5155.3166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.4106.387.2
Allowed / game78.180.376.5
Point differential+17.3+26.0+10.8
Avg total173.6186.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia770100%95.478.1+17.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%85.671.7+13.9
3 Hapoel Jerusalem86275%84.075.4+8.6
4 Gran Canaria86275%81.275.6+5.6
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv85362%85.577.5+8.0
6 JL Bourg85362%84.278.2+6.0
7 BC Wolves85362%82.980.6+2.2
8 Cluj-Napoca95456%88.085.7+2.3
9 Cedevita Olimpija95456%83.283.8-0.6
10 Besiktas84450%86.082.8+3.2
11 Turk Telekom84450%76.476.4+0.0
12 Ulm84450%85.693.9-8.2
13 Venezia94544%80.684.8-4.2
14 Buducnost83538%82.986.5-3.6
15 Trento83538%78.885.9-7.1
16 Joventut Badalona93633%77.281.0-3.8
17 Lietkabelis82625%80.985.2-4.4
18 Aris92722%74.680.9-6.3
19 Hamburg92722%76.189.9-13.8
20 Trefl Sopot8080%78.690.1-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
JL Bourg2622192996
Valencia29233223107
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