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Valencia vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 106-107 (OT)
26-24 31-21 15-34 25-18 9-10
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game80.4
Valencia
vs
Lietkabelis 🏆
Position#18
Record3-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
111-82
111
82
+29
111avg 80
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 80
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-96
107
96
+11
108avg 80
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 80
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 80
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 80
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
54avg 80
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 80
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
108-80
108
80
+28
107avg 80
H18/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
27-14
26-24
31-30
19-29
19-21
29-21
32-31
29-26
23-22
32-19
23-29
25-25
26-15
36-23
29-28
33-26
26-12
20-24
17-21
21-22
23-23
26-15
28-18
27-18
25-24
22-11
12-25
17-25
25-13
30-24
24-19
31-25
24-23
19-20
22-20
35-26
38-22
16-18
19-14
187.2Avg total
101.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.880.4177.2+16.5100%
Season at home (5)104.680.8185.4+23.8100%
Season away (6)90.380.0170.3+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)101.385.9187.2+15.490%
Last 5 (5)96.881.0177.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (6)85.287.0172.2-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)95.781.7177.4+13.991%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 78
A09/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 78
A13/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 78
A17/11
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
82avg 78
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
98avg 78
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
93-98
93
98
-5
88avg 78
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
72avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
24-22
23-19
23-22
18-32
20-24
13-20
42-24
26-16
20-21
24-22
12-25
30-20
17-20
23-22
16-24
23-16
24-18
26-17
20-31
21-23
29-25
24-18
19-32
21-13
31-17
17-12
24-34
18-17
31-24
20-28
24-18
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
178.2Avg total
88.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.786.2167.9-4.527%
Season at home (6)84.888.7173.5-3.833%
Season away (5)78.083.2161.2-5.220%
Last 10 (10)88.589.7178.2-1.230%
Last 5 (5)86.487.0173.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)81.786.5168.2-4.829%
vs Similar (4)88.077.2165.2+10.8100%
vs Weaker (9)81.884.3166.1-2.633%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
ValenciaLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H18/12
Eurocup
94.5Avg total
52.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.487.9+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.339.687.9+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)44.743.387.9+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)52.042.594.5+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)53.244.297.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (6)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.940.888.7+7.074%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A09/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A13/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A17/11
LKL
Venezia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
44.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.281.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.181.9+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.481.9-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.786.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.083.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.443.282.6-3.841%-
vs Similar (4)46.837.284.0+9.575%-
vs Weaker (9)40.339.379.7+1.056%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.0
59.5%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.415.6
41.7%
34.3%46.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
76.0%13.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.6
50.8%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.9
40.2%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.118.6
80.5%
76.0%18.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWWWWLW
Lietkabelis
LLWWLWLLLL
#1
League position
#18
+20.0
Net rating
-1.8
129.0
Offensive rating
113.7
109.0
Defensive rating
115.5
61.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
41.7%
3-point %
40.2%
65.7%
Assist %
68.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence129.0 · 113.7Defence109.0 · 115.5Shooting61.1% · 54.5%3-point %41.7% · 40.2%Ball care15.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds36.7% · 32.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HCluj-Napoca108-80
15/12/24AMurcia96-88
13/12/24HTenerife96-81
10/12/24AHamburg86-78
07/12/24HBasquet Girona98-78
04/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem96-83
01/12/24ABaskonia116-91
28/11/24AJL Bourg107-96
17/11/24ABarcelona99-102
15/11/24HBasket Zaragoza111-82
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AAris66-81
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
11/12/24AHapoel Jerusalem93-87
07/12/24HSiauliai93-76
04/12/24HTurk Telekom93-98
01/12/24HNevezis93-82
28/11/24HVenezia93-100 OT
17/11/24AJonava82-84
13/11/24ACluj-Napoca93-100
09/11/24ASiauliai92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.8104.690.3
Allowed / game80.480.880.0
Point differential+16.5+23.8+10.3
Avg total177.2185.4170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game81.784.878.0
Allowed / game86.288.783.2
Point differential-4.5-3.8-5.2
Avg total167.9173.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia11110100%96.880.4+16.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1210283%84.172.8+11.3
3 Gran Canaria129375%80.273.1+7.1
4 Ulm128467%88.889.9-1.1
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv127558%89.081.4+7.6
6 Hapoel Jerusalem127558%84.779.2+5.4
7 Besiktas127558%87.684.1+3.5
8 Turk Telekom127558%79.479.1+0.3
9 Cedevita Olimpija127558%83.883.8+0.1
10 JL Bourg126650%87.383.8+3.5
11 Cluj-Napoca126650%88.189.0-0.9
12 Venezia126650%81.984.7-2.8
13 BC Wolves126650%84.187.2-3.2
14 Buducnost125742%86.387.4-1.1
15 Joventut Badalona124833%78.884.6-5.8
16 Trento124833%79.885.9-6.1
17 Lietkabelis113827%81.786.2-4.5
18 Aris123925%75.280.2-4.9
19 Hamburg123925%77.289.0-11.8
20 Trefl Sopot120120%76.288.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valencia263115259106
Lietkabelis2421341810107
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